Robert Sangster Stakes Tips & Preview
ROBERT SANGSTER STAKES TIPS & PREVIEW
Looking for Robert Sangster Stakes tips and best bets? We dissect times and form to find the winner of the 2022 Robert Sangster Stakes at Morphettville.
Tips will be available following the barrier draw. See our 2021 preview below for an example of what to expect.
This shapes as a wide betting open race with the first 10 horses in the market with Sportsbet between the $6 and $16. The local galloper, Instant Celebrity, is the favourite at $6 just ahead Mizzy at $7, while the likes of Flit, Sisstar and Muntaseera are at $10.
There are plenty of varied formlines with 11 of the field having their previous start in Melbourne, while four raced in Adelaide. Mizzy and Subpoenaed had their most recent starts at the Sydney carnival.
One of the key lead up races is the Bel Esprit Stakes (1100m) that was taken out by Sisstar at Caulfield on April 17 ahead of Lyre. The winner overrraced in the early stages before finding the lead. She enjoyed a slow tempo before kicking clear, winning by a length from Lyre.
That was the second win in a row for the full sister to Sunlight, who broke the 955m course record at Moonee Valley at her start prior. She went eight lengths faster than standard at Caulfield, which are the second best last start figures of any runner.
Lyre produced the fastest 600m-400m split in a bid to make up ground due to the slow earlier tempo then hit a bit of a flat spot before producing the second fastest last 200m.
The fastest late split went to Rubisaki, who overcame traffic to run on strongly for 7th, beaten two lengths. Prophet’s Thumb produced the fastest last 400m and ran 5th.
Rubisaki struggled in a couple of slowly run races at her last campaign but but won four of six this time a year ago and might be the improver. Lyre was a narrow runner-up in this race last year. Good luck backing her as she always seems to find one better, while she has drawn the carpark.
Sisstar and Prophet’s Thumb are slight question marks out to the 1200m. While she won third up last time, Sisstar’s figures at this stage in past campaigns have been a bit concerning.
Lyre’s stablemate, Flit, is another in the race that carries the Godolphin blue and is one of two horses that raced in the Group 1 William Reid Stakes (1200m) at Moon Valley, running 5th behind Masked Crusader. Brooklyn Hustle was an unlucky 7th.
The latter has consistently been producing solid benchmark figures for some time now and went nine lengths faster than standard at this stage of her last campaign when 4th in the Manikato Stakes (1200m) at Moonee Valley ahead of Hey Doc.
That came off a four week break and she heads into this with a six week gap between runs. She will get back and should be suited by the likely solid tempo in this race.
The Bel Esprit Stakes and the William Reid Stakes look to be the pick of the Victorian form. Of the others, Paul’s Regret might be one to consider at odds. She produced the best last start figures of any runner in the race when going 10 lengths faster than standard at her latest, when runner-up behind Laverrod in the VOBIS Gold Sprint (1200m).
At her previous 1200m run she produced a bottler when runner-up behind Probabeel earlier this prep and she has been improving her figures with every run.
There are four horse that have had their most recent starts in Adelaide. Interestingly, three of those are three-year-olds. Shoals is the only filly to have won the race in the past 10 years, although the youngsters did enjoy a purple patch earlier than that with four winners from 2004-2010, including Alinghi in 2005.
Muntaseera is one of those this year and landed the Redelva Stakes (1100m), while Instant Celebrity ran 4th. The figures out of that race aren’t impressive but they crawled early on and both horses have produced some handy numbers in the past. Instant Celebrity will be open to improvement as this will be her second run. Night Raid is the other youngster and won the Matrice Stakes (1200m) at her last start.
Humma Humma comes out of the Group 3 Irwin Stakes (1100m) and finished runner-up behind Kempalpasa. She is in the mix back against her own sex.
The race favourite, Mizzy, drops back in trip after fading out of it in the George Ryder Stakes (1500m). Her runs over shorter trips earlier this preparation are good enough to take this out and are highlighted by a narrow runner-up performance behind Savatiano in the Canterbury Stakes (1300m), while Masked Crusader was 3rd in that race. That horse defeated the likes of Flit and Brooklyn Hustle in the William Reid.
Robert Sangster Stakes Tips & Verdict
While this does seem to be a bit of a raffle, I will be backing Brooklyn Hustle with some confidence. She has been consistent for some time now and will get back but should be suited by the pace in the race with Bam’s On Fire, Sisstar and Mizzy likely to generate some degree of tempo. The wide barrier isn’t a concern and it is worth noting that past four winners of this race have drawn double digits. Paul’s Regret is worth having something on as well. She is improving with every start and can prove to be a surprise packet.