Rosehill Guineas Tips & Preview
ROSEHILL GUINEAS TIPS AND PREVIEW
Looking for Rosehill Guineas tips and best bets? We dissect times and form to find the winner of the 2022 Rosehill Guineas at Rosehill.
Tips will be available following the barrier draw. See our 2021 preview below for an example of what to expect.
The Rosehill Guineas (2000m) is the third leg of the Sydney Triple Crown for the three-year-olds and is sandwiched in between the Randwick Guineas (1600m) and the Australian Derby (2400m).
A number of the youngsters stretch out over the 2000m for the first time and there are a few other unknowns with the recent deluge likely to have a say in proceedings.
One of the key races to look at is the Randwick Guineas and six of the 14 contenders come out of that race that was taken out by Lion’s Roar.
The John O’Shea-trained galloper has been installed as a $7 chance with NEDS, while the unlucky runner out of that race, Mo’unga is favourite at $3.20.
Lion’s Roar went nine lengths faster than standard benchmark that day and at his third run last time he won a BenchMark 64 at Newcastle over the 1875m before improving 16 lengths on benchmark figures to finish runner-up behind Montefilia in the Spring Champion Stakes (2000m). That pair gapped the rest in the spring Group 1.
He came from well back in the Randwick Guineas and the step up to the 2000m looks perfect. Mo’unga was held up badly in that race and flew home, recording the fastest last 200m. This will be his first go at the trip but he does look capable of turning the tables.
Wheelhouse ($9.50) is another that comes out of the Randwick Guineas and covered plenty of ground but stuck on well for 3rd. The son of Pierro does have a bit of upside. Others, including Elanora, have some ground to make up.
Montefilia meets Lion’s Roar again and steps up from the 1400m after a 6th placing in the Surround Stakes. She went 7.5 lengths faster than standard in that race and can improve that rating but the sharp step up must be a concern. Look for her later on.
A couple of Victorians can make their presence felt, including Lunar Fox, who proved his Australian Guneas (1600m) win was no fluke when running 4th in the All-Star Mile at Moonee Valley a fortnight ago, going 10.8 lengths faster than standard benchmark, which are the second best last start figures of any runner in this race.
Khoekhoe was 3rd in the Autumn Classic (1800m) at Caulfield at his last start and went 10.1 lengths faster than standard that day. He is another that has had just the one run but cleared out with Cherry Tortoni when runner-up in last year’s Moonee Valley Vase (2040m) on a wet track.
Grandslam was not amongst the original acceptors for this race last week but comes up with the extra week in between runs. The Maher/Eustace galloper went 12.4 lengths faster than standard when winning by six lengths in the Alister Clark Stakes (2040m). The track was rated Good at that stage of the day and tended to favour leaders but they are some serious figures.
It is hard to get a gauge on just which contenders will like the wet. Both Lion’s Roar and Mo’unga won at their only starts on the ground but they were in Maiden races. Montefilia, Wheelhouse and Sky Lab should get through the ground.
Rosehill Guineas Tips & Verdict
I am sticking with Mo’unga to make up for his Randwick Guineas defeat. The question mark with a lot of these is to how they will perform if the track holds its Heavy rating but the Savabeel breed generally get through it pretty well, while he should appreciate the step up to the 2000m.