Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes Tips & Preview
2022 Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes Tips & Preview
Looking for Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes Tips on Saturday September 17? Our form experts will preview their Caulfield Group 1 handicap best bets and tips closer to the date.
Below is our preview for the 2021 Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes.
Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes betting.
It is the Adelaide gallopers, Beau Rossa and Behemoth that head the market with Sportsbet after the barrier draw. Beau Rossa is a $4.40 popular elect ahead of the Memsie Stakes (1400m) winner, Behemoth. The Group 1 winning mare, Probabeel, is at $5.50, while the lightweight contender, I’m Thunderstruck, is at $8.50.
Amish Boy ($12), Buffalo River ($15), Sierra Sue ($15) and Groundswell ($19) are next in line. A field of 16 are set to take part and fans of I’m Thunderstruck will be hoping the exciting four-year-old sneaks into the field. The outsider is the multiple Group 1 track and trip winner Streets Of Avalon, who is at $67.
Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes preview
Behemoth has the form on the board over Beau Rossa but will have to do it with the 59kg. The big boy won this race with the same weight last year but meets Beau Rossa 3.5kg worse for a narrow win in the Memsie with Beau Rossa filling the exacta in the recent Caulfield Group 1.
The runner-up out of that settled just in front of Behemoth but was held up for a portion of time before running on strongly. Behemoth went 11.3 lengths faster than standard benchmark, which are the third best last start figures of any runner in the race behind Dice Roll and Amish Boy.
Dice Roll resumes from a spell and went seven lengths faster than standard when resuming last time, scoring in a BenchMark 78 with 58.5kg. He carries just 52 and might be overs at those odds. Amish Boy has won just one of 17 but no knock on the performance to go down to the classy Masked Crusader over the 1100m in The Heath on August 28.
I’m Thunderstruck stamped his credentials as a serious horse two starts ago when going nearly 15 lengths faster than standard when winning by four lengths at Flemington before doing the job at Moonee Valley last time. He has had two months in between runs but is on the up. The downside is the wide gate at his first go at this level.
No other horse has achieved a better benchmark figure in the past two years except for Streets Of Avalon. He was ok when 5th in the recent Feehan Stakes (1600m) but doesn’t seem to be going as well as previous preparations.
Probabeel carries 57kg, a hefty impost for a mare, but ticks plenty of boxes second up. At her last campaign she improved six lengths on figures to go more than 14 lengths faster than standard when going from a win over the 1200m in mares grade to taking out the Futurity Stakes (1400m), leaving some guns in her wake, including Behemoth.
Monitor the weather and track condition as she prefers the dry. Showers are predicted for Friday and Saturday but the track might hold a Good rating.
Buffalo River and Groundswell are the possible leaders. Buffalo River has led and been nailed late when fresh at his past two preparations. He was a winner on Heavy going when first up last April, going 14 lengths faster than standard. Monitor betting. Groundswell was a fraction disappointing when 8th here last time to Ayrton but drops 8kg.
A few of these come out of the Chautauqua Stakes at Moonee Valley including Irish Flame and Aysar. Irish Flame is a potential second up improver. Sierra Sue raced over the 1600m in the Feehan Stakes (1600m) on the same day and was a luckless 5th. She won the PB Lawrence Stakes (1400m) here prior to that and went 11 lengths faster than standard. She is well and truly in the mix on that effort.
Can history of the Rupert Clarke Stakes find us a winner?
Eight favourites have won the race since 2000 including Behemoth last year. Four winners have scored at a price of $10 or above. The Memsie Stakes has provided the past two winners and five of the past 16.
Behemoth became just the third galloper since the year 2000 to win with the top weight. Testa Rossa (1999/2000) is the last horse to win this race in successive years. 11 of the past 21 winners were aged four. The past five winners have drawn between barriers 2 to 6 but wide barriers haven’t been an issue in this race with nearly half the winners since 2000 drawing in the second half of the field. Craig Williams has won this race six times since 2005 and he steers Behemoth.
Who will win the Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes?
Beau Rossa and Probabeel are the ones to beat for mine and I will be keeping a close eye on the track conditions with showers predicted. Suspect we won’t get to a Soft though so Probabeel gets the nod. She was far too good for Behemoth last time at this stage. Best roughies in the race are Samizdat and Regardsmaree. Samizdat should thrive on what might be a solid tempo up front. Regardmaree was excellent at this stage in the autumn at the track and trip when on the back up and if she can settle a fraction better than last weekend when close up behind Harbour Views she can go close with the light weight. Suspect the form out of that race will hold up with Ayrton running 3rd.