South Australian Derby Tips & Preview

South Australian Derby Tips

Looking for South Australian Derby Tips on Saturday, May 9? Our form expert previews the Morphettville feature and gives his best bet.

SOUTH AUSTRALIAN DERBY TIPS

Saturday’s Group 1 SA Derby (2500m) at Morphettville sees 14 three-year-olds coming through six different form races.

Firstly, I’m going to risk the talented Russian Camelot as he’s had a far from ideal preparation going into a testing staying event.

And other than that, his last start performance rated 1.6 lengths slower than standard BM which is the lowest last start figure of any horse lining up in the Derby.

Russian Camelot did go 8.1 lengths quicker than BM when first-up over 1400m, so he is capable of posting a strong figure, but his interrupted campaign doesn’t indicate a PB is on the cards.

I also want to take on the Chris Waller-trained Miyake who rated low winning last start beating Flinders who had every chance to win at Canterbury on Wednesday and couldn’t get the job done.

THE LEADING CONTENDERS

Three fillies are backing up from last Saturday’s Group 1 Australasian Oaks.

Of that trio, Moonlight Maid looked a bit dour battling away and holding onto 2nd place, and she could take the next step as she goes up in trip.
Saint Eustace is an interesting runner.

He went 5.1 lengths quicker than BM last start when just beaten by Sacremento in the VRC St Leger (2800m).

Saint Eustace took a long time to wind up down the Flemington straight and the shorter straight at Morphettville as well as the drop back in trip may be against him.

He also finished eight lengths from Dalasan in the Port Adelaide Guineas (1800m) and that’s hard to ignore.

Race favourite Dalasan has been very impressive winning his past two, but there is a question mark around him running a strong 2500m.

His breeding indicates he’ll get the trip, and he’s clearly the most brilliant horse in the race, but I think one may be better suited over 2500m.

WHO WILL WIN THE SOUTH AUSTRALIAN DERBY?

Anthony Freedman’s Declaration Of War gelding, Warning, is already a winner at the distance having claimed the VRC Derby (2500m) last spring.

He finished two lengths from Shadow Hero in Randwick Guineas (1600m) and was 3.7 lengths from Castelvecchio in the Rosehill Guineas (2000m) before failing on a Heavy track in the Australian Derby (2400m).

He then looked unsuited dropping back in trip when 3rd behind Dalasan in the Chairman’s Stakes (2035m), but really caught the eye flying home late.

He was off the bit a long way from home but really warmed up late and only really got going in the final 200m.

Interestingly, Warning and Dalasan ran identical final 600m sectionals (36.52) but Warning went two lengths quicker in the final 200m.

There is no doubt about Warning getting the trip on Saturday, and he’ll be powering home when 80 percent of the field start to drop out.

Warning went forward in the VRC Derby, so I don’t think he’ll be too far off them on Saturday.

From barrier 3, he maps to get the run of the race just behind the speed, and from there, I can’t see anything holding him out with the closing speed he showed last start.

Prediction
Warning $4 Bet now!

UPCOMING RACES

GROUP 1 RACES OFFERS

Terms and conditions

1. Place a Fixed Odds bet in Races 1-8 at Sale, Races 1-7 at Canterbury & Races 1-9 the Sunshine Coast on Wednesday 27th May 2020 & if your horse finishes 2nd or 3rd get up to $50 back in Bonus Bets.
2. The Bonus Bet offer applies only to your first Fixed Odds bet on the Win or Each Way Market placed over the Internet. Win portion of Each Way applies.
3. Races are in conjunction to the Wednesday Racing Special as seen on site. Bonus races at Sale, Canterbury & Sunshine Coast are only valid if you have received this via SMS, E-mail or on the Sportsbet platform following account login.
4. Bonus Bets, Multibets, Megabets, Exotics, Telephone bets and Live Betting are excluded from the offer.
5. Bonus Bets will be equal to the value of the Members original bet stake, up to a maximum of $50.
6. Offer Applies to Pre Live bets only.
7. The Bonus Bets will be credited to the Members account within 24 hours of the completion of the event.
8. Bonus Bet Terms & Conditions apply. Visit the help centre for more information.
9. To be eligible for Sportsbet.com.au promotions, customers must be Australian or New Zealand residents and bets must be placed in Australian or New Zealand dollars.
10. Sportsbet promotions are intended for recreational punters. Professional gamblers and members deemed by Sportsbet to be abusing the spirit of the promotion will not be eligible for payouts. Sportsbet reserves the right to make this promotion unavailable to Members considered to be abusing the promotion by any means.

terms and conditions apply 18+ gamble responsibly

Terms and conditions

1. Place a Fixed Odds bet in Races 1-8 at Sale, Races 1-7 at Canterbury & Races 1-9 the Sunshine Coast on Wednesday 27th May 2020 & if your horse finishes 2nd or 3rd get up to $50 back in Bonus Bets.
2. The Bonus Bet offer applies only to your first Fixed Odds bet on the Win or Each Way Market placed over the Internet. Win portion of Each Way applies.
3. Races are in conjunction to the Wednesday Racing Special as seen on site. Bonus races at Sale, Canterbury & Sunshine Coast are only valid if you have received this via SMS, E-mail or on the Sportsbet platform following account login.
4. Bonus Bets, Multibets, Megabets, Exotics, Telephone bets and Live Betting are excluded from the offer.
5. Bonus Bets will be equal to the value of the Members original bet stake, up to a maximum of $50.
6. Offer Applies to Pre Live bets only.
7. The Bonus Bets will be credited to the Members account within 24 hours of the completion of the event.
8. Bonus Bet Terms & Conditions apply. Visit the help centre for more information.
9. To be eligible for Sportsbet.com.au promotions, customers must be Australian or New Zealand residents and bets must be placed in Australian or New Zealand dollars.
10. Sportsbet promotions are intended for recreational punters. Professional gamblers and members deemed by Sportsbet to be abusing the spirit of the promotion will not be eligible for payouts. Sportsbet reserves the right to make this promotion unavailable to Members considered to be abusing the promotion by any means.

terms and conditions apply 18+ gamble responsibly