Stradbroke Handicap Tips & Preview
STRADBROKE HANDICAP TIPS & PREVIEW
Looking for Stradbroke Handicap tips and best bets? We dissect times and form to find the winner of the 2022 Stradbroke Handicap at Eagle Farm.
Tips will be available following the barrier draw. See our 2021 preview below for an example of what to expect.
The Stradbroke shapes as a wide-open betting race and it is Vega One that has been installed as a $6 favourite in early markets with ladbrokes after the barrier draw ahead of Wild Planet at $7 and Tofane at $8. The Harrovian (Best odds $9 with ladbrokes) and Mr Quickie (Best odds $9 with ladbrokes) are both at $9, while Apache Chase heads the rest at $11.
Vega One was the winner in the recent Group 1 Kingsford Smith Cup (1300m), which was held at Eagle Farm on May 29. The Tony Gollan-trained galloper came from well back that day and overcame a bit of traffic in the straight.
He went 6.3 lengths faster than standard and drops 6kg. Signore Fox was amongst the placegetters and also ran on. Victorem was a bit of an unlucky runner, finishing 5th, while the Goodwood (1200m) winner, Savatoxl, faded into 6th but did have some excuses as he was hampered at the 300m.
Vega One benefitted from a gem of a ride by Jamie Kah in the Kingsford Smith Cup and produced the fastest last 200m. He will be ridden by Rachel King this time around and has drawn barrier 4.
In years gone by the Doomben 10000 (1200m) was the key lead up towards the Stradbroke. That race used to fall between the then BTC Cup (1200m) and the Stradbroke. But it is now the first leg of the three Group 1 races for the sprinters.
Wild Planet and The Harrovian come in with four weeks in between runs since filling the trifecta behind Eduardo in that race. They finished ahead of the 4th placed Vega One in the Doomben 10000 with that galloper then going on to claim the Kingsford Smith Cup.
Wild Planet went seven lengths faster than standard and was first up after more than six months off. At his previous second up run he improved five lengths on figures to take out the Theo Marks Stakes (1300m) at Rosehill.
The Harrovian was nine weeks in between runs after finishing a brave 5th in the All-Star Mile (1600m) at Moonee Valley. Interestingly, he was second up off a nine week break in the All-Star Mile and went nearly 11 lengths faster than standard, which was a career personal best.
Another that profiles very well for this race is Mr Quickie. He comes into this with eight weeks in between runs and races very well on the fresh side, while some of his big wins have come in Handicap races with capacity fields.
He has gone above 10 lengths faster than standard in nine of his past 12 runs. In his last four first up runs he has gone more than 12 lengths faster than standard. The five-year-old went more than 15 lengths faster than standard when taking out the Toorak Handicap with 59kg last year by two lengths, while his form over the 1400m reads as four wins from seven starts and he was successful in the Victoria Handicap (1400m) two starts ago at Caulfield with the 60.5kg.
So Si Bon and Tofane are the only other horses that have set better figures in the past two years. I am not sure about So Si Bon after he faded out of it in the recent Kingsford Smith Cup. Tofane heads into this third up and was runner-up in the BRC Sprint at his latest.
The Group 1 winner of the 2020 All Aged Stakes went more than 17 lengths faster than standard when third up in the Galaxy (1100m) last autumn. Third up at his last preparation he finished 9th in the Everest (1200m). He went down to Emerald Kingdom in the BRC Sprint and is 3kg better at the weights.
Others in the market that come under consideration are Apache Chase and Subpoenaed. Apache Chase is one of two horses aged three in this race. The other is the second emergency, Amish Boy. The youngsters have a respectable record in the Stradbroke, winning five times in the past 20 years.
Apache Chase went nearly eight lengths faster than standard with his last start performance to defeat Ayrton in the Fred Best Classic (1400m) at the track and trip. Amish Boy was 3rd in that race.
Subponenead was runner-up at Group 1 level in the Robert Sangster Stakes (1200m) last time. She went 7.6 lengths faster than standard, which are the second best last start figures of any runner in this field, alongside Mr Quickie and Apache Chase.
Imaging boasts the best last start figures of any runner when 10th in a truly run All Aged Stakes (1400m) seven weeks ago. I Am Superman also comes out of that race.
Is there a diamond in the rough? Olmedo, Niccanova, Madame Rouge and Master Jamie were well beaten at their most recent starts and will need to improve. Niccanova rattled home in this race last year to place and can be considered.
Speed looks genuine in the Stradbroke and that should suit horses that land in a midfield spot or slightly worse. Conditions should be fine and we can expect a Good track.
Stradbroke Handicap Tips & Verdict
There are a few that I am keen on here but I have narrowed it down to The Harrovian and Mr Quickie. THE HARROVIAN (Best odds $9 with ladbrokes) did produce a bit of an eye-catcher in the Doomben 10000 and finished ahead of Vega One. He profiles well for this race with the month in between runs and if he runs up to his All-Star Mile performance he should be hard to beat with just the 53kg. MR QUICKIE (Best odds $9 with ladbrokes)seems to save his best for the Handicap races and has to come under serious consideration with the 56.5kg. If the gaps come at the right time from barrier 1 he will be hard to hold out at the business end. The likelihood of a Good track is another bonus for the five-year-old.