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The Everest Winning Trends

The Everest trends

 

The Everest (1200m) has become one of the biggest races in Australia and we take a look at the Everest winning trends.

In four short years, the aptly named, The Everest, has reached some dazzling heights and now ranks as one of the biggest events on the racing calendar.

An initiative from racing NSW, the $15 million affair was first conducted in 2017 and brings together the best sprinting thoroughbreds, who have gained ‘slots’ into the race.

The first two editions were taken out by Redzel for the Triple Crown Racing Syndicate. Peter and Paul Snowden were the winning trainers, while Kerrin McEvoy rode Redzel in his two Everest wins. Last year, it was the three-year-old, Yes Yes Yes, that saluted for trainer Chris Waller and jockey Glen Boss.

Using the brief history as a guide, we have looked at the Everest winning trends in our bid to find you a winner. Based on the past three years, it has revealed the following.

Favourites have had a mixed time of it thus far in the Everest. In 2017, Vega Magic stepped out as a $4.80 leading contender and was an unlucky runner-up behind Redzel. The past two years, Shoals and Arcadia Queen were favourites but both could only manage 11th.

Chautauqua (4th) and She Will Reign (10th) also missed out as single figure fancies in 2017 as did Le Romain (4th), Graff (5th) and Santa Ana Lane (6th) in 2018. Santa Ana Lane was runner-up last year as a $5.50 chance, while the $7 fancy, Pierata, ran 5th. Trekking bobbed up for 3rd as a $31 shot last year, while Nature Strip ran 4th at $21.

Despite missing out last year, Nature Strip heads the market after the barrier draw this year. He has been installed as a $4.20 favourite with Sportsbet, just ahead of Classique Legend at $4.40 and Gytrash at $6. Libertini is at $6, while Behemoth heads the rest at $9.50

Nature Strip comes out of the Premiere Stakes (1200m) and ran 4th in that race behind Libertini. Classique Legend was runner-up. It is interesting to note that Redzel finished 5th in the 2018 Premiere Stakes before prevailing in the Everest that year.

Classique Legend won the Shorts (1100m) prior to his run in the Premiere. Eduardo was runner-up in that ahead of Bivouac. The latter two have not had a run since. In 2017, Redzel won the Shorts before taking out the Everest.

Other key lead up races this year include the Gilgai Stakes (1200m). Dollar For Dollar was runner up in that race this year, while Tofane was 5th. Santa Ana Lane could only manage 6th.

Last year, Santa Ana Lane was runner-up in the Gilgai before landing in that slot in the Everest. Trekking was placed in the Schillaci Stakes (1100m) last year and comes in with a placing in the Moir Stakes (1000m) this year.

Of the nine horses to have finished in the top three in the Everest, five have had their previous runs in Melbourne. But all three winners raced in Sydney prior to their success in the Everest.

For fans of Libertini, the daughter of I Am Invincible will be out to become the first mare to have won the race. None have placed in the race in the three-year history.

Of the trainers this year, all will be looking for their first win in the Everest, except Chris Waller. The leading trainer has Nature Strip and Haut Brion Her in the race. James Cummings has prepared two placegetters in Osborne Bulls and Trekking. This year he has Trekking, Bivouac and the first emergency, Deprive.

Kerrin McEvoy will be going for his third win in the race and he steers Classique Legend. Glen Boss rides Bivouac. They are the two winning hoops so far.

Finally, it is worth looking at barriers. Redzel came from barrier 4 and barrier 1 in his two wins, while Yes Yes Yes drew barrier 9 last year. Dollar For Dollar, Trekking and Eduardo occupy those spots. Redzel settled up front in his two wins, while Yes Yes Yes came from worse the midfield.

Selection based on the Everest winning trends

From a winning perspective, I am keen for one that has come out of a race in Sydney. Classique Legend is hard to go past based on the previous history of this race.

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