The Galaxy Tips: Who history points to winning
- Which horse do the long term trends point towards in the Galaxy?
The Galaxy (1100m) is one of five Group 1 races at Rosehill on Saturday March 18 and is one of the leading Handicap races on the calendar for the sprinters.
Recent winners include Nature Strip, In Her Time, Russian Revolution, Griante and Sweet Idea, while the likes of Spark Of Life and Schillaci also grace the honour roll. Picking a winner in the $700,000 affair can be a little bit tricky due to the Handicap conditions of the race, while the contenders also tend to come from a variety of lead up races.
However, we have analysed some of the recent trends of the race since the year 2000 in order to take out some of the guesswork for you. Here are a few things to consider. For fans of Pierata, who has been posted as a $5.50 favourite in early markets with BetEasy, keep in mind that only Nature Strip, In Her Time, Russian Revolution and Snowland (2003) were able to score as the popular elect this millennium.
Other key chances are Cosmic Force at $7, Savatiano at $7.50, Fasika at $8 and Deprive at $9 The 2016 winner, Griante, scored at the odds of $16, while in 2015, Sweet Idea was a $17 winner. Deep Field missed out on that occasion as a $4.50 chance.
Seven of the past nine winners have all paid double figure odds and the average winning price since the year 2000 has been a very healthy $13.50. Look for horses around those odds this year. The comeback galloper, Kementari, is at $12, as is Anaheed, while In Her Time is at $18.
Pierata carries top weight of 59kg and will be out to join Temple Of Boom (57kg in 2012) as a recent winner that was up in the weights. The ideal weight to carry has been 53.5kg.
Four horses carried that weight to victory since 2000, including Bel Sprinter in 2013 and Shellscrape in 2010. This year, Deprive and Jungle Edge have been allocated 53.5kg.
Winners of the Galaxy have come out of a variety of lead ups over the years. Four have come out of the Challenge Stakes since the year 2000 and this year.
Interestingly, the past five winners had their last start in Melbourne. The past two of those were resuming. Graff, Encryption and Nature Strip had their last starts in Melbourne.
The 2016 winner, Griante, finished down the track in the Oakleigh Plate (1100m) before scoring an upset win. Nature Strip finished 10th in that race in 2019 before improving to take out the Galaxy.
Of the main fancies this year, Pierata, In Her Time and Kementari are resuming. Savatiano was runner-up in the Canterbury Stakes (1300m). Jungle Edge was 3rd in the Challenge Stakes ahead of Deprive (5th). Anaheed missed out in the Oakleigh Plate in Melbourne.
The 1100m Galaxy always tends to attract a decent sized field and an interesting statistic is that horses drawn in the second half of the field have a very good record, however, it should be noted that the venue has chopped and changed over the years from Rosehill to Randwick. Warwick Farm even hosted the Galaxy in 2007. 13 of the 20 winners have drawn in the second half of the field and eight of those have occupied the last three barriers.
This year, Anaheed and Fasika are among those that have drawn out. Anaheed, Cosmic Force and Splintex are contenders in the race that are aged three. The youngsters have had a fantastic time of it in the Galaxy, winning six times since 2000 and are the most successful age group.
Only three mares have won the Galaxy in that time period but they are three of the five most recent winners. In Her Time, Savatiano Miss Leonidas, Fasika, I Am Excited, Madam Rouge, Soothing, Tofane, Pretty In Pink are mares in the race this year. Anaheed is a filly.
Gai Waterhouse is the only trainer since 2000 to saddle up two winners in the Galaxy, winning with Sweet Idea and Snowland in 2003. She is without a runner this year. James Cummings has four horses in Sheffield, while the Snowden’s have two. The Snowden’s won with Russian Revolution in 2017.
Selection according to trends
Look for one at double figure odds and it is Anaheed that ticks plenty of boxes.