The Goodwood Tips & Preview
Looking for The Goodwood Tips on Saturday, May 16? Our form expert previews the Morphettville sprint feature and gives his best bets.
THE GOODWOOD TIPS & PREVIEW 2020
There looks to be plenty of speed in The Goodwood with Xilong going quick from the inside while Jungle Edge and Free Of Debt are likely to charge across from the outside.
That should give Sunlight the box seat behind the leader, and if a few settle midfield to rearwards as expected, race favourite Gytrash should be able to slot in from barrier 12.
If that’s the case, Gytrash looks extremely hard to beat despite having failed to win in three attempts at the track and distance.
Sunlight went terrible last start finishing last of 16 in the Robert Sangster Stakes, and other than trusting she’s a quality sprinter, she’s done nothing in this campaign to indicate she can beat Gytrash.
Last year’s The Goodwood runner-up, Behemoth, resumed with a 2nd placing behind Jungle Edge on a Soft 7 in the DC McKay Stakes (1100m) where the winner ran 1:04.47.
In comparison to Gytrash’s win in the RN Irwin Stakes (1100m) on a Good 4 in a time of 1:04.31, the time out of the McKay Stakes stacks up well considering it was run on a much softer surface.
Jungle Edge and Behemoth drop 2.5kg on that run, and with Morphettville likely to be a Good rated track on Saturday, Behemoth gains an advantage over his last start victor who excels in the wet.
WHO WILL WIN THE GOODWOOD?
The giant horse, Behemoth, maps to get the perfect trail three or four pairs back and one off the fence.
He improves his BM rating by many lengths second-up into each preparation, so there’s no reason to think he won’t improve with that first-up run under the belt.
The David Jolly-trained son of All Too Hard was runner-up to Despatch in this race last year when coming off a 7th placing behind Valour Road and subsequent All Aged Stakes winner Tofane.
The BM ratings suggest this was his best first-up run by a long way, and if he takes his usual second-up improvement, he’ll be finishing hard.
Being such a big horse whose excessive weight really sinks him into the ground on Soft tracks, he should also appreciate getting back onto a firmer surface on Saturday.
Behemoth rates on top in my 2020 The Goodwood Tips.
WHO ARE THE MAIN DANGERS?
Gytrash ran the quickest final 600m and 400m of the meeting last start but posted the fifth quickest final 200m.
He was three wide without cover for the trip and hung in over the concluding stages which may have attributed to the slower final split.
But considering his best runs last campaign were his sixth and seventh runs from a spell, I’m sure he has improvement in him being fifth-up on Saturday, and he’ll prove hard to beat.
Tony and Calvin McEvoy’s Xilong peaked fourth-up last campaign and went 10 lengths quicker than BM to the 600m and sustained a run to win.
She can lead with the light weight and will prove hard to catch.
Santa Ana Lane can’t be dismissed after what looked an average run last time, but he always puts in a shocker third-up which is why I was keen to oppose him last start.
The Inevitable rated through the roof last start and comes into The Goodwood with the strongest last start BM figure of any runner.
However, barrier 15 is a real detractor here and he may have to go back to last and will be spotting a quality field a big start.
Lyre, Order Of Command, Trekking and Jungle Edge can also figure in the finish if things go their way.
A tough race in all, but Behemoth ticks a lot of boxes and represent value at his current price of $14.
2020 The Goodwood Tips: