The Goodwood Tips & Preview
THE GOODWOOD TIPS & PREVIEW
Looking for The Goodwood tips and best bets? We dissect times and form to find the winner of the 2022 The Goodwood at Morphettville.
Tips will be available following the barrier draw. See our 2021 preview below for an example of what to expect.
This shapes as an excellent edition of The Goodwood with a couple of South Australia’s finest in action in Gytrash and Behemoth, as well as the rising three-year-old, Instant Celebrity.
Gytrash just holds favouritism with ladbrokes after the barrier draw and is at the $3.60 quote, while Behemoth is at $3.80. The last start Robert Sangster Stakes (1200m) winner, Instant Celebrity, is at $7, while Beau Rossa is another under double figure odds at the $7.50. The handy Kempalpasa heads the rest at $10.
Gytrash heads into this first up and has won four of six fresh, while he has finished runner-up in the other two. At his last campaign he was too good for Nature Strip in the Concorde Stakes (1000m) at Rosehill, while the fellow Goodwood runner, Dirty Work, was 3rd.
The Guy Richards-trained galloper went a whopping 16 lengths faster than standard benchmark that day before going nearly 12 lengths faster when running 3rd behind Classique Legend in the Everest (1200m).
He is a slight question mark at the distance and has won just once over the 1200m but he did claim the Yes Yes Yes Stakes (1300m) after the Everest, going 14.3 lengths faster than standard.
Behemoth also boasts some impressive figures but his best might not quite match the best that Gytrash can produce. He comes into this after a nine week break. The David Jolly-trained five-year-old was 3rd in the All Star Mile (1600m) at Moonee Valley back in March, going 11 lengths faster than standard. At his first run he went just 2.7 lengths faster when taking out the Durbridge Stakes (1100m) at Morphettville but they crawled in front that day before he motored late.
Kempalpasa was among the beaten brigade, finishing runner up, beaten three lengths. He meets Behemoth 1.5kg better at the weights and went 16.1 lengths faster than standard when 3rd in the Oakleigh Plate (1100m) after that. They are the best figures that any horse in this race has produced in the past two years.
He has since cruised to a win in the Irwin Stakes (1100m) and is not without a chance. However, he has finished a few lengths away from Behemoth the two times they have met and was four lengths from Gytrash when battling in the Irwin Stakes last year.
Dirty Work wasn’t far behind Kempalpasa in the Oakleigh and was caught up on the inside that day but didn’t measure up in The Galaxy (1100m) and the TJ Smith Stakes (1200m) recently.
Instant Celebrity represents the X-factor and is clearly on the up. She set up her Robert Sangster win with a powerful split between the 400m-200m before pouncing on them, going 8.1 lengths faster than standard. The three-year-old improved seven lengths on figures that day and should be open to further improvement as her figures upped with every start in the spring. She will be out to become the first three-year-old to win the Goodwood since Lone Rock in 2011.
Beau Rossa announced himself with a seven-length romp in a BenchMark 64 at Sandwon three starts back and comes in with a Group 2 win at the track and trip ahead of Litchfield County. He went 6.5 lengths faster than standard and is another that might be open to improvement.
Savatoxl was a three length winner in the McKay Stakes (1100m) recently, going more than eight lengths faster than standard. He will need to post a personal best to score here but has won three of his past five since coming down from Darwin last year.
It is hard to make a case for some of the others given the quality of those in the first few line of betting.
Viridine drops 4kg in weight but hasn’t done enough second up in the past for mine, while Pretty Brazen did have a couple of excuses when 4th behind Instant Celebrity recently but will need to lift.
Speed in the race will be interesting and we can expect Savatoxl, Dollar For Dollar and Kempalpasa to head forward. Gytrash and Behemoth should be just behind them and I will expect this to be genuinely run, giving the likes of Instatnt Celebrity her chance.
The Goodwood Tips & Verdict
I am pretty keen on Gytrash, even though the last 50m will be interesting. It is hard to ignore the figures out of his last campaign when on the fresh side and he should be right there to pounce from barrier 4. If they go helter skelter up in front this might set things up for Instant Celebrity, who will be flying late.