Turnbull Stakes Tips & Preview
Looking for Turnbull Stakes tips on Saturday, October 3? Our form expert previews the Flemington feature and gives his best bets.
Turnbull Stakes Preview
A field of 15 line up in the Group 1 Turnbull Stakes (2000m) at Flemington and will compete for $500,000 in prizemoney.
The majority of horses come through two form races with six coming through the Makybe Diva Stakes (1600m) and four via the Winning Edge Presentation Handicap (1700m).
Verry Elleegant was 4th in the George Main Stakes (1600m), Surprise Baby was runner-up in the Feehan Stakes (1600m), Superstorm was 12th in the Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes (1400m) and King Of Leogrance hasn’t raced since May when he was runner-up to Oceanex in the Andrew Ramsden (2800m).
As far as last start BM performances go, King Of Leogrance rates highest having gone 13.4 lengths quicker than standard BM in the Andrew Ramsden.
The winner Oceanex has failed to place in two starts over 1400m and 1700m this campaign, and while 2000m is a much better starting trip for King Of Leogrance, I’d expect him to struggle first-up against this quality field.
Verry Elleegant is next best having gone 10.1 lengths above BM in the George Main, and she was held up down the straight and could have bettered that effort.
Surprise Baby was just below that having run 9.9 lengths quicker than BM when runner-up to Humidor, and The Valley clearly isn’t his sort of track and he can improve back at Flemington.
Humidor has franked that form with a 2nd to rising star Russian Camelot, so there is no questioning the quality of the Feehan.
Surprise Baby was beaten 2.3 lengths in the Feehan last year and then scored a dominant win in the Bart Cummings (2500m) before his unlucky 5th placing in the Melbourne Cup.
This year’s effort in the Feehan rated six lengths better than his previous effort, so he looks to have come back more brilliant this time around and trainer Paul Preusker has stated he is primed for a Turnbull fight.
Verry Elleegant is certainly no slouch and looms as a big danger here, however, I have one main concern.
She has failed to win at Flemington due to overracing badly when she was younger, and I’m just hoping a return to Flemington doesn’t stir her up and cause her to slip back into some bad habits.
Master Of Wine is another leading hope following his 4th placing behind Fierce Impact and Russian Camelot in the Makybe Diva Stakes.
He’s peaked third-up over 2000m in his last two campaigns and looks set to do the same again.
So Si Bon went past Master Of The Win in the straight yet he fought back and was edged out by So Si Bon which indicated he’s already looking for longer.
I have Master Of Wine ahead of Verry Elleegant and Surprise Baby in the run and they may struggle to pick him up if they get too far back.
Not a lot between Master Of Wine and Surprise Baby, but I’m worried where Surprise Baby will get to from the inside gate so I’m siding with Master Of Wine.