Winterbottom Stakes Tips & Preview

Winterbottom Stakes Tips

Check out our free Winterbottom Stakes tips and best bets for 2020. Our form expert previews the Ascot Group 1 and gives his top predictions.

Winterbottom Stakes Tips & Preview

A capacity field of 16 plus one emergency has been declared for Saturday’s Group 1 Winterbottom Stakes (1200m) at Ascot where 11 of the 16 runners come through the Colonel Reeves Stakes (1100m).

The Grant and Alana Williams-trained Celebrity Queen won the Colonel Reeves from stablemate Stageman, and the fact top local hope William Pike doesn’t ride either is a concern.

The half dozen that bring different form lines are: Trekking (2nd in the Manikato Stakes), Vital Silver (5th in the Northerly Stakes), Red Can Man (4th in the Railway Stakes), Laverrod (3rd in the Carbine Club of WA Stakes) and Elite Street who won a BM72 and is aiming for six wins in a row.

Who brings the strongest form?

The Colonel Reeves Stakes rates as the third strongest with Celebrity Queen going 9.0 lengths quicker than standard BM.

However, as I mentioned stable jockey William Pike isn’t riding either so I’m willing to listen to this strong call and put a line through that pair and the other nine horses that come through that race.

The Railway Stakes (1600m) rates highest with 4th placed Red Can Man going 11.2 lengths quicker than BM which was a personal best (PB).

He now drops back in trip which isn’t ideal and his previous best over 1200m is 6.0 lengths quicker than BM which is well below where it needs to be to win a Group 1 of this calibre.

The Manikato Stakes rates as the second strongest race with Trekking going 11 lengths quicker than standard as he charged home to just miss behind my top pick, Hey Doc, in the Manikato – What a win from the Doc!

Who will win the Winterbottom Stakes in 2020?

Trekking has a PB of 16.8 lengths quicker than BM when he Schillaci Stakes (1100m) in 2019.

He also has eight performances to his name in the past 24 months that rate higher than 10.9 lengths quicker than BM, and none of Saturday’s rivals come close to this type of class.

The only knock on Trekking is the fact he finished 4th in last year’s Winterbottom Stakes behind Hey Doc, Vital Silver and Rock Magic.

However, he missed the start and had to do too much work early to take a midfield position, and he normally tapers off after his third run in a campaign and he was fifth-up into the race last year.

He heads into Saturday’s $1 million event fourth-up and the services of Pike will make all the difference this time.
On form, Trekking is a clear standout and should be winning.