Winx Stakes Tips & Preview

Winx Stakes

WINX STAKES TIPS & PREVIEW 2022

Looking for Winx Stakes tips and predictions? We take a look at each runner and give our top selections and best bets for the Randwick feature. 

Our 2022 Winx Stakes Tips will be published late on Wednesday, August 18 following the barrier draw.

Below is our preview for the 2021 Winx Stakes where our top selection, Verry Elleegant, finished 2nd to Mo’unga.

 

2021 Winx Stakes Tips

The Winx Stakes is the first Group 1 race of the season and this year’s field features some big names, including Verry Elleegant
($2.90 with Palmerbet), who makes her first appearance since since finishing runner-up in the Queen Elizabeth Stakes (2000m) in the autumn.

Interestingly, the gun mare is one of 13 horses in the field that are resuming from a break. The Chris Waller-trained galloper has been installed as a $2.90 favourite in early markets with Palmberbet, while Kolding is a $5 second elect.

Kolding is the sole contender that has had a start this campaign and went around in the Missile Stakes (1200m). He was well backed that day but could only manage 5th to Phobetor after sitting on the speed and fading late in the piece.

At his last campaign he finished ahead of Verry Elleegant when second up and the mare was resuming that day. That pair filled the minors behind Colette in the Apollo Stakes. Kolding will race near the speed and they might not go too hard here, which should be an advantage. He has a 2-2 head-to-head record in four races against Verry Elleegant but I just wouldn’t have minded seeing more from him in the Missile.

Verry Elleegant is clearly the class runner and settled back in the Apollo Stakes in the autumn before producing the fastest last 200m. The tempo early on was slow that day and she went just 3.2 lengths faster than standard.

When first up last spring in this race, the tempo was a lot more genuine in the Winx Stakes and she was good enough to win this event last year, going 12 lengths faster than standard.

She clearly is one that can produce first up. There are a number that tend to go well fresh including the likes of Mo’Unga ($8) and Think It Over ($9.50), who are other contenders in single figure odds.

Mo’Unga went 12.2 lengths faster than standard when first up in the autumn in what was a truly run CS Hayes Stakes (1400m) at Flemington. The four-year-old was a tad luckless when 3rd behind Tagaloa and Aysar in a race that provided a number of future winners.

Think It Over was a bit of a revelation last autumn and claimed the Liverpool City Cup (1300m) when first up before later going on to break through in Group 1 company in the George Ryder Stakes (1500m). He went just 5.6 lengths faster than standard when first up but sat on speed. Brendan Avdulla rides and the pair hare right in this after drawing barrier 2.

It will be interesting to see how the tempo will play out here. Dreamforce will push across from barrier 11, while Kolding should be thereabouts. Think It Over might box seat. Outside of that trio there does not look to be huge amounts of pace. Brandenburg has gone forward in the past, as has Mount Popa but the latter did that over the 2400m.

Brandenburg took a bit of time to get going last time, while Mount Popa should be better over further. Given that the tempo might not be helter skelter, the likes of Cascadian and Imaging might struggle to notch up a win but should be running on.

Hungry Heart represents a bit of X-factor. She closed out her autumn campaign with three successive wins, including two in Group 1 company with the latter coming over the 2400m in the ATC Oaks (2400m).

Excluding Keiai Nautique, her peak figure of 9.8 lengths faster than standard is the lowest in the field but she might have a bit of upside. The daughter of Frankel was last in a recent trial and betting might be the best guide there.

WHO WILL WIN THE WINX STAKES IN 2021?

It is hard to go past Verry Elleegant in the opening Group 1 of the season. She was wide the trip in this race last year and was headed at the 100m mark before digging deep. The only question mark is the possible lack of tempo but she is adaptable enough to overcome anything the race might throw at her.

For those that like a roughie, consider Dreamforce ($14 with Palmerbet). The nine-year-old was well beaten when first up in this race last year but had a torrid time of it attempting to cross. His fresh form is generally very good and he races well at the track/distance and on Good tracks.

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