Ballarat Tips November 20

Daniel McNeill Daniel McNeill
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Ballarat Tips Saturday November 20

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DUCHESS OF DORSET ($2.40 with bet365) can go a couple of spots better than a last start effort that saw her run 3rd behind It’sourtime on the final day of the Flemington carnival. The lightly raced mare from the Symon Wilde stables won two from two to kick off her preparation before that race and worked hard in the early stages before she was run down late. This looks slightly easier and the race sets up well for her with Linda Meech likely to roll forward or sit just outside the leader.



This shapes as one of the better support races on Ballarat Cup day with the likes of The Gauch, Sirius Suspect and Ocean Beyond in action but it is hard to go past IT’SOURTIME ($3.20 with bet365)  who comes off an excellent win when resuming. That came on Stakes day at Flemington over the 1100m and he was shuffled back at the 300m mark before finding clear air and producing the fastest last 200m of the entire meeting. The son of Time For War went 7.5 lengths faster than standard benchmark and might be open to a bit of improvement at his second run back. In the autumn he was an improver on figures when second up before placing twice in Group company. He has drawn barrier 3 for this assignment and is proven on both Soft and Good tracks.



Keen to take on Alcyone in this race and it is SILENT SOVEREIGN ($10 with bet365) that can go close at the each-way quote. The five-year-old has been solid in her two runs this time n, finishing runner-up behind Imperial Lad in a leader dominated affair at Moonee Valley before stepping out at Flemington on Stakes day and finishing a narrow runner-up behind Our Playboy over the 1600m. She went 10 lengths faster than standard, which are the best last start figures of any runner in this race, and slightly superior to what Alcyone produced on the same day. Third up in the autumn she improved more than 12 lengths on figures when 4th at Group 3 level. She missed out over the 2000m following that after a tough run in the Albury Cup but she does have good form when going up in trip. The daughter of Dalakhani performs well on Soft ground and with even luck from the barrier she can go very close.


Track rating:

Race 7 – 3:40PM Global Turf BM84 Hcp (2000 METRES)
Sign Of Ussuri ($16), Silent Sovereign ($10), Alcyone ($3.50)

Race 8 – 4:20PM Sportsbet Ballarat Cup (2000 METRES)
Zayydani ($8), Vanna Girl ($23), Thought Of That ($3.10), Skyman ($9.50)

Race 9 – 5:00PM Suez McKellar Mile BM78 Handicap (1600 METRES)
Bermadez ($9.50), Seiners Express ($4.80), Typhoon Harmony ($4.80)

Race 10 – 5:40PM Magic Millions Ballarat 3YO & 4YO Classic (1100 METRES)
Outlaw’s Revenge ($8.50), Transplant ($20), Marine One ($4)

Race 7 – 1, 2, 5
Race 8 – 6, 9, 11, 15
Race 9 – 1, 8, 11
Race 10 – 2, 5, 7

Cost = $108 for 100%



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