Hong Kong Mile Tips & Betting Odds
Looking for Hong Kong Mile 2020 tips and betting odds? Our Hong Kong racing expert previews the Sha Tin Group 1 mile event and gives his predictions.
Hong Kong Mile Odds 2020
|ORDER OF AUSTRALIA||$13|
|KA YING STAR||$15|
All In Odds courtesy of bet365 and correct from 12:00pm December 9, 2020. Please Bet Responsibly. Over 18s only. Problem? Visit Gambling Help Online
Hong Kong Mile Tips & Preview
A field of ten will contest this year’s Group 1 Hong Kong Mile (1600m) to be run at Sha Tin on Sunday.
This year’s field is heavily weighted by local runners with just three Internationals lining up to contest the big event.
Japanese representative Admire Mars, last year’s winner, takes his place after finishing third in the Group 1 Mile Championship at Hanshin (Japan).
Joining him from Ireland are Romanised and Order Of Australia who comes off a win in the Group 1 Breeders’ Cup (1609m) run at Keeneland (USA).
The local runners dominate the market however, headed by Golden Sixty who has won his last 10-straight races and a win here would see records tumble.
Who has the strongest form?
Golden Sixty’s resume already reads 13 wins from 14 starts, and unbeaten in all five black-type races contested to date.
This year, he has taken the limelight away from his rivals with strong performances in all races he has contested this year.
His lead-up has been right on track, starting with a win in the Group 3 Celebration Cup (1400m), followed by victories in the Group 2 Sha Tin Trophy (1600m) and Group 2 Jockey Club Mile (1600m), which he covered in a sizzling 1:32.9.
Two-time winner of this race and 2018 Hong Kong Horse Of The Year, Beauty Generation is back for another tilt at the trophy as an eight-year-old.
Weakening to miss a place in the Group Two Sha Tin Trophy last start, maybe the reduction in weight here could see Hong Kong’s pin-up mare bounce right back into contention for her third Longines Hong Mile trophy.
The John Size-trained Waikuku last raced back in April this year where the Harbour Watch gelding finished third (behind Southern Legend and Beauty Generation) in the Group 1 Champion’s Mile. He has trialled twice recently, winning his last trial and has a solid first-up record.
Admire Mars surprised most people when making the trip over to line up in this race last year which saw him take the trophy back to Japan.
He came off a ninth placing, in the Group 3 Fuji Stakes (1600m) (beaten more than four lengths) to beating home Waikuku and Beauty Generation just seven weeks later.
This year he brings stronger form into the race, finishing third in the Group 2 Swan Stakes (1400m) at Kyoto and then third again in the Group 1 Mile Championship (1600m) at Hanshin.
Southern Legend has finished just behind Golden Sixty (twice) and Furore in his past three starts, with his latest effort seeing him finish third in the Group 2 Jockey Club Mile.
Ka Ying Star is yet to salute at Group 1 level but does bring consistent form into the race.
Two starts back, the six-year-old finished a half length second to Golden Sixty in the Group 2 Sha Tin Trophy then last start, finished 1.5 lengths from the same horse in the Group 2 Jockey Club Mile.
His personal best over the mile was set in April this year when he ran the trip 13 lengths quicker than benchmark, four lengths quicker than Golden Sixty’s best of 9 lengths (over the same trip).
Who will win the Hong Kong Mile in 2020?
Beauty Generation would have to match her personal best (13 lengths quicker than benchmark, set in April this year), if she is to match it with the top contenders. The fact is, she is very capable of doing that here.
She finished 3.5 lengths behind Golden Sixty last start, but she meets him 4kgs better here and from gate 3, she will do little to no work early and have plenty in store for the run home.
It is also worth noting that she is a two-time winner when third-up.
Admire Mars comes in with even stronger form than he did last year. His preparation has been somewhat distracted with the breaking news that jockey, Christophe Soumillion has tested positive to Covid-19 and will miss Sunday’s race.
Connections didn’t lose too much on the deal however, with leading British rider, Ryan Moore picking up the ride.
In winning this race last year, he ran the trip 9.6 lengths quicker than benchmark and a repeat of that effort would see him right in the finish again.
Order Of Australia was a surprise winner of the Breeder’s Cup last start, saluting at $41.
The four-year-old covered the mile trip in 1:33.7 and had to do it from the outside gate (14), which makes the time look even better.
But he would have to improve almost a full second to match it with the race favourite (Golden Sixty) who ran his last race (over the mile) in 1:32.9.
Ka Ying Star has chased home Golden Sixty in his past two starts and one would think, fourth-up here, he will strip even fitter for Sunday’s race.
That may well be the case as he did run his final 600m 7.7 lengths quicker than benchmark.
However, as good as those figures read, it was still 3.8 lengths slower than Golden Sixty’s closing effort.
In their last encounter, the Cityscape gelding dictated the race from the front, slowing the tempo mid-race, leaving Golden Sixty five lengths adrift and having all the work to do.
It was all over passing the 200m mark as Golden Sixty quickly got the upper hand and cruised to an easy win.
It would be hard to see Ka Ying Star turn that around in just three weeks.
That leads us to Golden Sixty who is on a mission of his own here. Should he win this race, he will eclipse the Hong Kong record for number of consecutive wins, currently held by him, along with Beauty Generation and Co-Tack who have all won 10-straight.
His three victories this time in have been comfortable to say the least.
His last win, in particular, clearly showed his class, as he cruised past the front runners in the Jockey Club Mile where regular rider, Vince Ho didn’t even need the whip in the end.
The five-year-old won that race, eased near the line and yet still ran his final 600m 11.5 lengths quicker than benchmark.
Drawn well in gate 7, Ho should have him around mid-field with cover, and it really won’t matter what they do up front, Ho will run his own race and avoiding any trouble on the turn, he will find clean air and bring the galloper down the centre of the track for what looks to be a record-breaking victory.