Tips Horses To Follow (QLD) – Blackbookers from Saturday’s Queensland racing

Aaron Hamilton Aaron Hamilton
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Race 6 at Ballarat on Thursday, the Hygain Winners Choice BM64 Handicap (1200m), is an exceptionally strong BM64, and I’m keen on a last start maiden winner to get the cash.

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Thunderdome drops back in class after racing at Caulfield and Flemington in his last three starts, the promising Kaplumpich is third-up and Sleek Acheeva aims for consecutive victories.

However, they will need to produce something special to beat the Lindsey Smith-prepared Our Wind Spirit who won over 1000m at this track last start.

15. JAMAICAN RAIN (7) – Richard Laming, Jamie Kah, 57kg

Firstly, Smith is astute horseman and has been training in Western Australia for more than 25 years. (Lorem)

He recently took over Darren Weir’s Warrnambool stable and has made his mark on Victorian racing by claiming five wins from nine runners including the Listed Winter Championship Final (1600m) with Reykjavik.

Our Wind Spirit kicked off his career in New Zealand with a 3rd placing before joining Smith and trialling on the Ballarat synthetic where he finished 3rd behind Tavisan who won first-up Sandown defeating Spirit Of Aquada and Sam’s Image.

Our Wind Spirit was hard held in the trial and overraced for most of the way, and his trial was arguably as impressive as Tavisan. (Lorem)

He then lined up on the Ballarat synthetic for his Australian debut, and after sitting at the rear early and coming five and six wide for the entire bend, he absolutely motored home for an ultra-impressive victory.

  • 1. STARS OF CARRUM Robbie Laing – Tim Clark (22) 57kg
  • 2. MR QUICKIE Phillip Stokes – John Allen (5) 57kg
  • 3. FUN FACT Bjorn Baker – Michael Cahill (6) 57kg
  • 4. DECLARES WAR Matt Cumani – Craig Williams (1) 57kg
  • 5. SAVVY OAK (NZ) Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young – Michael Walker (2) 57kg

“She has drawn poorly in 18 but she does have a relaxed style early so I think she’s probably going to get out the back anyway and she can run really well from there.

His final 600m (32.76) was run six lengths quicker than the second best final 600m performance of the day (Sylvite in the same race), and in all the time I’ve been analysing BM sectional performance, I’ve never seen such a dominant performance compared to the next best.

His final 400m was three lengths quicker than the next best performance (Mister Hay Zee in Race 4) and his final 200m was two lengths quicker than the second quickest final split of the day (Mutual Respect in Race 8).

All that after being ridden like a good thing.

Ben Allen retains the ride, and from barrier 3, Allen won’t need to be so negative on him. (Lorem)

“She has drawn poorly in 18 but she does have a relaxed style early so I think she’s probably going to get out the back anyway and she can run really well from there.

Over the slightly longer trip, he should be able to settle a bit closer to the speed, maybe midfield or just worse, and as long as Allen can get bring him into the race on the turn, he’ll finish over the top of them.

Hard Up (33.64) and Equiamico (33.90) are the only two horses to have gone quicker than 34 seconds in a final 600m, and while both efforts were over 1000m, they are still six to eight lengths slower than Our Wind Spirit.

If Our Wind Spirit can reproduce that last start effort, or even improve on it which is scary, he should simply be winning on Thursday. (Lorem)


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