Ballarat Tips May 9

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RACE 3 – 1:20PM CERVUS EQUIPMENT SUPER VOBIS THREE-YEARS-OLD MAIDEN PLATE (1200 METRES)
FOXY FRIDA is a clear top pick in Race 3 of the day at Ballarat. The Andrew Noblet-trained filly has finished runner-up in all three of her career runs and resumed at Kilmore on April 22, narrowly missing out behind Paparazzi Queen, while there was a four length gap back to the 3rd placegetter. She was posted out wide for much of that race and went 0.3 lengths faster that standard, which should hold up very well in Maiden grade, while she should be open to improvement at her second run this time in. John Allen rides and can sit just off them from barrier 7.

RACE 4 – 1:55PM THE HAYMARKET MAIDEN PLATE (1600 METRES)
Another that should break the maiden tag early on the Ballarat programme is BURLEIGH BOY. The promising three-year-old from the Danny O’Brien camp wasn’t disgraced behind the likes of Cherry Tortoni and Flinders River last winter and resumed with a runner-up performance behind Logan Street Lion at Geelong over the 1400m on April 20. In that race, the son of Pride Of Dubai led them up and went down by two lengths but there was a three length gap back to the 3rd placegetter. He went 6.8 lengths slower than standard and will need to improve on that but they are the best last start figures in the field, while at his last campaign he improved his figures with every start. With the fitness in the tank, we can expect him to be hard to beat in this race.

Best Value comes up in Race 6 and it is VUNGERS that can go close at his third run back from a spell. The consistent performer stepped out at Caulfield on April 17 and loomed as the winner at decent odds before just being headed late by Dice Roll. He looms as the likely leader in this race and might get to enjoy the 1400m on his terms. His last start benchmark figures are the second best in this field and at his last campaign he improved nearly 10 lengths at this stage when going from a runner-up effort at Horsham over the 1400m to a 4th at Flemington behind Do You Reckon in the MCCC Country Final (1600m). He then blitzed his rivals in the Donald Cup (1620m) and the Wodonga Cup (1590m). A slight firmer in the early betting, the 1.5kg claim gets his down to a winnable weight and he shouldn’t have too much trouble finding the lead from barrier 5.

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