Ballarat Tips April 11

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MIRACLE DAY looks set to break the Maiden tag in Race 2 of the day. The Robert Hickmott-trained galloper has had the four career runs and has placed in two of those. He resumed with a 3rd at the Sandown Lakeside track on March 24 over the 1200m and went hard early on in that race before sticking on well for 3rd, beaten two lengths by Michigan. At his only start of his previous campaign he ran 4th behind Esta La Roca over the 1000m at Cranbourne in what proved to be a strong form race. Both of those runs came on Soft tracks. In his recent run he was first up and went nearly seven lengths faster than standard, which are serious figures for this level. Unless one of the first starters can pull a rabbit out of the hat, this looks to be the one for him with the fitness in the tank.

This looks to be a suitable assignment for LAUGHING GRIZZLEY, who is another that steps out in Maiden grade on the Ballarat programme. The Mick Price and Michael Kent (Jnr)-trained galloper has had two runs this time in and was 3rd at Werribee over the 1600m when resuming before placing 4th at Kyneton over the 1850m at his most recent start. In that race, the son of Sebring settled back and they absolutely crawled early on. He produced the second best late sectionals of the race and went more than five lengths faster than standard over the last 600m. At his last campaign he went close in his first two runs before missing out at Listed level behind Khoekhoe in the Super Impose Stakes (1800m). From barrier 3, he should enjoy a nice time of it, while the step up to the 2000m looks to be in his favour.

THE BRUMBY can be an improver in Race 6 of the day. The Tony McEvoy-trained galloper showed plenty of talent in the spring and at this stage of his last preparation he finished runner-up behind Instant Celebrity at Listed level before bumping into the likes of Aysar and Poland in a BenchMark 64 at Sandown over the 1300m, splitting that pair. The question is as to whether or not he is going anywhere as near as well this time around but in his two runs this time he has settled back in slowly run affairs, while he did have a couple of excuses when stepping up to the 1600m from the 1200m on March 27. He drops down to the 1400m and will get back from the draw but with an even tempo or better, we should be seeing him work home nicely against this lot.

With a wet-track likely at Ballarat I am keen on ROSE OF SEBRING in the final event of the day. The Maher/Eustace filly was strong over the 1100m at Ballarat when resuming, defeating the Godolphin galloper, Viascha, with that pair clearing out by nearly four lengths. The daughter of Sebring went 4.5 lengths faster than standard, which is better than what any horse in this race has produced in the past two years. At her only other career second up run she held her figures to win at the track and trip last year. She has attracted a heap of support in the early betting and should be given a nice run from barrier 6 with Luke Currie to ride.

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