Belmont Tips September 18

  • 2 to 4 best bets for Belmont.

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LA FAROLA (Best odds currently $3.60 with Sportsbet) was the Best Bet for most last start but on reflection had excuses. He got no cart into the race and found himself in the middle of the track where no one could win from. Fangio on the other hand got the Pike of Pike rides on the red hot rail and was too good first-up. Obviously has natural improvement but I still think La Farola is going better at the moment and from the draw should be able to turn the tables. Don’t forget the start before last, he gave the Notorious One a scare.

The Nicopolis Stakes is an open race in my opinion. I could see Multiverse at $23 running a race, Jericho Missile at $10 running a race, but I’m going with CRYSTAL SPIRIT (Best odds currently $9.00 with TAB) at the each-way quote. First-up run put the writing on the wall, won for us second-up at $10+ when we were on and last start was HUGE after missing the kick, getting home almost 10L faster than the average class benchmark. Now that was a 66+ and they did have a claim, so in a Listed race with a senior it is a much bigger task, but if he can jump with them, get a cart up into the race and let down like he did last start, then the $9 and $2.80 is worth an each-way play. Any rain around will also help.

RED HOT TIP (Best odds currently $6.00 with TAB) has returned nicely this preperation. Both runs have been behind Brave Dream and he hasn’t had the most luck in either. Now he has a few negatives here: barrier 11, 60.5kg, 1600 up to 2000m and 21 days between runs, but if Brad Rawiller can put him into a nice spot early, build momentum around the corner and give him a clear run down the straight, I think he has shown this prep that he is going good enough to give these guys a scare at $6 and $2.30.

We’re hoping Brad Rawiller can ride the last two winners of the day with ALL DAY SESSION (Best odds currently $4.60 with TAB) in the last. Good support for this galloper already who opened up at $5.50 and for good reason. Also hasn’t had the best luck this prep and his performances behind Iseered Iseered and also Spin the Knife have been full of merit. Expecting a big performance here in the last and like Crystal Spirit, any rain around will not hurt!.

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20% Exotics Bonus | All Metro Races | Saturday 18 September

The Event: All Metro Races (Saturday 18 September)

The BlueBet Offer: Get 20% Bonus on Quinella, Trifecta & First 4s on all races at Caulfield, Randwick, Gold Coast, Morphettville & Belmont on Saturday – up to $200 per exotic type per race.

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