Belmont Tips June 16

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Belmont Tips

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The opener at Belmont sees the three-year-olds in action and I am going with TIME SCALE (Best odds $2.60 with Palmerbet) to chalk up a win after three recent placings. The Simon Miller-trained galloper was 3rd behind the promising Graceful Girl two starts ago over the 1100m at Ascot before tackling the 1000m here on June 5, finishing runner-up behind Brooklyn Pier. In that race, she settled handy to the speed and they set a fast tempo relative to the class in the early stages. She was eventually run down by the winner, going four lengths faster than overall benchmark figures. They are the best last start figures of any runner and she is one of only two horses in the race to go faster than standard in their careers. The other is Crypto Queen. A firmer in the early betting, Time Scale might just sit off that horse with Patrick Carberry to ride and the pair should be hard to beat.

Race 3 is another scamper over the 1000m, this time for the Class 1 gallopers and PAEROA LAD (Best odds $10 with ladbrokes) might be worth a play at the each-way odds. The Mark Bairstow-trained galloper is on the short back up after narrowly missing out at Class 3 level at the track and trip on June 9. In that race, she was posted out three wide but was strong to the line and went 1.3 lengths slower than standard benchmark, which is five lengths better than the next best last start figures of any runner. Prior to that she looked a bit lost out in front when racing greenly at the track and trip but her best form tends to be over the 1000m. From barrier 6, she will be ridden by Mitchell Pateman, who has combined with Bairstow for 16 wins from 79 starts, providing a profit on turnover of 45%.

We close out the day with a Class 3 over the 1650m and MISS DOMINICAN (Best odds $16 with Sportsbet) can go close at the double figure odds. The Fred Kersley-trained mare has had the one run this time in, finishing 6th in this grade over the 1400m on June 2, beaten just over two lengths by The Verdict. The 3rd placegetter out of that race has since gone on to win and she went 2.7 lengths slower than standard, which are the third best last start figures of any runner. Second up last time she improved nearly 10 lengths on figures to go a tick faster than standard when 3rd in a strong form race at Ascot over the 1500m. With similar improvement to come at her second run back she can go close with the 3kg claimer, Beaux Banovic-Edwards on board.

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