Caulfield Tips January 25
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Caulfield Tips – January 25
Race 2 – 1:30pm DrinkWise Plate (1400m)
In a race where I don’t think there is a lot between a few runners, I was keen to take what I thought was an attractive price about the Lindsay Park-trained OCEAN DEEP. She was restrained at the start by Linda Meech, so I can only imagine it was instructions from the stable to “find cover”. Despite not being suited by the race shape, I thought her ability to run home strongly into fourth was terrific. She ran the fastest last 200m and 400m of the race, whilst running the second-fastest last 600m of the meeting and the third-fastest last 800m of the meeting. Her peak figure over the last 24 months is 10.6 lengths above benchmark, which is the second-best peak performance figure in the race and it is important to note that it came at this track and distance. I think she gets the cart over with Titan Blinders from the outside barrier and is over the odds at an each-way price.
Race 5 – 3:20pm Lamaro’s Hotel Sth Melbourne Hcp (1400m)
Again this is a race where there doesn’t look to be much between the horses in the market and although the benchmark ratings say that the right form reference is the 1200m Sandown race won by Wilmot Pass with Wedgetail, No Change and Rutherford in behind, my gut feel is looking at some different form might not be a bad idea here. I’ve gone with the Dean Grass-trained HIGH TORQUE who was almost the pick of the yard for the night from the mounting yard last Thursday Night at Pakenham. He walked perfectly off an eight-week freshen-up and will only improve here second-up. The leaders went 3.8 lengths slower than class benchmark at Pakenham and he really didn’t have much hope the way the race was run but I loved his last 200m, ripping home in the eighth-fastest last 200m of the meeting and the fastest last 200m of any horse on the meeting that wasn’t in race six. My only concern is staying at 1400m but I’m hoping he can position slightly closer in the run from barrier three with Linda Meech on board and looks a good each-way hope.
Race 7 – 4:40pm Le Pine Funerals Hcp (1100m)
Another horse I believe is over the odds on this Caulfield program is the Symon Wilde-trained FORBID ME NOT. Craig Williams rode her first-up at The Valley, which is a good indication that the horse is going well and she ran well without any luck. All nine winners were in the top four in run at the 400m, so she was terrific vs the pattern of the day. She was behind Wagner (who also wasn’t getting any luck) around the home turn and by the time Craig Williams went wide around the home turn the race was over. I thought she hit line as good as Wagner, running the ninth-fastest last 200m of the meeting, 12th-fastest last 400m of the meeting and seventh-fastest last 600m of the meeting. She was $17 into $5.00 when she won second-up last preparation at Sandown on a rain affected track and although I’m not that type of move for her on Saturday, I do think she’ll start closer to single figures than her current quote.