Flemington Tips July 4
- 2 to 4 best bets for Flemington each meeting.
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Flemington Tips – July 4
Race 1 – 11:50AM AAMI Next Generation Sprinters Series Final (1200 METRES)
Flemington Finals Race Day kicks off with the two-year-olds in action over the 1200m and SENSE OF HONOUR should be hard to beat. The Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr-trained galloper was one of the real eye-catchers out of the Moonee Valley meeting on June 13 when settling back on a day that played into the hands of the on-pacers. He stepped out over the 1200m in that race and was well back before they rounded before coming out very wide and running on for 4th, finishing within a length of Crosshaven. He ran his last 600m more than 11 lengths quicker than benchmark, producing the best splits for this section in the entire meeting. At his second run back he can improve on that effort and he has attracted support in the early betting.
Race 3 – 1:00PM Kennedy Taj Rossi Series Final (1600 METRES)
The two-year-olds stretch out over the 1600m and Cherry Tortoni is all the rage in the early betting after taking out the key lead up for this at Flemington over the 1420m two weeks ago. One that comes out of a separate race at Sandown and can challenge is TOYZ ON FIRE. The Tony McEvoy-trained galloper won her Maiden at Wangaratta in early June and headed to Sandown on June 17, running on strongly on a day in which the back markers generally struggled. She settled at the tail over the 1300m that day and ran on very strongly out wide to finish within a length of Mystique Falcon. That race rated slightly superior on benchmark figures in comparison to the Cherry Tortoni race and she meets the winner out of that 2kg better at the weights, while she should be suited at the Flemington track. From barrier 10, she will get back and there does look to be sufficient speed for her to enjoy a cart into the race.
Race 4 – 1:35PM G.H. Mumm Mahogany Challenge Final (2500 METRES)
The three-year-old stayers stretch out over the 2500m and PERSAN shapes as one of the better bets of the afternoon. The Maher/Eustace-trained galloper was dominant in the key lead up to this over the 2000m a fortnight ago when kicking clear in the straight to hold out Right You Are, while there was a big gap back to a number of the rivals that he meets agin here. He was a two length winner over the 2000m at Flemington prior to that and has been improving with every start, running 10 lengths quicker than overall benchmark figures last time. He has been strong at the business end in a number of runs now so that extra 500m shouldn’t pose too many problems. From barrier 6, he won’t be too far away in the run and with Tye McNeil in the saddle he looks to be the one.
Race 9 – 4:37PM Schweppes Rivette Series Final (1400 METRES)
The final event of the day is the Rivette Series Final for the fillies and BEAUTY BOLT can make her presence felt at the $8. The Grahame Begg-trained galloper has had four runs this time in and claimed an easier affair at Sandown on resumption before a couple of inconclusive runs at Caulfield and Morphettville in the Schweppes Oaks (2000m). She dropped back in trip to the 1400m at Flemington on June 6 and scooted home along the rails to just miss out behind Queen La Diva. She ran more than eight lengths quicker than benchmark in that race, which is superior to the personal bests of any other runner. From barrier 5, she should enjoy a cosy run in a midfield position and wth luck in running she can close the day out a winner.
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