Flemington Tips January 18
- 2 to 3 best bets for Flemington each meeting.
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Flemington Tips – January 18
Race 1 – 3:10pm Flemington Event Staff Handicap (1100m)
If she jumps away cleany, I thought the Mick Price and Michael Kent Jnr-trained PARLOPHONEis a terrific bet at the current price. She bucked at the start on debut and was ten-lengths from the second-last horse at the 800m. It was obviously a complete forget run but I actually didn’t mind her work through the line and I was taken by her recent jumpout at Caulfield. She showed terrific natural early speed to burn across and lead and won under a hold in what was clearly the fastest time of the morning. The horse I thought was the main danger was Better Kick, who has now been scratched with leaves me very keen on Parlophone.
Race 2 – 3:50pm Donate to Foodbank Victoria (1720m)
On a very tough meeting at headquarters, I thought the Mick Kent-trained RED HEELER could be the best bet of the day. The four-year-old mare was slightly unsuited last start but really hit the line nicely, running five-lengths above the class benchmark for her final 600m and the 11th-fastest last 200m of the meeting. She is now on the quick back-up, maps perfectly from barrier five and the step-up from 1400m to 1720m should suit. The danger in the race could be Ruby Skye, who is coming through two fast run races, which I expect the market to respect and should be at peak fitness now fifth-up. She just missed here at Flemington last start and should be around the mark again. The horse in the market I was keen to take on was Great Duchess. She is a Greg Eurall horse deep in her preparation, which is a negative and is 1600m back to 1400m last start and now jumps up again to 1720m. She was beaten fair and square by Red Heeler two starts ago and I can’t have her as short as the market suggests.
Race 5 – 5.50pm Kensington Stakes (1000m)
Race 9 – 8:00pm Thank You Volunteers (1800m)
The Trent Busuttin and Natalie Young-trained JACK REGAN has been sent out at massive prices at his two starts this preparation but that doesn’t mean he can’t win third-up here at Headquarters. He ran the fastest midrace sectionals first-up behind Bumper Blast and I found him from the yard last start over 1600m. I thought he was completely unsuited from the back and his effort to run fourth, running the fastest last 400m, 600m and 800m splits of the race was sensational, whilst also running the third-fastest last 1000m of the meeting. I’m expecting the speed to be on and with Tom Stockdale on board, he can just blend into the race nicely from barrier 12 and can have the last shot at them.