Kembla Grange Tips March 12
- Best bets for Kembla Grange each meeting.
Looking for Kembla Grange Tips and best bets? Our form analyst has previewed the meeting at Kembla Grange Racecourse and given his top picks for the day.
As well as midweek racing, Kembla Grange hosts quality meeting just about every second Saturday with the course boasting one of the best shaped racetracks in Australia which provides every horse its chance due to the long straight.
Second-up today, the Joe Pride-trained PATROLLING comes off an unplaced city run first-up but looks well placed here to make amends. Returning to work after five months in the paddock, the Epaulette gelding placed in two trials before resuming in a BM64 at Canterbury last start. He drew the outside gate that day (9), and travelled wide the whole trip. Brenton Avdulla had him the widest runner on the turn, and although not a winning chance from there, he still ran home strongly and never gave up, finishing fourth, beaten just two lengths on the line. He covered the 1200m, 1 length slower than benchmark on the Soft 6 track, which is the second-best effort here behind Charm Offensive (who is 12 starts into this preparation). Today, Joe Pride’s three-year-old has Regan Bayliss aboard for the first time and from an ideal draw in gate four, he maps to get the gun run here just behind the pace. Already a second-up winner, he looks the one to beat here.
Race 4 - 3:05PM PFD FOOD SERVICES A J 'BERT' LILLYE MEMORIAL HANDICAP (1200 METRES)
Best Bet 🏆No. 3 SUBEDAR $1.70 Bet Now!
James Cummings saddles-up three runners here and could potentially trifecta the event as we run with the in-form SUBEDAR who looks the pick of the day. After 15 months off the scene, the Sepoy gelding returned to racing at Randwick where he left his mark, finishing second in a BM88 over 1400m. Then last start, after a seven-week freshen-up, He made the trip to Flemington where took on a BM90 over 1200m and down the straight course, gave the 10-strong field a start and a beating, winning that event by 1.5 lengths in the expert hands of Jamie Kah who got the best out of him that day. He ran a new personal best as he covered the trip, 8.5 lengths quicker than benchmark, the best here by 3.5 lengths. His last 600m was even more impressive, covering that in 11 lengths better than benchmark, that is the best by 5 lengths in this field. He also ran the fastest final 800m, 600m and 400m race sectionals. Today, he drops back to provincial class and based on his last start effort, he should finish too strong for this field.
Race 7 - 4:55PM CARLTON DRAUGHT KEMBLA GRANGE CLASSIC (1600 METRES)
Best Value 💰No. 2 ELIZABEEL $3.50 Bet Now!
Never out of a top-five finish in 10 career starts, the John Sargent- trained ELIZABEEL is third-up today and is a genuine winning chance here. Two starts back, the Power filly lined up in the Group 2 Light Fingers Stakes (1200m) at Randwick and after drawing out, travelled wide the entire trip. She finished strongly that day to end up in fourth place, beaten just 1.5 lengths. Then last start, she stepped up to elite class where she contested the Group 1 Surround Stakes (1400m) where again she had it all to do from the outset. Jumping from gate 13 (of 16), she was wide all the way (again), and in the run home, put up a mighty effort to chase Forbidden Love all the way to the line, eventually finishing third in the big race. She that trip, 9.2 lengths quicker than benchmark, setting a new personal best, and that ranks number one in this field. This is a big drop in class today and although drawn out again, she maps to be mid-field with cover. Robbie Dolan remains aboard, having steered her to both career wins to date. Already a winner when third-up, she will prove the testing material today.
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