Warwick Farm Tips June 30
- Best bets for Warwick Farm
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The Jason Deamer-trained TIME RAID (best odds $5 with Palmerbet) has been racing without muck of late and gets his chance here to turn it around and bring his first win for this preparation. Last start, the Time Thief gelding led the BM72 field on the Kensington track and looked likely to go all the way, only to grabbed in closing stages and having to settle for third prize, beaten half a length on the line. He still ran the trip out, 4.4 lengths quicker than benchmark, setting a new personal best and being the best effort in this field. Deamer fits the winkers on the gelding for the first time here as Louise Day sticks with him today. Drawn the fence, he should have little trouble settling on the pace and maps to do so accordingly. Already a three-time winner on wet tracks, he should revel in the going today and looks poised break the shackles and bring up his seventh career win.
Joe Pride saddles-up DERBARI here (best odds $4.80 with Bet365) who is fourth-up today and sporting a gear change, looks set to break his Warwick Farm duck. Last start, the Dundeel gelding came within a whisker of victory here in a BM72 contest. That day, he had to deal with a Heavy 8 surface over the 1400m trip, and was gallant in defeat, beaten less than half a length when picking up third prize. He ran it out, 3.9 lengths quicker than benchmark, the best in this line-up. Conditions are almost identical today, meeting similar company over the same distance and on the same track. This time he has Tyler Schiller aboard for the first time and after his claim, the four-year-old carries 3kgs less than last start which could make all the difference. The stable have decided to put the blinkers back on him today and drawn well in gate seven, he maps to settle just behind the speed. With the drop in weight and soft conditions today, he looks right in the mix here.
A dual-acceptor today (also nominated as an emergency in race six), VAN GIZ (best odds $7.50 with Sportsbet) is in great touch this preparation and looks well placed here to keep the trend going. Last start, the Written Tycoon mare came off a win in a BM72 on this track when she faced similar company over 1200m on a heavy track. She ran into trouble looking for clean air in the run and after finally getting through, she ran home strongly to beat all but one home, beaten a neck on the line. She ran her last 600m, 9 lengths quicker than benchmark, the best in this field and ran the entire trip, 2.3 lengths quicker than standard, also the best in this line-up. The four-year-old mare also posted the fastest overall sectionals for the event. There is plenty of early speed here, giving her the opportunity to take a sit behind the pace on settling. She is a winner at the track and has a superb wet-track record and if she runs in this contest, she will be hard to beat today.
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