Royal Ascot Day 4 Tips and Race-by-Race Selections
Race-by-race selections for another top-class afternoon on Royal Ascot fourth day at the 2019 Royal Ascot Festival.
We enter day four of the 2019 Royal Ascot Festival on Friday, and there is more top-class horse racing action to enjoy with two Group One contests spearheading another quality racecard at the Berkshire venue.
The Group One Commonwealth Cup and the Coronation Stakes are Friday’s main events on the penultimate day’s racecard; while the King Edward VII Stakes provides classy Group Two support along with some competitive Group Three and handicap action.
Race 1 – Albany Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies)
DAAHYEH overcame experience on her debut to get off the mark at the first attempt, beating subsequent Queen Mary Stakes winner Raffle Prize by the better part of two lengths. That was a very solid performance, and the Bated Breath filly got better as the race unfolded to score a decisive win. That form looks much better now with the runner-up getting off the mark next time at Chester prior to winning a valuable prize here on Wednesday. Roger Varian’s charge ought to have significant improvement to come on the back of that debut outing, and if the softer ground doesn’t prove a hindrance then it wouldn’t come as a huge surprise to see him progress for the experience to double up here under David Egan who rode him to victory last time out.
JAPAN stepped up markedly on his reappearance run in the Dante Stakes at York – which was clearly needed – to chase down stablemate Anthony Van Dyck in the Epsom Derby earlier in the month, and Aidan O’Brien’s charge can get back on the winning trail here. A smart, dual-winning juvenile which included the Group Two Beresford Stakes at Naas, the Galileo colt shaped as if needing the outing at York back in May where he stayed on at one pace to finish fourth behind Telecaster. That run brought him on in no uncertain terms, and he caught the eye with a fast-finishing third at Epsom where he might well have won in another few strides. That form has been boosted by the sixth, Circus Maximus, winning the St James’s Palace Stakes earlier in the week, and the son of Galileo can find another jolt of improvement. Softer ground is of no concern, having got off the mark in heavy conditions on just his second start last term, and he very much looks the one to beat here with the potential for better still.
There is a fair chance that the ground will have gone against ADVERTISE, but if the rain stays away and the ground gets a chance to dry out a little then it would be worth keeping faith with Martyn Meade’s charge to bounce back from his poor run in the Qipco 2000 Guineas. The Showcasing colt won three of his five starts last term, which included the Group One Keeneland Phoenix Stakes where he beat So Perfect by a half-length. His two defeats last term saw him find only Calyx too strong in last season’s Coventry Stakes, and a subsequent hat-trick attempt was denied by Too Darn Hot in the Dewhurst. He ran no sort of a race back at Newmarket in the Guineas where he probably needed the run which came at a time when the yard were quiet. There have been signs in recent days that the stable are beginning to turn a corner, and the Showcasing colt is given another chance dropped back to sprinting in first-time blinkers. His ability to handle the softer ground will need to be taken on trust, but he could post a big effort if able to recapture his best form for all this is another stern test.
Dual-1000 Guineas heroine Hermosa will be a tough nut to crach as she bids to land another Group One prize; but it could be worth chancing on Irish 1000 Guineas runner-up PRETTY POLLYANNA to inflict a surprise defeat on Aidan O’Brien’s latest big name filly. Michael Bell’s Oasis Dream filly proved herself a highl0class performer last term, winning twice which included the Group One Morny, after which she made the frame in a pair of starts at Newmarket which included finishing third in the Fillies’ Mile. She finished less than one length behind Hermosa on that occasion, possibly getting to the front too soon; but the front trio had pulled clear of the rest, and she was giving up race-fitness to Aidan O’Brien’s charge at the Curragh with that rival having had the benefit of a prior run. Likely to be sharper now with that outing under her belt, she nevertheless needs to find some improvement on the back of that reappearance if she’s to thwart the dual-Guineas heroine from winning again. But she is rated only 2lbs below the Ballydoyle star, and she can give Hermosa something to worry about in this rematch where her experience could prove a big factor over the unbeaten pair of Jubiloso and Castle Lady.
HOTSY TOTSY looked a useful performer on debut at Newbury in soft ground, finishing less than one length third behind Quick; Ed Walker’s charge subsequently stepped up on that performance to get off the mark at the second attempt, beating Alhakmah at Salisbury in a minor contest. The Casamento filly ran out an easy five lengths’ winner on that occasion, and the runner-up along with the fifth and sixth horses home have all won since. She added to her own tally when making a successful transition to the all-weather with another wide-margin success at Kempton last month, and that form was also boosted by the third winning next time. Now switching to a handicap, she has been handed a very fair mark ahead of her debut in this sphere, and with her ability to handle the conditions already proven then she could find a further jolt of improvement to land the hat-trick.
COLLIDE won three times last term, all on good-to-soft ground or softer and Hugo Palmer’s charge could get back to winning ways here. The Frankel colt registered the third of those wins at Nottingham in October, after which he shaped as if amiss when finishing a well-beaten last of seven runners in the Listed Jane Seymour Stakes at Newmarket and subsequently put away with an eye to the new campaign. He returned from a break as good as ever to win at Kempton in April, and there wasn’t a great deal wrong with his subsequent fourth behind First Eleven – Fujaira Prince and Corgi also both in front – on ground that would surely have proven far too quick for him. Faced with a more suitable underfoot surface for this latest outing, he remains with scope to do better still despite being raised another 1lb in the weights, and while he probably does need to find a shade more he could well do so with conditions in his favour.