Flemington Finals Day Tips – race-by-race guide to Finals Day at Flemington
- Preview and top 4 selections for every race.
A total of nine races will be held at Flemington on Finals Day, and our form analyst has every race covered with his top four selections.
Black type is up for grabs with three Listed races on the programme, while the total prizemoney for the meeting is in excess of $1 million.
Race 1 – 11:45AM LEILANI SERIES FINAL (1400 METRES)I’m willing to take on the short-priced favourite Organza with impressive last start winner POP QUEEN who went 10.5 lengths above benchmark at the track and trip on a Soft 7. A patient ride saw the mare swoop from the rear, and with similar track conditions and an honest tempo set by Pria Eclipse, it wouldn’t surprise to see Pop Queen finishing best again. Organza is hardest to beat and little Pria Eclipse is so game and can’t be discounted.
Race 2 – 12:20PM VRC-CRV CUP TOUR TROPHY (2000 METRES)Happy to side with THE STATESMAN in an open event following a nice first-up run over 1600m at Sandown behind Mr Marathon Man and Waging War. The speed has come out of this with Impi being scratched, and I think that might suit The Statesman with Craig Williams rating him to perfection just behind the speed. He improved with each run last campaign which culminated in a win at the track and distance, and the step up in trip here will see an improved effort. Masculino won fourth-up on the one-week back-up this time last year and rates as the main danger following his impressive win last week. 1st – The Statesman2nd – Masculino3rd – Pacodali4th – Barry The Baptist
Race 3 – 12:55PM SILVER BOWL SERIES FINAL (1600 METRES)Impossible to go past BUFFALO RIVER after he belted Asgard Massif last start and was eased down well before the line. He has plenty of upside and looks perfectly suited on his home track with the long straight to wind up. The next three in betting rate much higher than the rest and luck in running will play a part in which order they finish, however, Heavenly Emperor has upside and defeated Mr Exclusive last time they met, and the latter has since run 10 lengths above BM at the track and trip – so, I have Heavenly Emperor in for 2nd. 1st – Buffalo River2nd – Heavenly Emperor3rd – Asgard Massif4th – Mr Exclusive
Race 4 – 1:30PM BANJO PATERSON SERIES FINAL (2600 METRES)Trainer Simon Morrish is riding the crest of a wave with CHOUXTING THE MOB, and I can see no reason to jump ship this time. He’s unbeaten in two starts at Flemington where he can really go though his gears and hit the line hard in the final 100m – so the extra 100m as he steps up to 2600m is ideal without really stretching him beyond the unknown. He has a great record on Soft tracks with five wins and a placing from six attempts, and he can add another win to that tally on Saturday. 1st – Chouxting The Mob2nd – Mawaany Machine3rd – Future Score4th – Lamborghini
Race 5 – 2:10PM TAJ ROSSI SERIES FINAL (1600 METRES)Sticking with Patrick Payne’s RUBISAKI who was an impressive winner over 1400m at Flemington last start. Her win was the slowest of the three 1400m races, however, her final 600m was far superior to Pop Queen who won the following event, and it was only marginally slower than Blazejowski who was runner-up to Romancer later in the day. Rubisaki is only a two-year-old, and to be running comparable times with the older horses over 1400m shows she has a bright future. The step up to the mile is a slight concern but her dam, Senro Kisaki, was effective up to 2000m and is a mile winner at Randwick on a Heavy track. 1st – Rubisaki2nd – Edinburgh3rd – Pancho4th – Cassius
Race 6 – 2:50PM THE MAHOGANY CHALLENGE FINAL (2500 METRES)DOGMATIC recorded the second highest BM performance at Caulfield last week behind Tavirun and now faces the quick back-up. Fifth-up at peak fitness he’ll be hard to hold out as he steps up to this trip for the first time. Not A Single Cent is rock-hard-fit and can improve back at Flemington while his stablemates Dunmam, El Vincitore and Wealthy Wolf will be thereabouts. 1st – Dogmatic2nd – Not A Single Cent3rd – Dunmam4th –Wealthy Wolf
Race 7 – 3:30PM ALL VICTORIAN SPRINT SERIES FINAL (1200 METRES)Not sure what was up with INVINCIBLE AL last start, but his run was full of merit and he may provide some value here. Tahlia Hope rode him and had him in a nice spot just off the speed, but as the pace went on he was flatfooted and dropped out before picking up again and passing runners late. Craig Williams takes the ride on Saturday and has ridden this horse once before when he swooped from last at Moonee Valley to grab 3rd behind Ashlor and Desert Lashes over 955m. I have a feeling he’s been set for this and Williams will ride him cold and come with a booming run to topple them at double-figure odds. 1st – Invincible Al2nd – I’m Telling Ya3rd – Milwaukee4th – Crown Fontein
Race 8 – 4:10PM VRC-CRV WINTER CHAMPIONSHIP SERIES FINAL (1600 METRES)Having chosen The Statesman earlier on the card, it makes sense to stick with MR MARATHON MAN who came with a booming run to defeat that galloper at Sandown two weeks ago. They went quick early in that event (8 lengths above BM), and while Mr Marathon Man appeared strong through the line, his best part of the race was from the 800m to the 200m, and he seemed to peak late third-up over the mile. His best form in France is up to 2000m, and with that last strong mile under his belt, he can hold a more forward position and finish best again. 1st – Mr Marathon Man2nd – Waging War3rd – Romancer4th – Hellova Street
Race 9 – 4:44PM RIVETTE SERIES FINAL (1600 METRES)SURE KNEE was ultra-impressive winning last start and can make it back-to-back wins here. She’s probably the best chance on the card. Looking for placegetters, it’s worth noting Damien Oliver has ridden Benitoite and Shamal Lass at their last two starts and sticks with the latter so I’m taking that as a strong push for the Symon Wilde-trained filly. 1st – Sure Knee2nd – Shamal Lass3rd – Fabric4th – Benitoite