Morphettville Tips December 28 – Best bets and Saturday racing expert tips

  • 2 to 4 best bets for Morphettville each week.
  • Previous results included.

Looking for tips for Saturday racing from Morphettville? 

Our form analysts give you the best bets for a profitable day of punting.

Morphettville Racecourse is South Australia’s premier race track and hosts up to 70 days of racing action throughout the year.

Located less than 10km from the Adelaide CBD, Morphettville’s race meetings are split between its two tracks; the Morphettville course proper and the Morphettville Parks circuit.

See our free weekly Morphettville best bets below:

December 26

DEBT COLLECTOR gets arguably the best hoop in SA aboard and I’m looking forward to seeing what he can do at peak fitness with Barend Vorster taking the reins. He produced a personal best fifth-up last campaign when going 11.7 lengths better than BM as he flashed home to finish 2nd at Flemington over 1400m. He’s had two extremely poor rides at his last two starts and has still smashed the clock late. This horse needs a quick tempo, yet Teodore Nugent was happy to settle at the rear with him in what was his slowest ever sectionals to the 600m – he gave the horse no chance as the stable he rides for most took victory. Next is was apprentice Teagan Voorham who let him go 7.6 lengths slower than BM to the 600m which was the third slowest he’s ever gone early. Debt Collector’s three best performances have come when he goes better than BM to the 600m, so if Vorster actually lets him use to early speed, and I believe he will, Debt Collector will just win.

Race 7 – 4:56PM Schweppes Southern Speed Series Final (2046 METRES)
What a massive run from EPERDUMENT last start. He ran the 35th quickest final 600m of the meeting, and the 28th quickest final 400m, but he ran the fifth fastest final 200m, and the only horses that went quicker where in 1050m or 1100m races. He was only third-up and surely has a stack of upside which should allow him to sit a bit closer before producing that big finish.

Previous Tips:

December 26

Race 4 – 2:51PM AAMI HANDICAP (1050 METRES)
EXALTED MAXINE did all the donkey work last start and towed the field up to I’m Too Hot who went too quick. Exalted Maxine got there too early and was left exposed for the entire straight, and she did a great job to keep battling second-up. That was a career best BM performance as she went 4.3 lengths better than BM, and she should still have upside being third-up on Thursday. Senior rider goes aboard, and the pair will prove hard to beat.

EXALTED DEE runs so well off the quick back-up and looks to do it again here. She was never in doubt two starts back at Gawler on the four-day back-up, and she then beat all bar Coffee Amour who was carrying 6kg less. Jason Holder sticks with her and will give her every chance from barrier 3.
Result (Won – $4.60)

NASEEB loves this track and trip and has three wins and a 2nd from five attempts. He bounced back to form stepping up to the mile last start winning in a time of 1:36.74 which rated 3.1 lengths better than BM on the day. The in-form Enki won at the track and trip in 1:37.07 last start and now goes up 5kg while Naseeb gets a claiming apprentice and drops 3.5kg. Tongsai Boss was beaten 1.8 lengths by Enki and also goes up in weight here, so with peak fitness fourth-up, Naseeb looks a weighted special compared to the other market leaders.
Result (Won – $4.60)

December 7

I’m very keen on TATOOSH here. After being tested over 1800m in September, trainer Will Clarken took the foot of the accelerator and gave him a bit of a break before resetting and lining up in a 1000m. He then went to the China Bowl (1300m) at Ararat before contesting the City Of Marion Stakes (1200m) at Morphettville. He was snagged back to last from the wide gate and found traffic on the bend and early in the straight, but his final 600m rated 6.3 lengths above BM and he was hitting the line hard. He looks perfectly suited stepping up to 1400m and drawing barrier 3 in the small field of seven is ideal. Todd Pannell gets back aboard and will give him every chance. 
Result (unplaced)
WHITE KAPS won at this track and trip last start carrying the same weight, and his performance rated 9.1 lengths above BM which was the strongest performance of the entire meeting. Kayla Crowther sticks and will utilize his early speed from the wide gate as she did last start. And as long as he hasn’t gone backwards from last start, he should be winning this. 
Result (unplaced)
Race 5 – 3:41PM AAMI HANDICAP (1250 METRES)
KENYAN WONDER was scratched from Gawler on Wednesday where I had her as my Racing Bet of the Day, and I can see why the stable have opted for this race. For a Saturday race, her last start performance of 3.6 lengths above BM rates more than four lengths better than anything else in the field. She missed the start by three lengths last time, and I think her effort was far better than it looked. As long as she can step cleaner, she looks hard to beat on the Parks circuit where she is yet to miss the placings in four starts. 
Result (unplaced)


November 30

Regardless of whether they go Slow, Even or Fast in this race, I can’t see them beating RIDGEWOOD DRIVE. His benchmark (BM) figures off any early speed are far superior to his rivals in this, and he could spot them four lengths on the bend and still win. Trainer Anthony Freedman has entrusted local hoop Jason Holden with the job, and I think this is a good move as the experienced, in-form Holder won’t be dictated to. The small field of four leaves no traffic obstacles, and although the son of Sebring is at short odds ($1.65) this is a very generous price. He also peaked at his seventh run last campaign when getting out to 2000m, so being sixth-up here at his second go at 2000m this preparation looks ideal. He’s fit and is the class runner, and he should be winning the opener. 
Result (1st – $1.75)
Happy to side with EXALTED TRAIL who won at this track and trip two starts back and then was unsuited dropping back to 1000m last start with three weeks between runs. He still ran 3.6 lengths above BM last start which is 2.4 lengths higher than the next best last start performance of any other runner. He went 7.1 lengths above BM in his previous run at the track and trip, and on the one-week back-up, I’m expecting a similar rating performance here. 
Result (1st – $6)


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