Chris Waller’s WRISTBAND went to a new level last start going 3.5 lengths better than BM when finishing 3rd behind Miss Moana who franked the form with a 3rd in the Xmas Cup (2400m) at Randwick last Saturday. He’s rock-hard-fit now and finds a winnable race as his last start effort rates 3.5 to 7.5 lengths better than his main rivals.
Haames is the best horse in this race but doesn’t generally fire after a freshen-up – look for him next time. The Jason Deamer-trained TIME RAID produced a PB BM performance fifth-up over 1400m at Newcastle last campaign, and after three high rating runs at the track this time, he looks set to peak fourth-up over 1350m. He sat outside the leader last start and looked the winner at the 150m mark but just peaked in the final 50m and was narrowly beaten by Killer Instinct who wasn’t beaten far at Kensington on Wednesday. Aaron Bullock will give him every chance from barrier 2, and he should be strong through the line.
Race 5 – 3:45PM NEW ZEALAND BLOODSTOCK NJC 3YO SPRING STAKES (1600 METRES)
The Gai Waterhouse and Adrian Bott-trained RULE THE WORLD is doing things not many horses can do, and he could be a star of the future. The son of Hallowed Crown defeated Exceed The Stars on a Soft 7 at Canterbury on debut and then beat Betcha Flying at Randwick on a Heavy 9. He resumed this campaign with a 1400m victory at Rosehill on a Good track to make it three from three on three different tracks and on three different racing surfaces (Good, Soft & Heavy). His first-up effort of 7.3 lengths above benchmark (BM) rates nearly three lengths better than any of his rival’s last start performances, and he has more upside than most. He maps to lead here and three of the past four winners of this event have led all the way.
Bobbing put in an eye-catching run in The Kosciusko and has to be respected but it’s hard to go past the Team Hawkes-conditioned OUTRAGEOUS. He toughed it out to win over 1300m when second-up last start, and he only went five lengths slower than Pierata did in the Redzel Stakes one race earlier. He drops 2.5kg with Brock Ryan taking the ride from barrier 2, and from just off the pace being third-up from a spell, he should get the right run to finish best.
Race 1 – 11:53AM STARR FACILITY SERVICES CLASS 1 & MAIDEN PLATE (2365 METRES)
What a massive drop in class for MISS MOANA! The John Sargent-trained filly contested the Group 1 Australian Oaks (2400m) at Randwick last start and now contests a Class 1 and Maiden Plate at Newcastle. She was far from disgraced finishing seven lengths from Verry Elleegant after sitting just behind the speed, being outclassed in the straight but coming again with her strong staying ability. She was third-up and may have lacked a bit of fitness, and considering she won at this track and trip when fifth-up in her first campaign, she’ll take improvement from the run and looks a clear special in this. Watch The Cat also comes out of a strong form race after finishing 5.5 lengths from The Chosen One in the Packer Plate (2000m), but the extra trip is a query for the Time Thief gelding.
Jason Deamer’s Reset mare, LADY EVELYN, should be ready to show her best third-up following a 2nd placing behind Maddison Avenue at Randwick. Maddison Avenue was coming off a strong win at Sandown and went back-to-back which strengthens the form. Last campaign, Lady Evelyn went from a 2.4-length 6th placing second-up over 1350m to a half-length victory over 1570m. She’s also a winner over 1900m at Rosehill so the step up to this distance suits perfectly.
Race 4 – 3:19PM BUILDCERT CLASS 2 HANDICAP (1600 METRES)
The barrier (12) has made it a bit tougher for LEATHERHEAD, but he’s got the strongest form in this race and will be suited third-up as he gets out to the mile. Previous form around this trip includes a 5th placing behind Tavirun over 1500m at Moonee Valley, and then a 4th placing behind Savoie over 1800m at Flemington. Two trials and two 1400m runs have him fit, and he should be running on strongly.
The Kris Lees-trained THINK FREE returned in good order with a win at Scone over 1300m, and she should continue to improve. She was 3rd on debut and then finished 2nd to Herzegovina who was 3rd to Girl Tuesday and Holy Reign in the start prior. Think Free has drawn to get a soft run around midfield and if Andrew Gibbons can find a clear passage home, she can finish best.