Roughies Tips April 10
- 3 big priced runners to back
Looking for roughies tips to back at big prices on Saturday? We pick out the best three roughies to back each week.
Racing is at Randwick on Saturday for Day One of The Championships and there is plenty of value on offer.
We have looked through the fields and picked out the best three roughies to back for the day, each-way.
Race 7 - 3:15PM BENTLEY AUSTRALIAN DERBY (2400 METRES)
The Rosehill Guineas and the Tulloch Stakes are normally the places to look in terms of lead-up form for the Australian Derby but I am not quite convinced about those two races and think that the three-year-old stayers are a very even bunch this year. I am inclined to have something each-way on EXPLOSIVE JACK, who comes out of the recent Bendigo St Leggier (2200m). The Ciaron Maher and David Eustace-trained galloper was well beaten by Grandslam at Moonee Valley two starts back in the Alistair Clark Stakes (2040m) on a day that seemed to suit the leaders. He settled back in that race and had to come out very wide before finishing alongside Young Werther. He went 8.2 lengths faster than standard benchmark, which should measure up well in this race. At his most recent start, he was the best of the back markers at Bendigo behind the flying Liquero, producing the fastest last 200m to get within a length, while there was a three length gap back to Salto Angel. The 3rd placegetter out of that did finish ahead of Montefilia in last year’s Kennedy Oaks (2500m). Montefilia is favourite for this race. He has attracted support in the early betting and might have scope for improvement, while the stable are profitable in races from 2000m and above.
Race 8 - 3:55PM HEINEKEN T J SMITH STAKES (1200 METRES)
The TJ Smith Stakes shapes as a beauty and pits the likes of Nature Strip and Eduardo up against one another. Nature Strip is the reigning champion, while Eduardo has been in some red-hot form of late. One that can show up at the each-way odds is SEPTEMBER RUN. The filly from the Chris Waller stable produced a bit of a shocker as favourite in the Newmarket Handicap (1200m) but never seemed comfortable on what was a bit of a dubious straight track that day. At her most recent run she was set a bit of a task at Moonee Valley when settling back in the William Reid Stakes in a slowly run race before rattling late into 4th position, producing the fastest last 200m behind Masked Crusader. The three-year-old should get the pace up front that she craves with the likes of Nature Strip and Eduardo sure to go hard early on. A firmer in early betting, the daughter of Exceed And Excel took out the VRC Sprint Classic (1200m) at this stage in the spring and should be charging home late in the piece.
Race 9 - 4:35PM THE STAR DONCASTER MILE (1600 METRES)
You could make a case for a number of the Doncaster Mile runners with Yao Dash, and Mo’unga among the top fancies. One that can land at a bit of value is BEST OF DAYS. The seven-year-old is back to his best and comes into this with five weeks in between runs after finishing runner-up in the Australian Cup (2000m) on March 6. The form out of that hasn’t quite stood up but might be better than it looks as he went 15 lengths faster than standard, which are the best last start figures of any runner in this race, while there have been some that have gone close since the Australian Cup, including Angel Of Truth, who was 5th before running 3rd behind Verry Elleegant and Addeybb in the Ranvet Stakes (2000m). The month between runs and the drop back to the 1600m is a formula that was worked well for the Group 1 winner, who drops 6.5kg off his Australian Cup run.
READ: Saturday Best Bets
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