Overview
John Of Jane has been to Hobart twice and won both times, and on Sunday it lines up in the opening race at $1.18 with Bet Right. That is about as short as a Class 2 sprinter gets, and it tells you how much faith the market has in a four-year-old with only three runs on its record. The question is whether there is anything else on the card worth backing with the same conviction.
There is, but it comes later. Alpine Thunder has won two of its last four and has a genuine Hobart record behind it, Lawrenny Boys has placed in eight of its ten runs here, and White Moon steps up to 2100m after winning its only start at the track. Sunday’s Hobart racing tips cover all eight races on a Good to Soft turf track, first jump 12:55PM and the last at 5:10PM. Annie’s Pride (Race 2), plus Geegees Avalanche and Wounded Eagle (Race 4), are scratched. Only the first two races had bookmaker prices when this was written, so expect the later markets to move.
Reading the Hobart card
For once there is real course form to work with. Plenty of today’s runners have three or more starts at Hobart, and a few have enough to mean something.
Horses with 3+ Hobart starts
| Horse | Runs | Wins | Places | Win% | Place% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lawrenny Boys | 10 | 1 | 8 | 10% | 80% |
| Street Diva | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 67% |
| Gold Armour | 4 | 1 | 2 | 25% | 50% |
| Fiorente de Legend | 4 | 1 | 2 | 25% | 50% |
| Alpine Thunder | 7 | 2 | 3 | 29% | 43% |
| South Georgia | 9 | 0 | 4 | 0% | 44% |
| Volkanovski | 5 | 1 | 2 | 20% | 40% |
| Tassie Power | 8 | 2 | 3 | 25% | 38% |
Jockeys at Hobart (5+ rides)
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | Places | Win% | Place% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Dempsey | 16 | 3 | 7 | 19% | 44% |
| A Darmanin | 53 | 7 | 23 | 13% | 43% |
| K Sanderson | 41 | 8 | 17 | 20% | 41% |
| E Byrne Burke | 102 | 17 | 40 | 17% | 39% |
| D Pires | 55 | 4 | 21 | 7% | 38% |
| Lauryn Bingley | 76 | 7 | 23 | 9% | 30% |
| T Baker | 88 | 8 | 25 | 9% | 28% |
Trainers at Hobart
| Trainer | Runs | Wins | Places | Win% | Place% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Imogen Miller | 19 | 4 | 8 | 21% | 42% |
| Sarah Cotton | 33 | 5 | 13 | 15% | 39% |
| J L Keys | 150 | 18 | 58 | 12% | 39% |
| Jessie Bazan | 69 | 7 | 25 | 10% | 36% |
| S Gandy | 140 | 11 | 49 | 8% | 35% |
| Barry Campbell | 24 | 5 | 8 | 21% | 33% |
| J K Blacker | 201 | 21 | 50 | 10% | 25% |
E Byrne Burke is the rider to follow. He has ridden 102 times here for 17 winners, and he picks up good books for both J L Keys and J K Blacker today. K Sanderson has the best strike rate on the card, winning one ride in five at Hobart. Blacker has the most volume of any trainer, 201 starters, but he wins with only one in ten, so his runners need a reason beyond the name on the saddlecloth.
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Hobart racing tips: race by race
Race 1: Aintree Contracting Hcp (C2), 12:55PM, 1200m
John Of Jane is two from two at Hobart, and its whole career reads first, second, first. T Baker rides for Sigrid Carr, it carries top weight, and the market makes it $1.18 with Bet Right. Seven runners, a sprint trip and a horse that keeps finding the line here. It is hard to argue.
Geegeehailstorm is the one that could make it work. It ran second on its only Hobart start and is $8 with Unibet for S Gandy. Crystal Moonbeam, $10 with Bet Right, has won one of four here and placed in another. Neither has shown the same level. John Of Jane wins this, but $1.18 is a multi leg, not a stand alone bet.
Race 2: Raine & Horne Eastern Shore Mdn Plate, 1:30PM, 1100m
The market problem here is that the favourite has never raced. Uncle Mark is $2.50 with Bet Right on debut for Jessie Bazan, with D Pires riding. Maybe the trials say it is that good, but we have nothing in front of us to back that up.
Fierce Spirit has the form instead. It ran second on its only Hobart start, its last five read 3, 4, 6, 4, 2, and it is a three-year-old still getting better for J K Blacker. Lauryn Bingley rides and the price is $9 with Unibet. That is a lot of value for a horse that has already shown it handles the track.
Smith ‘N’ West, $5.25 with Bet Right, finished seventh on debut for J L Keys and gets E Byrne Burke. Thermal Miss ($7.50 with Unibet) was third last time. Each-way on Fierce Spirit, and respect Uncle Mark if it opens strong.
Race 3: Rogerson & Birch Surveyors (Bm68), 2:05PM, 1600m
Barry Campbell does not bring many to Hobart, but when he does they win about one in five, 5 from 24. Night Invader is his runner here, and it ran second in its only start of the past 90 days. The form line before that reads 5, 2, 6, 1, 2, so it is always close.
The worry is the rider. D M Ganderton is yet to win in 11 Hobart rides, though he has placed in four. Night Invader also carries joint top weight in a six-horse field.
Fiorente de Legend is the danger, and the weights help it. It has the lightest weight in the race, has won one of four Hobart starts and placed in another, and B Muhcu should get it into a good spot from gate 4. No prices yet. Win bet on Night Invader, with Fiorente de Legend underneath in the quinella.
Race 4: Raine & Horne Northern Suburbs Mdn Plate, 2:40PM, 1380m
J K Blacker saddles four of the thirteen left in this maiden: Midnight Wanderer, Raider’s Own, Upheaval and Hot Moment. Numbers do not make a winner, though. Upheaval has been to Hobart seven times and placed only once, and Raider’s Own is without a placing from three starts here.
Joejoe is the better maiden. It finished second in its only run of the past three months, its form reads 4, 2, 0, 3, 2, and it placed in one of its two Hobart starts. D Pires rides for Jessie Bazan from barrier 5.
Walking Street ran fourth on its only start here and has form of 5, 2, 4, 4 for Stephen Shaw. It is the obvious danger and should be handy. A modest race. Small win bet on Joejoe.
Race 5: Tony Carrick Hcp (C2), 3:15PM, 1380m
Kion’s Kingdom versus Pacific Witness. One has the draw and the rider, the other comes off a win.
Kion’s Kingdom jumps from barrier 1 with E Byrne Burke for J L Keys. Together they have 3 wins and 11 placings from 21 rides at Hobart, so this pair hit the frame more often than not. Kion’s Kingdom won one of its two runs in the past 90 days, banking $19,000, and ran third on its only Hobart start. From the inside it should get the perfect run.
Pacific Witness won last start and has won one of its two Hobart runs for J K Blacker, with Lauryn Bingley riding. Its form before that win was patchy, though, with only one win from five runs in the past three months.
Stratojack has placed in two of four Hobart runs and carries little weight, so keep it for the trifecta. Win bet on Kion’s Kingdom.
Race 6: Aviso Tas Insurance Brokers Plate (C1), 3:50PM, 2100m
Does White Moon stay 2100m? That is the whole race. It has had only two starts, third and then a win, and the win came at Hobart. K Sanderson rides, and he wins one in five here, the best strike rate of any rider on the card. Barrier 4 should let him find cover.
Stollaway Ned is the consistent one. It has placed in three of its four runs over the past 90 days, winning one, and E Byrne Burke rides for J K Blacker. That combination has 3 wins from 13 at Hobart. The negatives are top weight and a sixth on its only previous visit here.
Lyco Reco won one of four at the track but has form of 6, 2, 1, 5, 6, 3 and needs everything to go right. White Moon is the improver and the bet. Stollaway Ned is the safer place option, so pair them in the quinella.
Race 7: Raine & Horne Hobart & Kingborough Rentals (Bm64), 4:30PM, 1000m
Alpine Thunder is the best bet on the card. It has won two of its last four starts and placed in three, earning $43,975, and its last two runs read 5, 2 after back to back wins. More important for a Hobart sprint, it has won two of its seven starts here and placed in three. Robyn Lynch rides for S Gandy.
It does carry top weight and comes from barrier 9 in a field of nine, so it will need a clean run. Over 1000m it has the speed to cross or to sit just off them.
Tassie Power, from the same stable, is the main danger. It has 8 starts at Hobart for 2 wins, draws barrier 1 and gets K Sanderson. The catch is form: it has not placed in two runs over the past three months. Fluffy’s Girl has placed in two of three recent runs for Christie Burt, who puts more than half her Hobart runners in the frame. Win bet on Alpine Thunder, with Tassie Power and Fluffy’s Girl in the exotics.
Race 8: Rccc Civil Contracting Hcp (C1), 5:10PM, 1100m
Roxy Dancer won last start, and its two Hobart runs produced a win and a placing. A Darmanin rides for Jessie Bazan. Darmanin places in more than four of every ten rides here, and that matters in a race where nothing stands out on figures.
Lawrenny Boys has the strongest course record in the field: ten Hobart starts, eight placings, but only one win. Robyn Lynch rides at a light weight for J L Keys. It placed in one of its two recent runs and keeps running into the frame here.
Miss Lyra has placed in four of its last five without winning, and Gold Armour has won one of four here from barrier 1. Win on Roxy Dancer, each-way on Lawrenny Boys.
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18+ T&C’s Apply. What are you really gambling with? Chances are you’re about to lose. Set a Deposit Limit For free and confidential support call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au
18+ T&C’s Apply. What are you really gambling with? Chances are you’re about to lose. Set a Deposit Limit For free and confidential support call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au
Where the money goes
NAP: Alpine Thunder (Race 7, 4:30PM). Two Hobart wins, two wins this campaign and a stable that knows the track. Barrier 9 is the only knock.
Value: Fierce Spirit (Race 2, 1:30PM). $9 with Unibet for a three-year-old that ran second on its only Hobart start, against a favourite that has never raced.
Banker: John Of Jane (Race 1, 12:55PM). Unbeaten here, and $1.18 with Bet Right. It is a multi leg at that price.
Each-way: Lawrenny Boys (Race 8, 5:10PM). Eight placings from ten Hobart starts. It rarely wins, but it rarely misses the top three.
Course angle: E Byrne Burke. 17 winners from 102 Hobart rides, and today he rides Kion’s Kingdom and Stollaway Ned, both live in the quaddie.
If Barry Campbell keeps placing runners like Night Invader this well, his rare trips to Hobart are worth watching every time.
FAQ
What time does racing start at Hobart today?
Race 1, the Aintree Contracting Hcp over 1200m, jumps at 12:55PM. The last race, the Rccc Civil Contracting Hcp over 1100m, is at 5:10PM.
Who are the top jockeys and trainers at Hobart?
E Byrne Burke has 17 wins from 102 Hobart rides, and K Sanderson has the best strike rate on the card with 8 wins from 41. Among trainers, J L Keys has 18 winners and 58 placings from 150 starters, and J K Blacker has the most volume with 21 winners from 201.
What are the best bets at Hobart today?
Alpine Thunder in Race 7 is the NAP, with two wins from seven Hobart starts. John Of Jane in Race 1 is the banker after two wins from two here, and Fierce Spirit in Race 2 is the value at $9.
Where can I find the best odds for Hobart races?
Our bookmaker list above shows the best prices. When this was written, Bet Right and Unibet had the best prices in the first two races, and the later markets had not opened.