Gladstone Racing Tips Sep 19 — Can Anyone Stop Borneo?
Atherton Racing Tips Sept 19 — One Trainer, Eight Runners?
Overview
Lachie Manzelmann has done something you don’t see often on a Saturday card: he’s saddled up eight runners across five of the six races at Atherton today, from Hot Luci and Majestic Choice in the opener right through to The Driller in the Barron Valley Hotel Cup. That kind of volume from one stable, at its home track, is the standout story of these Atherton racing tips, and it’s worth watching how his runners are ridden as the day unfolds. Beyond the Manzelmann angle, the six-race card on the Atherton turf runs from 1:00pm through to 4:20pm, and the form is genuinely thin in places, and this is a country meeting where recent runs and honest class reads do more work than course history. Read on for a race-by-race breakdown, our top pick, a value play and the connections worth following.
Reading the Atherton card
Course-specific stats are almost non-existent today: only five horses in the entire field have any recorded run at Atherton, and none of them have enough starts here to call a trend. Limited course form across today’s fields, with most runners having just one or two starts here, so the sharper signal comes from what they’ve done recently everywhere else, plus weight, barrier and the stable sending them out. That’s true of Atherton racing tips generally this early in the local season. A G Malliff is the closest thing to a course specialist among today’s connections, with two wins and three placings from eight runners at the track, a solid enough record even if it doesn’t rise to the level of a jockey or trainer table worth publishing on its own.
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Race by race
Race 1: Tolga Hotel Hcp (Cl B) — 1:00pm, 1094m
Mohawk Warrior is the professional in this field and Sing Sing Baby is the kid who might be better than everyone thinks. Mohawk Warrior has hit the frame in two of his last three runs, hasn’t missed a place by much when he has missed, and carries a manageable 127.8kg in the middle of this Class B field. Sing Sing Baby is the opposite profile: one run, one win, carrying the lightest weight on offer at 119.0kg as a three-year-old, and it’s a data point rather than a trend, but lightly-weighted improvers win these sprint handicaps often enough to respect. Verbalize, second-heaviest in the weights, was runner-up in her only run in the past three months and can’t be dismissed either. Mohawk Warrior for the win on consistency, with Sing Sing Baby the each-way risk if the confidence from that debut win carries through.
Race 2: Central Tyre Service Bracelet (Bm65) — 1:40pm, 1094m
The market is going to have a genuine puzzle to solve in the biggest field of the day. Mclovin, Bella Bianca and Superstitions have all won recently, and there’s a case for each. Mclovin has finished in the money in every one of his last three runs for two wins, the deepest recent sample of the trio, though he’ll shoulder top weight at 138.8kg in a fifteen-horse field and that’s a real query. Bella Bianca has won both of her last two runs and drops to a lighter 130.0kg from a handy barrier, but two runs is a short sample to lean the house on. Superstitions has won twice and filled a place in three of his last four, a step below the other two on recent minutes but the sort of form that can go under the radar in a field with two more obvious runners drawing the market’s attention. Racatoon also deserves a mention, placing in two of his last three. Mclovin gets the money on the weight of evidence, with Bella Bianca the clear danger and Superstitions worth including for value.
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Race 3: Local Bookies Hcp (50) — 2:20pm, 1312m
Is there a genuine winner hiding in this field, or just the least bad option? Nobody in the Local Bookies Handicap has done enough in the past three months to inspire real confidence. She’s Got Lyrics, Princess Shanghai and Grigia have all placed exactly once from two runs, and Magic Sunny Day has missed the frame in all three. If forced, She’s Got Lyrics gets the nod on the strength of that placing and a fair 127.8kg, but this is a watch race rather than one to back with conviction.
Race 4: Savannah Camper Trailers (Bm50) — 3:00pm, 1531m
Allan Holmes has runners scattered right through this card, and Bubble Tea looks his best-placed of the day. She’s hit the frame in three of her last four runs, carries a manageable 127.8kg near the bottom of these weights, and has been racing at a level that suits a step up to 1531m. Tsunami is the each-way danger, placing in four of his last seven for one win, but he’s carrying more weight at 135.5kg and has been the less consistent of the two. Bubble Tea for the win, each-way if you want the security of a place.
Race 5: Costa Well Grown Country Cups Challenge Qualifier Hcp — 3:40pm, 1531m
Choir Boy has the profile of the horse to beat in this qualifier. Two wins and a further placing from his last four runs is the strongest recent scoreline on the card, and the assessor clearly rates him too: only Valenki matches his top weight of 141.1kg. Our Missile is the danger, one of three runners Lachie Manzelmann has entered in this race alone as part of his big team across the meeting, with a win and four placings from his last seven starts and a lighter 126.7kg to work with. Indefinite is worth a saver too, having placed in both his runs this campaign including a win, though that’s still a short sample to trust outright. Choir Boy to win, with Our Missile the each-way cover.
Race 6: Barron Valley Hotel, XXXX & Liquor Legends Atherton Cup — 4:20pm, 2220m
Every runner here is stepping up well beyond the distances most of them have proven, and that alone makes the Barron Valley Hotel Cup hard to trust. Amalfi Amore has the best recent figures of the seven, with a win and two placings from his last five, and he gets the lightest weight in the race at 117.9kg to help with the extra ground. Hurricane Rosie looks tidy on the racecard form line but hasn’t placed in any of her last four runs, a reminder that the raw form figures don’t always tell the same story as the recent scoreline. Watch race, no bet with real confidence, but Amalfi Amore if forced.
The plays
Choir Boy is the NAP. Two wins and a placing from his last four runs, top weight in the field and a trainer who clearly has him primed for this qualifier at 3:40pm. That’s the profile these Atherton racing tips are built around today. Superstitions is the value play back in the 1:40pm, a two-time winner from his last four runs who should be a bigger price than the other in-form runners in that field. Bubble Tea is the banker for multis, placing in three of her last four and racing at a suitable level. Mohawk Warrior is the each-way pick in the opener, hitting the frame in two of his last three. And the course angle worth tracking all afternoon is Lachie Manzelmann’s team of eight. Watch how his runners are ridden in each race, because a stable sending this many out at its home track usually has more than one runner worth backing. If he keeps sending them here at this rate, he’ll be the name to watch at Atherton every meeting.
FAQ
What time does racing start at Atherton today?
The first race, the Tolga Hotel Hcp, jumps at 1:00pm, with six races taking the card through to the Barron Valley Hotel Cup at 4:20pm.
Who are the top trainers at Atherton today?
Course-specific numbers are thin, but A G Malliff has the best recorded volume at the track with two wins and three placings from eight runners. On raw numbers today, Lachie Manzelmann fields the biggest team by far, with eight runners spread across five of the six races.
What are the best bets at Atherton today?
Choir Boy in the 3:40pm Costa Well Grown Country Cups Challenge Qualifier is the pick of the card on two wins and a placing from his last four runs. Superstitions in the 1:40pm Central Tyre Service Bracelet is the value option in a race with three recent winners.
Where can I find the best odds for Atherton races today?
Live bookmaker odds weren’t populated across the comparison feed at the time of writing, so prices below are marked TBC. Check the offers below closer to the first race at 1:00pm for the latest markets.
