Newcastle Racing Tips Oct 3: Can Puerto Banus Strike Again?
Gordonvale Racing Tips: Can Yes Dream Make Three Straight?
Overview
MS L Morrison has a book of five rides at Gordonvale today, one in every race on the card, and her record at this circuit backs up the workload: two wins and five places from six visits, an 83% placing rate most jockeys would take at any track. That volume alone makes her colours worth tracking through the afternoon, but she’s not the only story. Yes Dream steps up under the highest weight carried by any runner at the meeting off back-to-back wins, and the Gordonvale Cup throws up a genuine weight puzzle in Choir Boy, who arrives off three straight wins before a last-start dip to third. These Gordonvale racing tips cover all five races on the turf card, from the 1:45pm maiden through to the 4:50pm Cup, with the numbers behind each call and an honest word on where the data runs thin.
Reading the Gordonvale card
Course form is thin across today’s field. Just seven of today’s runners carry any recorded history at Gordonvale, and every one of them is working off a single course start — not enough to call anyone a specialist, so there’s no horse table to build here. Two are worth a line anyway: Airborne Hotdog and New Hampshire both won their only starts at the track, in races two and three respectively, though in both cases that’s a single data point, not a trend.
Jockeys are nearly as thin on the ground. Only MS L Morrison and N Thomas clear the five-ride minimum this track needs before a percentage means anything, and they tell different stories from the same six rides each. Morrison has landed two wins and five places — that 83% placing rate — while Thomas has no wins and just two places from his six. Morrison rides all five races today; Thomas partners four. That’s the clearest jockey angle on offer, and it runs through today’s Gordonvale racing tips more than once.
Trainers give us more to work with. Four clear the three-runner minimum at the track, and sorting by how often they hit the placings tells its own story.
| Trainer | Runs | Wins | Places | Win% | Place% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Cooper | 4 | 1 | 2 | 25.0% | 50.0% |
| A R Bailey | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0.0% | 50.0% |
| Lachie Manzelmann | 7 | 2 | 2 | 28.6% | 28.6% |
| Trevor & Peter Rowe | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0.0% | 20.0% |
Trevor & Peter Rowe stand out for volume rather than results — ten runners at Gordonvale and still no winner, which makes Yes Dream’s current form in race three useful context rather than a knock on the stable. A G Malliff fields five runners across today’s card without a single recorded run at the track to lean on, so that team is a genuine unknown here. Race going wasn’t listed for the meeting, so there’s nothing to add on track condition beyond what’s on the card.
Race by race
Race 1: Corey Machan Sheet Metal Mdn Plate — 1:45pm, 1203m
Which maiden finally breaks through at Gordonvale today? Eight runners go around and none of them have won yet, so the clearest read is the one with the steadiest recent figures. Perfect Fawaz fits that: his last four starts read third, fifth, third, sixth for Trevor & Peter Rowe — not spectacular, but the most consistent line in the race. MS L Morrison takes the ride, and her 83% placing rate from six trips to this track is the sort of local form that matters when nothing else clearly separates a maiden field. Thunder Blaze is the one capable of upsetting that if he’s fitter than two starts suggest — he carries the topweight here at 131.1kg off just a pair of runs, hard to assess fairly, but a lightly-tried type who could measure up on ability once fitness catches up. Each-way Perfect Fawaz; treat Thunder Blaze as the swing factor if his placing keeps improving.
Race 2: Gilvear Planning (Bm55) — 2:30pm, 1203m
Ten runners load into the benchmark 55, and Scott Cooper has a stake in it twice over. Airborne Hotdog shares the topweight with Skogafoss at 134.4kg on the back of two wins and two placings earlier in his campaign, but he flopped to seventh last start and hasn’t answered that yet. Princess Shanghai, further down the handicap for the same stable, was runner-up last time out, and Cooper’s Gordonvale numbers — a win and two places from four runners at the track — lean toward the horse in form rather than the one carrying weight for an older form line. Each-way Princess Shanghai; treat Airborne Hotdog as capable but unproven on his most recent run.
Race 3: Cairns Hardware Country Stampede Qualifier Hcp — 3:20pm, 1203m
Yes Dream has strung together back-to-back wins and arrives under 138.8kg, the highest weight carried by any runner at Gordonvale today and a full 17.6kg above most of this field. That’s the handicapper’s way of saying this is the best horse in the race, and the recent numbers back it up: two runs, two wins, in the past 90 days. Aidan Holt stays in the saddle for Trevor & Peter Rowe, the stable that’s sent ten runners to this track without once finding the winner’s stall — Yes Dream looks the type to finally change that. Dalt Jaz is the genuine each-way danger. His card form reads a win, a third and another win across his last three starts, as good a recent trio as anything else in the race can show — though that run sits outside the last 90 days on the official numbers, so there’s been a gap since he last turned up, and it’s worth weighing that against Yes Dream’s more recently confirmed form. Outback Action is a late scratching and comes out of calculations entirely. Back Yes Dream to win; Dalt Jaz is the each-way cover if the weight proves too much to carry.
Race 4: Great Northern Brewing Co (Bm65) — 4:05pm, 1487m
Superstitions looks the swiftest horse in this grade on recent figures — two wins and a minor placing make up his only run inside the last 90 days, and he’s rewarded with topweight at 134.4kg stepping up to 1487m, a trip that should suit a horse building through the grades. The catch is Gordonvale itself: his only run at this track produced a finish well out of the money, one data point rather than a trend, but the single piece of this horse’s resume that doesn’t fit the story. Insta Worthy is the each-way alternative — runner-up last start, a win three runs back, and MS L Morrison back in the saddle for her fourth ride of the afternoon. If Superstitions brings his broader form to this circuit, he wins it; if the track query from his one previous visit repeats, Insta Worthy is the one with cover. Win bet Superstitions, saver each-way on Insta Worthy.
Race 5: Fuller Sports Kerry Coppin Memorial Gordonvale Cup — 4:50pm, 1969m
MS J Ryan already knows what Choir Boy can do, and sending him out under 137.7kg in the Gordonvale Cup — the biggest impost of this seven-horse field — is a trainer backing a horse mid-purple-patch, not hoping one turns up. The card form reads five, two, then three wins in a row before a third-place finish last start, and the one run the stats tool catches inside the last 90 days matches that exactly: a placing, not a loss. Stepping out to 1969m, the longest trip on the program, suits a horse who’s been doing his best work deep into his races, and Mitch Goring stays aboard.
The weight is the only real question, and it’s a significant one over two kilometres. Hopeful, a ten-year-old campaigner for Graham R Hughes, finished second last start and has the profile of an older horse who knows how to get through a Cup field without needing to lead. Eagle Warrior is the each-way alternative, with two runner-up finishes in his last four starts without quite getting to the winner’s stall — exactly the profile a place payout is built for. Hurricane Rosie gives MS L Morrison her fifth ride of the day, but her own figures have faded across her last few runs and she needs the speed of the race to fall her way rather than being the one to make it happen.
Choir Boy to win, with Hopeful the each-way cover if the weight bites late.
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Where the money goes
Here’s where today’s Gordonvale racing tips land once the card is done with:
NAP: Yes Dream (Race 3, 3:20pm). Two from two in the past 90 days, carrying the heaviest weight of any runner at the meeting for good reason, and a stable that’s overdue to turn ten Gordonvale runners into a winner.
Value: Princess Shanghai (Race 2, 2:30pm). Overlooked behind her own stablemate in a messy benchmark field, but Scott Cooper’s runners hit the placings half the time at this track, and she was runner-up last start.
Banker: Choir Boy (Race 5, 4:50pm). Three wins in a row before a minor last-start dip to third is the most convincing recent form line on the entire card, weight concerns aside — the safe include for multis.
Each-way: Eagle Warrior (Race 5, 4:50pm). Two runner-up finishes in his last four starts without breaking through is exactly the profile a place payout rewards.
Course angle: MS L Morrison. Five rides on the card, a 33% win rate and an 83% placing rate from six visits to Gordonvale — the one jockey today with numbers that actually mean something, and worth following through every leg.
If Morrison keeps riding every race at this track at that strike rate, she’s the standing Gordonvale angle every time this meeting comes around.
Best Bookmakers for Today’s Racing
Odds comparison data wasn’t available for any of today’s Gordonvale races at the time of writing, so there’s no bookmaker-by-bookmaker price check to run here. For the latest Gordonvale odds and sign-up offers, check the operators below.
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FAQ
What time does racing start at Gordonvale today?
The first race, the Corey Machan Sheet Metal Maiden Plate, jumps at 1:45pm, with five races taking the card through to the Gordonvale Cup at 4:50pm.
Who are the top jockeys and trainers at Gordonvale today?
MS L Morrison leads the jockeys with two wins and five places from six rides at the track, an 83% placing rate, and she rides in all five races today. Among trainers with genuine volume, Scott Cooper and A R Bailey both sit on a 50% placing rate from four runners, while Trevor & Peter Rowe have the most history at the track — ten runners — but are still without a win.
What are the best bets at Gordonvale today?
Yes Dream is the pick of the day in race three off back-to-back wins under the heaviest weight on the card, with Choir Boy’s three-win streak into the Gordonvale Cup the next best form line.
Where can I find the best odds and more Gordonvale predictions?
Live odds comparison data wasn’t available for this meeting at the time of writing — check the bookmakers listed above for current prices before the first race jumps.
