Bunbury Racing Tips Sept 17 — Can Pike Repeat History?

Racingbase Staff Racingbase Staff

Overview

William Pike doesn’t often make the trip south to ride for G & A Williams, but when he has, it’s worked: the pair have combined once at Bunbury and walked away with a winner. They reunite in race two on today’s card, and the horse underneath him, Tag Time, has been building nicely toward exactly this kind of assignment. That’s the spine of these Bunbury racing tips for a five-race meeting that leans heavily on maidens but still throws up a clear standout in the middle of the afternoon. It’s turf underfoot all day, a card split between three-year-olds finding their feet and older maidens still hunting a first win, and one jockey-trainer combination that looks a cut above the rest of the book. Read on for a horse-by-horse breakdown, the numbers behind each pick, and where the money’s worth putting once the gates open.

Reading the Bunbury card

Four of today’s five races are maidens, which makes raw course form scarce and jockey and trainer patterns more useful than usual. These Bunbury racing tips lean on those patterns more than most, simply because so many of today’s runners are still finding their way at the track.

Six of today’s runners have built at least three starts at Bunbury, and the picture is mixed. This is mostly a maiden card, so course experience here tends to mean placings rather than wins.

Horse Runs Wins Places Win% Place%
Saisoku 3 0 2 0% 66.7%
Extreme Ruler 3 0 1 0% 33.3%
Ain’tnocureforlove 6 0 0 0% 0%
Vino Miss 3 0 0 0% 0%
Major Magnus 3 0 0 0% 0%
Champagne Talks 3 0 0 0% 0%

Saisoku’s the one worth noting there, with two placings from three runs at the track. There’s more on her below in race three.

The jockey premiership at Bunbury tells a clearer story. William Pike leads the way among today’s riders, and it isn’t close.

Jockey Runs Wins Places Win% Place%
W Pike 46 10 20 21.7% 43.5%
MS K Yuill 5 1 2 20.0% 40.0%
C Johnston-Porter 30 4 12 13.3% 40.0%
B Parnham 54 5 21 9.3% 38.9%
S McGruddy 21 3 7 14.3% 33.3%

Pike wins better than one in five rides at this track and hits the frame on more than four in ten, numbers that hold up across 46 runs rather than a hot run of form. He’s engaged on four of today’s runners, headlined by Tag Time in race two.

On the training ranks, a handful of stables punch well above their weight at this circuit.

Trainer Runs Wins Places Win% Place%
MS A King 5 2 2 40.0% 40.0%
D L Morton 10 3 3 30.0% 30.0%
J F Miller 11 3 5 27.3% 45.5%
G & A Williams 20 5 10 25.0% 50.0%
Summer Dickson 14 3 7 21.4% 50.0%
Charlotte Skerritt 5 1 2 20.0% 40.0%

MS A King’s strike rate stands out most. Two winners from five runners is a real number, not a fluke, and she saddles up Eye Of The Sun in race two. G & A Williams and Summer Dickson are the volume operators worth following, placing half of everything they send to Bunbury across 20 and 14 runners respectively.

Race by race

Race 1: Family Day At Bunbury Mdn — 1:04pm, 1203m

Tex ‘N’ Cee is the one to beat in an opening event stacked with first starters. She’s already shown she belongs, running second on debut, and she gets the outstanding rider at this track in S Parnham, who wins better than one in five of his Bunbury rides and places in three of every ten. Trainer N D Parnham hasn’t found much luck at Bunbury specifically, but the placing on debut and the booking of the track’s form jockey both count for something in a field where half the runners haven’t raced.

Peak Tycoon is the each-way risk. He finished fourth on debut for D L Morton, a trainer who wins three in every ten runners he sends to Bunbury, one of the stronger numbers on the entire card, with Chris Parnham taking over in the saddle. If the front-runners among the debutants find traffic, Peak Tycoon’s the type to run on into it.

Win bet on Tex ‘N’ Cee, with Peak Tycoon the swing runner for anyone boxing a quinella.

Race 2: Melbourne Cup Day At Bunbury Hcp (C1) — 1:42pm, 1312m

G & A Williams doesn’t send runners to Pike lightly, and the one time this jockey-trainer combination has lined up together at Bunbury, it produced a winner. They’re back together for Tag Time, and the horse has been building toward this for weeks: fourth, third, fourth, second, and finally a win last start, the kind of trajectory that suggests the penny’s just dropped. Away from this track, Pike and Williams have combined 87 times for 27 winners and 52 placings, a 31% strike rate backed by real volume rather than a small sample dressed up to look meaningful. Williams places half of every Bunbury runner he saddles, and Pike leads every jockey at the track on both wins and places. Stepping up to a Class 1 off a maiden win is a genuine query, but the market rarely undervalues this jockey when he’s on the right one, and everything here points to Tag Time being the right one.

All The Stars is the each-way danger. She also arrives off a win, having found the front two runs back, missed at odds against a stronger field, then broken through last start. S O’Donnell has a strong record at Bunbury in his own right, better than three in ten rides finishing in the placings, even if trainer S W Barrass hasn’t cracked it here yet from two runners. Watch for Eye Of The Sun too. She’s raced only twice, but trainer MS A King’s numbers at this track are the best on the card.

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Tag Time to win, with a saver on All The Stars for the place. This is the best betting race on the card.

Race 3: Wittens Irrigation & Design Mdn — 2:17pm, 2201m

Eleven runners go around over the extended 2201m trip, and a real test of stamina usually favours the horse that’s already shown it can hit the line, which points straight at Saisoku. She’s placed in two of her three runs at this track and three of her last four runs anywhere, a consistency that maidens over a long way tend to reward. Trainer S V Vahala wins better than one in eight runners here and places one in three, solid without being spectacular, and jockey Taj Dyson has found the frame three times from ten rides at the track without yet breaking through for a win.

Chief Commander is the one to watch if the tempo collapses. He gets Pike, the meeting’s leading rider, and has placed once from three runs in the past three months, but his trainer D & B Pearce has needed 43 runners at Bunbury to land just three winners.

Each-way play on Saisoku, who looks the type to finally break through over the staying trip.

Race 4: Nixon Electrical Mdn — 2:52pm, 1203m

Does anything in this fourteen-horse maiden field deserve real confidence? Not obviously. Cartier Glow is the pick if forced. She’s placed once from two runs this campaign and gets Jefferson Tsang, who finds the frame in a third of his Bunbury rides, while trainer T M Wolfe wins better than one in six runners and places over four in ten at this track, numbers built on real volume. Champagne Talks offers an alternative angle with B Parnham aboard, the most prolific placegetter among today’s jockeys, but her recent form reads worse than Cartier Glow’s. Watch race, small each-way interest in Cartier Glow only.

Race 5: Duncan Equine Group Mdn — 3:27pm, 1531m

Wardikcar and Poppy’s Roses offer two different reasons to like them in the last. Wardikcar has raced once for Summer Dickson this campaign and finished third, modest on its own, but Dickson is the standout trainer on the entire card at this track, winning better than one in five runners and placing half of everything she sends around. Poppy’s Roses brings the bigger sample: six runs for three placings, a genuine 50% strike rate, and C Johnston-Porter aboard, a jockey who places four times in ten at Bunbury from real volume.

Backing the stable in form usually wins out over backing the bigger sample when neither horse has found the winner’s stall yet. Win bet on Wardikcar, with Poppy’s Roses the each-way alternative if the market leans the other way.

Where the money goes

Tag Time is the standout on the card. Pike and Williams have combined for a winner the only time they’ve teamed up at this track, and the horse arrives on a form line that’s been climbing for months. That’s the best bet of the day.

Value sits with Saisoku in race three. A maiden who’s placed in two of three course runs and three of her last four starts anywhere shouldn’t be overlooked just because she hasn’t crossed the line first yet. These Bunbury racing tips have her as the clear price play on the card.

For the multi, Wardikcar is the banker. Summer Dickson’s numbers at Bunbury are the best of any trainer on the card, and that’s the kind of stable form worth leaning on even from a light runner.

Each-way interest goes to Extreme Ruler in race four, who’s placed once from three runs at the track and fits the profile of a horse about to find one it can run down.

The course angle for the day is simple: follow Pike. He leads every rider at Bunbury on both wins and places, and he’s on four of today’s runners.

If Williams keeps sending his better types south for Pike, this partnership will be the Bunbury angle worth watching every time they team up again.

Best bookmakers for today’s Bunbury racing

Odds hadn’t firmed up across the major bookmakers at the time of writing for this meeting, so check back closer to the first race for confirmed prices on today’s Bunbury best bets. In the meantime, here are the operators worth comparing for markets across the card.

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FAQ

What time does racing start at Bunbury today?

The first race, the Family Day At Bunbury Mdn, jumps at 1:04pm, with five races taking the card through to the last at 3:27pm.

Who are the top trainers and jockeys at Bunbury today?

William Pike leads all jockeys engaged today, with 10 wins and 20 placings from 46 rides at the track, a 21.7% win rate and 43.5% place rate. Among trainers, MS A King has the best strike rate at 40% from five runners, while G & A Williams and Summer Dickson lead on volume, both placing half of everything they send to Bunbury.

What are the best bets at Bunbury today?

Tag Time in race two is the pick of the card, reuniting the in-form Pike-Williams combination off the back of a maiden win. Saisoku in race three is the value alternative for those chasing a bigger price.

Where can I find the best odds for Bunbury races?

Compare markets across the bookmakers listed above before racing starts. Prices can move significantly between the first and last race, especially on a card this light on published market information.

How many races are on the Bunbury card today?

Five races make up today’s Bunbury meeting, running from 1:04pm to 3:27pm, all on turf.

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