Devonport Racing Tips Sept 2 — Perfect at the Track?

Free expert tips for Devonport horse racing today. Preview, best bets & predictions for Devonport Racecourse on Sunday, September 18, 2022.

Simply Deep has never finished outside the placings at Devonport. Seven starts at the track, three wins, seven placings: a horse that simply turns up and finds the money every time it faces the barrier here. That kind of record doesn’t happen by accident, and with Barry Campbell training it and A Darmanin in the saddle again today, the pattern looks set to continue in race four. That’s the standout angle across today’s Devonport racing tips, but it’s far from the only story on this five-race card. City Wok arrives off back-to-back wins for a trainer who wins two in every three runners he sends to this circuit, J K Blacker fields ten runners across the day without a single dominant strike rate to show for the volume, and the open maiden closing out the program genuinely has no standout. Five races, all on the all-weather surface, and plenty to work through below, race by race, with the reasoning laid out rather than just the name.

Reading the Devonport track

No official going description has been issued for today’s Devonport card, and all five races run on the all-weather circuit rather than turf, which flattens out some of the usual track-bias questions. These Devonport racing tips lean on what the numbers do show: course-specific form for today’s runners, jockeys and trainers, built from every start recorded at this circuit.

Course form worth noting: nine of today’s runners carry three or more starts at Devonport, enough to make the pattern meaningful rather than noise. Simply Deep stands out on any measure, seven runs, three wins, placed every single time. Stardarmus and Azonto both have real course form behind them too, while Volkanovski and Awesome Orphan show plenty of Devonport mileage without ever quite finding the winner’s stall.

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Horse Runs Wins Places Win% Place%
Simply Deep 7 3 7 42.86% 100.00%
Stardarmus 5 2 3 40.00% 60.00%
Azonto 4 1 3 25.00% 75.00%
Alpine Blast 8 1 3 12.50% 37.50%
Volkanovski 9 0 3 0.00% 33.33%
Awesome Orphan 8 0 1 0.00% 12.50%

On the jockey side, eleven of today’s riders clear the five-ride minimum at this course, so the numbers below are worth trusting rather than treating as noise.

Jockey Runs Wins Places Win% Place%
C Newitt 9 3 7 33.33% 77.78%
D M Ganderton 25 3 15 12.00% 60.00%
A Darmanin 31 8 17 25.81% 54.84%
Kirra-Lee Lane 48 7 24 14.58% 50.00%
E Byrne Burke 63 10 24 15.87% 38.10%
T Baker 34 4 11 11.76% 32.35%

Three trainers on today’s card have sent three or more runners to Devonport historically and field three or more today, and the numbers split them into very different categories.

Trainer Runs Wins Places Win% Place%
G J Stevenson 42 10 21 23.81% 50.00%
J K Blacker 93 9 29 9.68% 31.18%
S Gandy 13 1 5 7.69% 38.46%

J K Blacker’s ten runners today make him the volume trainer of the meeting by some distance, but his overall Devonport strike rate sits under 10% from 93 career runners at the track, a stable that fields plenty of raceday numbers without translating it into a high hit rate. Barry Campbell doesn’t have that problem: 44 runs at the track have returned 16 wins, better than a third, and he’s paired again today with A Darmanin, who rides two of his runners on the card.

Race by race

Race 1: Hospitality Tasmania (Bm68) — 11:55, 1804m

Azonto has been knocking on the door at this track without landing the finishing blow, and the case builds again today. It ran second at Devonport as recently as August 26, and the course record backs the placing habit up: three placings from four starts here, form reading 2-2-4-8-1-2 into today. Its wider figures tell the same story: five runs in the past 90 days have produced a win and two more placings, a 60% hit rate for finding the frame. A Darmanin, who wins better than a quarter of his 31 Devonport rides, partners it again, and it’s shouldering the topweight in the race too, for what that’s worth against this field. Alpine Blast is the swing runner from the outside, eight course runs to Azonto’s four, but only the one has produced a win, and its last 90 days have returned just a single placing from four starts. T Baker’s own numbers here (11.76% wins, 32.35% places from 34 rides) trail Darmanin’s clearly. Win bet on Azonto, with Alpine Blast the each-way stab only if the price is generous.

Race 2: Dean Walker Designs (Bm76) — 12:28, 1103m

Alpine Thunder and Volkanovski are opposite types heading into this 1103m sprint. Alpine Thunder arrives off a win last start, form reading 1-8-5-6-7-1, and the bookend figures say plenty about a horse that can peak when it matters. The catch is it has never started at Devonport before, so this is new ground. It’s also up in the weights, topweight of the six today, which makes the front-running profile more notable rather than less. Volkanovski is the other side of the coin: nine runs at this track, three placings, not a single win in any of them, and the last 90 days read the same way, seven runs, three places, still without a win. Chloe Wells partners Alpine Thunder and her own course figures are moderate (8.7% wins from 46 rides), while Jett Stanley’s Devonport book is too small to lean on either way. Bold Instinct and Within Sight both carry poor course form and are hard to include in calculations. Back Alpine Thunder to win on the strength of the form trajectory; treat Volkanovski as the each-way alternative if this one gets outpaced early.

Race 3: Stables At Spreyton Hcp (C2) — 13:03, 1476m

Liam Beamish doesn’t send many runners to Devonport, but when he does, they win: four from six at this track, a 66.67% strike rate that’s the best of any trainer on today’s card, and City Wok is the one he’s brought this time. The gelding has matched its trainer’s form, back-to-back wins in its last two starts, reading 2-3-6-7-1-1, and it has been unbeaten in two prior visits to this circuit. It shoulders the topweight of the race again today. E Byrne Burke, who wins nearly 16% of his rides here from a heavy book of 63, takes the leg-up again. The danger is Bella Chinkara, who gets the track’s most reliable rider by strike rate, C Newitt places almost 78% of his Devonport rides from nine attempts, after finishing third last start, though its own recent figures are modest, one placing from its last three runs. Fierce ‘n Fabulous and Rare Oro both need to find more than recent form suggests. Win bet on City Wok, and it’s a leg worth using in multis given the trainer numbers sitting behind it.

Race 4: Winning Edge Presentations (Bm68) — 13:39, 1476m

Does Simply Deep’s flawless Devonport record survive a rival that’s actually won more recently? Seven starts at this track have produced three wins and seven placings, every visit has ended in the money, and the recent trend only sharpens the case: two wins and a narrow second from its last three runs, unbeaten in the placings across all four runs in the past 90 days. Barry Campbell trains it, A Darmanin rides it, and together at Devonport they’ve combined for four wins and six placings from six runners. Every single start has been in the money, the most recent win as recently as August 26. That’s about as strong a stable-and-rider signal as this card offers. Simply Deep is also carrying more weight than anything else in the race, which makes the placing record more impressive, not less. Sh’bourne Power presents the argument against: three wins from its last three starts, a form line reading 6-3-1-1-1 that suggests a horse still on the way up rather than levelling out. It arrives without a Devonport run to its name, so the placing habit Simply Deep has built here counts for something the newcomer hasn’t had the chance to prove either way. Stardarmus adds a third genuine thread, five course runs, two wins, three placings, and its own recent trio reads 1-2-1, arguably the hottest formline of the three on raw figures alone, with Kirra-Lee Lane in the saddle at a 50% Devonport place rate from 48 rides. With three in-form runners in one race, this is the best betting heat on the card. Simply Deep is the win bet on the weight of course history and connections; Sh’bourne Power is the value each-way play if the improvement keeps coming; Stardarmus rates as the swing runner worth a save in exotics.

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Race 5: Kevin Sharkie Mdn Plate — 14:14, 1476m

Ten runners line up in the maiden closing out the card and not one of them arrives with a genuinely strong case. Harrata gets the nod on shape, fourth then third in its last two runs after resuming from a break, the form trending the right way, and D M Ganderton, who places 60% of his rides at Devonport from 25 attempts, takes the ride for G J Stevenson, sending a third runner to the track today. Lyrebird Lady is the each-way alternative off a good second-up run last start, though it has just two placings from its last four runs and Christopher Pang’s own course figures are thin, barely a 2% win rate from 50 rides. Guber has raced at this track eight times without a win, which argues against rather than for. This is a watch race more than a confident betting heat: small stakes on Harrata, or leave it alone entirely.

Where the money goes

Simply Deep is the play of the day and the sharpest of today’s Devonport best bets. Nothing else on this card matches a horse that’s found the money in every single Devonport start, backed by a trainer clearing a third of his runners here and a rider combination that’s four winners from six together at this circuit. That’s where the money goes first, win only.

Sh’bourne Power is the value angle in the same race, three straight wins and no Devonport form to be priced off, which means the market has less to work with than the formline suggests. City Wok is the banker for anyone building a multi: unbeaten in two course visits, for a trainer firing at better than 66% from six runners, the best strike rate of anyone on the card.

For each-way cover, Azonto’s placing habit stands out, three from four at this track, and it carries the same stable-and-rider combination that’s on fire elsewhere on the program today. The course angle worth following past today: Barry Campbell and A Darmanin together at Devonport. Six runners, four winners, the rest minor money. If that partnership keeps turning up on Devonport cards at this rate, it’ll be the angle worth chasing every time these two combine here.

FAQ

What time does racing start at Devonport today?

The first race, the Hospitality Tasmania (Bm68), jumps at 11:55am, and the five-race card runs through to the Kevin Sharkie Mdn Plate at 2:14pm.

Who are the top trainers and jockeys at Devonport today?

Barry Campbell brings the strongest volume case, 36.36% wins and 63.64% places from 44 runners at the track, while Liam Beamish posts the best strike rate on the card at 66.67% from six runners, though with only one runner today. On the jockey side, C Newitt places 77.78% of his nine Devonport rides, and A Darmanin wins better than a quarter of his 31 rides here.

What are the best bets at Devonport today?

Simply Deep in race four is the standout, placed in all seven starts at this track including three wins, trained by Barry Campbell and ridden by A Darmanin, the combination that’s four from six together here. City Wok in race three is the each-way banker, unbeaten in two course visits for a trainer running at better than 66%.

Where can I find the best Devonport odds today?

Bookmaker odds weren’t available for this Devonport card at the time of writing. Check with your preferred bookmaker closer to the first jump for current prices before staking anything.

Is there a repeatable course angle at Devonport today?

The Barry Campbell and A Darmanin combination is the one to note for future Devonport predictions: six runners together at this track have produced four winners and six placings, and they’re doubling up today with Azonto in race one and Simply Deep in race four.

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