Kilmore Racing Tips Sept 28 — Form or Weight in the Bm56?
Overview
Fierce Fiasco carries 136.6kg into the last race on the card, a kilo and a bit shy of top-weighted Crown Of Russia, and the formline underneath that weight is the best on offer in the whole meeting: a placing, another placing, then a win from its last three runs. That’s the thread worth pulling through these Kilmore racing tips, because five of the six races here are maiden plates and the sixth is where the actual form study pays off. Ben, Will and JD Hayes send five runners around the circuit where they’ve already banked 13 placings from 23 career starts, two unbeaten types collide in the open-class sprint, and a genuinely deep 18-horse field makes the middle of the card the one to leave alone. Six races, 1203m to 2187m, first jump at 1.30pm.
Kilmore — the setup
Course form is thin across the board today. Most runners have raced at Kilmore once or twice at best, and only I Could Do Better arrives with three runs on this track — limited course form across today’s fields, so the reads lean on recent starts, weights and who’s booked to ride rather than a run of course specialists. Earthly Crown is the one exception worth flagging: it won on its only start at Kilmore, which counts for something even if it’s a single data point rather than a trend.
The jockey and trainer numbers are more useful. Three or more riders clear the five-ride minimum for percentages to mean anything, and the same is true for trainers at the three-runner mark.
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | Places | Win% | Place% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlan Neindorf | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33.33% | 66.67% |
| D W Stackhouse | 7 | 2 | 4 | 28.57% | 57.14% |
| J Noonan | 11 | 0 | 6 | 0% | 54.55% |
| John Allen | 18 | 6 | 9 | 33.33% | 50.00% |
| B Rawiller | 26 | 3 | 13 | 11.54% | 50.00% |
| Trainer | Runs | Wins | Places | Win% | Place% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P G Moody & Katherine Coleman | 3 | 1 | 3 | 33.33% | 100.00% |
| Simon Zahra | 5 | 2 | 4 | 40.00% | 80.00% |
| R G Symons | 9 | 2 | 7 | 22.22% | 77.78% |
| C Maher | 11 | 4 | 7 | 36.36% | 63.64% |
| Ben, Will & JD Hayes | 23 | 4 | 13 | 17.39% | 56.52% |
Lachlan Neindorf and D W Stackhouse are the two to watch off small but sharp samples, John Allen brings the volume with six winners from eighteen rides, and Ben, Will and JD Hayes are the trainer name that keeps recurring — they’ve got five runners on the card today to back up that Kilmore record.
Ladbrokes Review [Updated March 2026] | Ladbrokes.com.au Pros & Cons
- Info Hub
- Mates Mode
Race by race
Here’s how today’s Kilmore racing tips break down, race by race, from a two-from-two maiden runner in event one through to the best bet of the day in the last.
Race 1: Bet365 Bet Boost Mdn Plate — 1:30pm, 1586m
Victor’s Pavilion has had two runs for two placings, and both have come with Peter Moody and Katherine Coleman doing the training and Luke Cartwright doing the steering. A second and a third from two starts in a maiden this deep is a genuine form edge, and there’s nothing in the recent scratchings or the barrier draw (gate 11) that changes that read. Musical Journey is the closest thing to a worry — placed second on debut for Matthew Cumani, ridden by Cian Macredmond, and drawn to get a similar run through the race. One run is one run, though, and Victor’s Pavilion has already backed its placing up.
Regal Banter looked useful before a break (placed at its only start) and is worth a token saver if the price is generous, but the two runs on the board for Victor’s Pavilion carry more weight than a single line from months ago. Win bet on Victor’s Pavilion, with Musical Journey covered in the exotics.
Race 2: Taylors Hill Retirement Village Mdn Plate — 2:00pm, 1586m
Ciaron Maher’s runners have placed almost two-thirds of the time at Kilmore — seven from eleven starts — and Cool Aza Breeze fits that pattern on its own account, with three placings from four runs without quite crossing the line. Ben Allen takes the ride, and the profile here is a horse that keeps knocking on the door in deep maidens rather than one that’s fallen away.
Anglais is the danger. D W Stackhouse has been one of the sharper riders at this track recently, and Anglais has placed in one of its two runs with him aboard, drawn to get a similar trip. If the tempo suits, Anglais goes close; if it doesn’t, Cool Aza Breeze’s consistency should be enough. Each-way on Cool Aza Breeze, with Anglais as the roughie in a boxed exacta.
Race 3: Wollert Lifestyle Village Mdn Plate — 2:30pm, 1312m
Can anyone really back a winner out of an eighteen-horse maiden with a straight face? Kilmore’s third is that race — big field, spread form, and not much separating a dozen of them on paper. Star Of Macedon has the tidiest résumé, with four runs and four minor placings (2-3-3-2) without breaking through, which at least says it turns up. Trouble’n Paradise gets a mention purely because Ben, Will and JD Hayes have gone to the trouble of sending five runners to this meeting and this is one of them, even though its latest run (unplaced) doesn’t back that up yet.
Hard to have a confident view here. If forced, Star Of Macedon on the strength of four straight minor placings, but this is a watch race more than a betting one.
Race 4: MC Labour Mdn Plate — 3:00pm, 1203m
The market will make one of this field’s eventual winners the favourite; the strongest case here belongs to a horse that hasn’t won anything yet. Weasel Sea has started five times and never finished worse than third (3-2-3-3-2) — that’s not a formline that inspires a big price, but it should be respected more than a maiden field usually allows. D W Stackhouse is aboard again, adding to a week where he’s been hard to miss around this circuit.
Prestige Erick is the one to fear if the price drifts too far. Its figures alternate 4-2-4-2, it placed on its only start at Kilmore, and Ben Allen doesn’t take rides in maidens he doesn’t fancy. Weasel Sea each-way is the play — the market tends to undervalue horses without a win attached, and five straight frames is a case worth backing at the right odds. Prestige Erick as the swing for the forecast.
Race 5: Box Hill Rsl Hcp (C1) — 3:30pm, 1203m
Share The Music won by daylight on debut; Our Yonglee did much the same thing at its only start. Different stables, different riders, same result, and now both step up into open company together. Share The Music’s win carried $17,600 in prize money and an average finishing position of exactly first, which is as strong a debut line as this card produces. Taige Weir trains it, W Gordon rides it, and there’s no obvious reason the step up should expose it just yet.
Our Yonglee is the genuine rival — also unbeaten, also fresh off a maiden win, with D W Stackhouse taking the ride this time. Frosted In Time lurks as the each-way watch, with two runs and two placings of its own. Backing both unbeaten types in an exacta covers the base if you can’t split them; for a single win bet, Share The Music’s prize money and the manner of its win edge it.
Race 6: Darebin Rsl (Bm56) — 4:00pm, 2187m
18+ T&C’s Apply. What are you really gambling with? Chances are you’re about to lose. Set a Deposit Limit For free and confidential support call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au
18+ T&C’s Apply. What are you really gambling with? Chances are you’re about to lose. Set a Deposit Limit For free and confidential support call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au
18+ T&C’s Apply. What are you really gambling with? Chances are you’re about to lose. Set a Deposit Limit For free and confidential support call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au
Kilmore’s longest race of the day tends to settle into genuine tempo rather than a sprint from the turn, and that suits the horse that can sustain a run rather than the one that’s just quick enough to lead. Fierce Fiasco is that type. Three runs this preparation have produced two placings and a win, an average finishing position inside the top three, and one placing from two runs at this track already banked. Andrew Noblet has it fit enough to carry 136.6kg, which is heavy without being the heaviest in the race — Crown Of Russia goes out 1.1kg higher again — and W Egan takes the ride.
Just Swift is the each-way risk to Fierce Fiasco’s win chance. Four runs have brought three placings and a win of its own, a slightly better strike rate on paper, and 6.6kg less to carry at 130kg. John Allen is on board, and he’s been one of the busier and more successful riders at Kilmore of late — six winners from eighteen rides. Earthly Crown deserves a passing mention too: it won on its only visit to this track, even if its only other run this campaign fell well away from that. Crown Of Russia carries the topweight and placed at its most recent run, but there isn’t enough recent depth in its formline to prefer it to the two above.
Win bet on Fierce Fiasco. If the weight becomes the story of the race in the run home, Just Swift is the each-way cover, with John Allen’s form adding to the case.
The plays
Fierce Fiasco is the headline call from these Kilmore racing tips. Three runs, two placings and a win, and it’s already shown it handles Kilmore — that’s the strongest recent trend on offer anywhere in the six races, weight concerns aside.
Weasel Sea is the value angle. Five runs without missing a place tends to get overlooked in a maiden field full of horses chasing a first win, and the market usually prices that story generously.
Just Swift is the banker for anyone building a multi — a genuine top-three finisher in three of its last four with a leading rider on board.
Cool Aza Breeze is the each-way selection, with three placings from four runs and a leading trainer’s numbers behind it.
The repeatable angle today is Ben, Will and JD Hayes — five runners on the card, and a trainer team that’s already placed 13 times from 23 Kilmore starts. If they keep sending them here at that rate, they’ll be worth following at this track every time they turn up.
Best bookmakers for today’s racing
Check the latest prices before jumping on any of the above — early markets can move quickly once fields firm up, especially in the maiden races where a scratching or a late gear change can shift the numbers.
FAQ
What time does racing start at Kilmore today?
The first of six races jumps at 1.30pm, with the last race, the Darebin Rsl (Bm56) over 2187m, set down for 4.00pm.
Who are the top trainers and jockeys at Kilmore today?
Lachlan Neindorf has placed in two-thirds of his Kilmore rides (4 from 6), and Ben, Will and JD Hayes have placed 13 times from 23 career starts at the track — and they’ve sent five runners to today’s meeting to back that up.
What are the best Kilmore best bets today?
Fierce Fiasco in the last race is the pick of the card off three runs with two placings and a win. Weasel Sea in race four is the value play, unbeaten in the sense that it’s never finished worse than third in five runs without cashing in yet.
Where can I find the best Kilmore odds for today’s races?
Prices move throughout the morning, so check the bookmaker comparison above closer to the jump rather than locking in early markets, particularly in the bigger maiden fields.
Is there a horse with real course form at Kilmore today?
Not much of it. Earthly Crown won on its only Kilmore start and I Could Do Better has three runs at the track for one placing — beyond that, most of today’s field are having their first or second look at the circuit.
Tamworth Racing Tips Sep 28 — Does Immortal Rose Repeat?