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Launceston Racing Tips & Predictions 25/02/2026 – Can Obviously Good stay unbeaten here?
Launceston racing tips & predictions 25/02/2026 – Can Obviously Good stay unbeaten here?
Hook: Today’s Launceston card revolves around one simple punting question: do you pay up for a horse that’s already proven it can win at this circuit, or do you keep hunting for upside in the lightly-raced types across the maidens?
We’ve got 5 races on the Launceston turf with no official going published at time of writing, and the set-up is a classic blend: two big maiden plates early, a C4 where the ratings can compress quickly, a staying BM64 that punishes poor positioning, then a sharp 1312m quality to close. These Launceston racing tips lean on what the card actually gives us today: reliable rider/trainer volume where it exists, and course records where the sample is big enough to matter.
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Course Overview
Going & Conditions
Launceston races on Turf today, and the meeting data doesn’t publish an official going. That pushes us to weight repeatable form (last three runs), race shape and proven Launceston performance over ground assumptions.
Course Specialists Running Today
Launceston’s “course specialist” lens is limited on this program because most of the meeting’s runners sit on one or two course appearances. Rather than turning single data points into narratives, the race-by-race below leans harder on current form lines and the connections that repeatedly convert at this track.
Horses To Note (3+ Launceston runs)
| Entity | Runs | Wins | Places | Win % | Place % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bad Alibi | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33.33% | 66.67% |
Jockeys To Note (5+ Launceston rides)
| Entity | Runs | Wins | Places | Win % | Place % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Kennedy | 12 | 4 | 8 | 33.33% | 66.67% |
| L Currie | 6 | 2 | 6 | 33.33% | 100.00% |
| E Byrne Burke | 30 | 8 | 11 | 26.67% | 36.67% |
| John Allen | 5 | 1 | 2 | 20.00% | 40.00% |
| D Pires | 12 | 2 | 3 | 16.67% | 25.00% |
| Christopher Pang | 6 | 1 | 1 | 16.67% | 16.67% |
| T Baker | 15 | 2 | 3 | 13.33% | 20.00% |
| Chloe Wells | 24 | 3 | 9 | 12.50% | 37.50% |
| Codi Jordan | 24 | 3 | 8 | 12.50% | 33.33% |
| B Muhcu | 10 | 0 | 3 | 0.00% | 30.00% |
| M Ulucinar | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Trainers To Note (3+ Launceston runners)
| Entity | Runs | Wins | Places | Win % | Place % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jessie Bazan | 11 | 3 | 8 | 27.27% | 72.73% |
| Barry Campbell | 15 | 4 | 6 | 26.67% | 40.00% |
| Adam Trinder | 25 | 6 | 11 | 24.00% | 44.00% |
| J L Keys | 16 | 3 | 11 | 18.75% | 68.75% |
| G J Stevenson | 16 | 2 | 7 | 12.50% | 43.75% |
| Christie Burt | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0.00% | 33.33% |
| Yassy Nishitani | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| MS A Fulton | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0.00% | 20.00% |
| L A Wells | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0.00% | 66.67% |
| P A Hill | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Dylan Clark | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0.00% | 33.33% |
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Race-by-race analysis
Race 1: Shedcorptas Mdn Plate (12:45, 1312m)
This maiden has the look of a genuine tempo: plenty drawn wide, a few with early intent, and it can turn into a race of who gets cover rather than who has the prettiest sectionals on paper. The key question is which runner is ready to take control of the race from a workable gate.
Top Selection: Dubai Affair
Dubai Affair brings the sort of profile you want in a big-field maiden: it’s been competitive enough to keep finding the placings (form reads 3322-7) and now gets a rider with real track leverage. L Currie has a meaningful Launceston record on today’s data set: 6 rides, 2 wins, 6 placings (course figures), which matters more than most jockey snippets you’ll read for this meeting.
The niggle is the draw (17) at 1312m, but that can also force a decision early. If Currie can slide in midfield with cover, Dubai Affair looks like the runner most likely to sustain a run rather than spike for 100 metres and flatten.
Supporting analysis
From a stable lens, Adam Trinder consistently converts at this track: course performance shows 24% wins and 44% placings from 25 runners at Launceston. That’s a big enough sample to treat as signal, not noise, and it boosts confidence that the placement is deliberate.
Key Danger: Unfiltered
Unfiltered has placed on its only Launceston start (2nd in the form string) and can improve sharply second-up in experience terms. The main risk is whether it gets trapped wide again from gate 15 when the speed goes on early.
Verdict
I’ll back the rider/trainer edge over raw maiden guesswork. Dubai Affair maps awkwardly but owns the most trustworthy combination of established competitiveness and a jockey who repeatedly lands Launceston winners. Save on Unfiltered if the market overreacts to Dubai Affair’s barrier.
Race 2: Winning Edge Presentations Mdn Plate (13:20, 1531m)
Different puzzle here: 1531m often rewards horses that can hold a position, relax, then sprint—especially when the field contains runners with limited late strength. The race reads like it could compress late if nobody wants to overdo the middle stages.
Top Selection: Who’s In Dev
Who’s In Dev has been the most consistent stayer-in-the-making in this field (form 323-2) and it profiles as the runner that keeps finding the line rather than peaking at the 150m. It also placed on its only Launceston run, which I’ll treat as a positive data point without overstating it.
Barrier 8 is workable at this trip: it gives the rider options to land within striking range rather than needing to snag to last and hope for luck.
Supporting analysis
If you want a pure “shape” angle, Who’s In Dev looks adaptable: it doesn’t require the lead, and in maidens that’s often the difference between running 2nd again and winning when the tempo turns messy. On the same card, we also see plenty of runners with one-dimensional patterns or long losing sequences—exactly the type that can fold if pressure arrives before the turn.
Key Danger: Joejoe
Joejoe has only had two starts (form 42) and that kind of profile can jump quickly in a low-information maiden. If Joejoe steps cleanly and takes a spot, it’s the main “ceiling” threat.
Verdict
Who’s In Dev reads like the horse that keeps running its race regardless of traffic, and that matters at 1531m when maidens turn tactical. I’ll play it straight win-only, and consider Joejoe as the cover if the market signals a stable push.
Race 3: Dynamic Finance Brokers Tasmania Plate (C4) (13:55, 1531m)
Here’s the race the card is built around: a compact C4 where the top few have genuine winning momentum and the rest need improvement or a race-shape gift. The question is whether the in-form winner can absorb a more controlled tempo than it’s been seeing.
Top Selection: Obviously Good
Obviously Good comes here off a two-win streak (form 258-11) and has also won on both previous Launceston runs. That’s still only two starts—so I won’t label it a “specialist”—but it tells you the horse handles this circuit’s rhythm and positioning demands.
The booking of T Baker</strong fits the profile: Baker rides Launceston as well as anyone when the race turns into a sprint off the bend, and this field has enough runners that don’t want to overcook the midrace.
Supporting analysis
Trainer intent matters in this grade, and the broader Launceston numbers for Adam Trinder (not the trainer here) show why: runners that come to this track with a clear plan tend to get paid. For this horse specifically, course records also show it’s one of the meeting’s few runners with multiple wins at the venue, which is rare on today’s card.
Head-to-head doesn’t give us usable history here: the database flags a “meeting” between Obviously Good and Agnete, but it’s this same race and no prior result positions exist yet.
Key Danger: Agnete
Agnete keeps turning up and running second (form 242-22), and it’s already placed twice at Launceston from two course runs. If the tempo is genuinely run, Agnete looks the runner most likely to be in the finish again.
Verdict
Obviously Good earns top billing because it brings the one thing you can’t fake in a C4: current winning form. Agnete is the obvious danger on consistency and can punish any overconfidence if the favourite gets posted or has to chase early speed.
Race 4: Ladbrokes Community Sports Series (Bm64) (14:30, 2297m)
The staying race often exposes bad maps at Launceston: you either get into a rhythm or you spend the last 800m making up ground into a wall of horses. With a bigger field and a long trip, I’m leaning toward runners that can hold a position and keep finding.
Top Selection: Johnnie Pinch
Johnnie Pinch brings the strongest blend of recent performance and course comfort. It has two wins then a placing across its last four (form 4-1123) and it has also placed both times it’s raced at Launceston from two course runs. That’s not enough for percentages, but it’s enough to trust the track won’t beat it.
The weight is high (131.1), so the win path likely comes from landing midfield with cover and getting rolling before the sprint goes on, not from conceding six lengths and trying to round them.
Supporting analysis
If you want a jockey-based hook, Sam Kennedy rides Launceston extremely well across meaningful volume (12 rides, 4 wins, 8 placings), but he’s not on Johnnie Pinch. That makes Johnnie Pinch a “horse-first” play: it must win via stamina and race sense, not a star steering job.
Key Danger: Speed Rock
Speed Rock’s recent form reads like it’s knocking on the door (form 7-5522) and it’s the type that can pinch a staying race if the leaders dawdle and it gets first crack. The concern is whether it leaves itself too much to do if the pace lifts at the 800m.
Verdict
Johnnie Pinch looks the most dependable stayer on the meeting through current form, and it’s already shown it can handle Launceston’s patterns. I’ll take it as the main bet and use Speed Rock in quinellas/exactas if you’re playing wider, because it’s the one with a clear “right run” scenario.
Race 5: City Of Launceston Royal Rambo Qlty (15:05, 1312m)
The closer is where the market often gets too rigid. It’s a short-course quality, and a single missed kick or a jockey who gets trapped behind the wrong horse can flip the finish. The key is identifying who can control the run to the corner.
Top Selection: Magnaprime
Magnaprime has been racing like a horse that’s found its level and is still improving (form 15-112). It also has two Launceston runs for a win and a placing, which tells you it can both handle the track and actually finish the job here when it gets the right run.
This is also where connections matter: E Byrne Burke and Adam Trinder combine at 28.57% wins (6 wins from 21) over the last 90 days, and at Launceston specifically they’ve gone 4 wins from 15 together. That’s a proper partnership edge with enough volume to trust.
Supporting analysis
Trinder’s broader Launceston profile backs the same story: 6 winners from 25 runners here (24% win, 44% place). When this stable lands on the right horse for the conditions, it tends to convert rather than “run well in defeat”.
Head-to-head isn’t usable yet: Magnaprime and Perspiration are flagged as “meeting” in this same race, but they haven’t clashed previously in the database with final positions recorded.
Key Danger: Perspiration
Perspiration has been holding form (form 1/55-31) and it placed on its only Launceston run. It’s the danger because it can sit close enough that luck won’t decide its fate as much as it might for backmarkers.
Verdict
Magnaprime gets the nod because the partnership and the stable’s Launceston results align with a horse arriving in winning shape. Perspiration looks the main threat if it controls the speed and turns it into a sit-sprint; if you’re betting in-play, watch who gets the first cheap section down the back.
Summary & Launceston best bets
This meeting doesn’t offer many genuine “course specialist” plays—most runners simply haven’t had enough Launceston starts to make those percentages meaningful. The edge today sits in repeatable connection patterns and horses arriving in the right part of their prep.
NAP: Magnaprime in the 15:05 — the E Byrne Burke/Adam Trinder combo has a real strike across the last 90 days (6 wins from 21), and Trinder’s Launceston record (6 from 25) supports the placement.
Best Value: Dubai Affair in the 12:45 — the wide draw keeps the price honest, but L Currie’s Launceston output (6 rides, 6 placings) is the type of small-but-meaningful rider edge you can actually bet into.
Banker: Obviously Good in the 13:55 — current winning form plus two wins from two Launceston starts (not a “specialist” label, just evidence it handles the circuit).
Each-Way Angle: Agnete in the 13:55 — the form line 242-22 and two Launceston placings from two tries scream reliability for place markets.
Course angle to follow: When Adam Trinder brings a live chance to Launceston, don’t ignore it: 24% wins and 44% placings from 25 runners at this track is a real baseline edge.
Kicker: Launceston keeps rewarding stables that arrive with a plan—next meeting, start your pricing with the Trinder runners and work backwards.
FAQ
What time does racing start at Launceston today?
Launceston kicks off at 12:45 with the Shedcorptas Mdn Plate over 1312m.
What is the going at Launceston today?
The meeting data for 25/02/2026 doesn’t publish an official going for Launceston. With that uncertainty, I’ve weighted runners with proven Launceston performance (for example, Obviously Good has two wins from two course runs) and trainers with strong local baselines like Adam Trinder (6 wins from 25 at this track).
Who are the top trainers at Launceston?
On today’s course stats, Adam Trinder stands out for volume and conversion at Launceston with 6 wins and 11 placings from 25 runners (24% win, 44% place). J L Keys also profiles strongly on placings with 11 placings from 16 runners (68.75% place rate), while Jessie Bazan leads the win-rate among the higher-volume locals on the card (3 wins from 11).
What are the best bets at Launceston today?
My Launceston best bets are Magnaprime (Race 5, 15:05) as the NAP on the E Byrne Burke/Adam Trinder partnership (6 wins from 21 in the last 90 days), and Obviously Good (Race 3, 13:55) as the banker given its current win streak and two-from-two at this track.
Where can I find the best odds for Launceston races?
Compare prices across the major books, but note that live odds weren’t available via today’s odds feed for this meeting at time of publication. If you’re shopping manually, prioritise races where the edge is structural (for example, Magnaprime’s Burke/Trinder partnership and Trinder’s Launceston 6-from-25 trainer record) rather than trying to “pick the drift” in maiden markets.
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