Morphettville Racing Tips Sep 12: Ramasis’s Weight Trap?
Overview
Ramasis heads the weights at Morphettville’s Sportsbet Feed Handicap off the back of back-to-back wins, and that’s exactly the problem. The horse that was farmed into a red-hot spell now carries top weight from an awkward wide gate, and its most recent run broke the sequence with a flat sixth. These are the Morphettville racing tips for Saturday’s two-race card, and the whole meeting turns on questions like that one: does recent form hold up once the handicapper gets involved, and which of the lightly raced three-year-olds in the second race is actually going forward rather than just filling a field. Two races, a combined 27 runners, both on the Morphettville turf, and enough contradictory signals in each to make a flat “back the favourite” read the wrong one. Read on for the full race-by-race breakdown, the course numbers worth knowing, and where the value sits once the obvious names are stripped out.
Reading the Morphettville card
Course form across today’s runners is thin in the way most midweek-adjacent cards are: plenty of one- and two-run horses, a handful with real history at the track. Six runners arrive with three or more starts at Morphettville, which is enough to put a table in front of you rather than lean on impressions.
| Horse | Runs | Wins | Places | Win% | Place% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Farnace | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 33.3% |
| Czech Out | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 33.3% |
| Image Artist | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 25% |
| Purfect Line | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 25% |
| Wally West | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 25% |
| Madam Jeanette | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
None of that group has actually won at the track, which tells you the card’s winners are more likely to come from horses without much course history than from the ones who keep turning up and missing. Madam Jeanette is the standout on the wrong side of it: five runs at Morphettville, not one of them a placing.
The jockeys’ room tells a sharper story. N Callow has ridden here 27 times for a place rate just above half, and Harry Grace isn’t far behind on a much bigger sample.
| Jockey | Rides | Wins | Places | Win% | Place% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N Callow | 27 | 4 | 14 | 14.8% | 51.9% |
| Harry Grace | 101 | 14 | 45 | 13.9% | 44.6% |
| J Holder | 167 | 26 | 65 | 15.6% | 38.9% |
| Jake Toeroek | 85 | 10 | 32 | 11.8% | 37.7% |
| Rose Hammond | 24 | 1 | 9 | 4.2% | 37.5% |
| A Stead | 36 | 5 | 13 | 13.9% | 36.1% |
On the training side, R & C Jolly’s numbers stand out simply for volume: 167 runners sent to this track, 39.5% of them hitting the frame. A J Gluyas is close behind on a smaller book, and both have runners engaged today.
| Trainer | Runs | Wins | Places | Win% | Place% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillip & Tommy Stokes | 33 | 6 | 20 | 18.2% | 60.6% |
| D Clarken & O Macgillivray | 39 | 6 | 19 | 15.4% | 48.7% |
| R & C Jolly | 167 | 22 | 66 | 13.2% | 39.5% |
| A J Gluyas | 115 | 15 | 44 | 13.0% | 38.3% |
| Byron Cozamanis | 34 | 2 | 10 | 5.9% | 29.4% |
| G Richards & D Moyle | 106 | 14 | 30 | 13.2% | 28.3% |
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Race by race
Race 1: Sportsbet Feed Hcp (C2) — 12:24, 1148m
The market has to respect Ramasis at 133.3kg, and on raw figures that’s fair: two wins on the bounce before a shock last-start sixth, and it has placed in both of its starts at Morphettville, one of them a win, small sample or not. But top weight from barrier 13 in a field of fourteen is a genuinely hard ask, and the one blemish on the résumé is the run right before today, not one from months back. Travis Doudle trains on, Ben Price rides, and both are fine without being the kind of combination that papers over the risk. Over 1148m, a sprint trip that rewards being able to hold a position rather than grind through the extra weight from deep out wide, the barrier draw matters more than it would over further, and thirteen is not the gate you want with 133.3kg on your back.
Loseyatoetoe is the one going the other way. The form line reads a string of minor placings capped by a win last time out, it drops back into a moderate weight of 124.5kg from barrier 9, and J Holder takes the ride off the best sample of any jockey engaged in this race, 167 rides at the track for a place rate touching 39%. John Hyam’s own runners at Morphettville are a small book, so there’s no trainer angle to lean on, but the horse and rider combination is doing enough of the work. A field of fourteen at 1148m tends to split into a genuine speed group and a group that has to work home from midfield, and coming off a win from a moderate draw, Loseyatoetoe looks better placed to sit in the first half of that split than to be caught wide and worked over the back of it.
Boyd is the each-way interest. Harry Grace has the best course numbers of any jockey walking out for this field bar Callow, placing close to 45% of his Morphettville rides from a genuine sample of 101, and Boyd himself has a win and a placing from his last two starts even with a sixth mixed through the sequence. Stephen Theodore’s stable is the query mark: a 2.3% win rate from 43 runners at the track is thin on its own merits.
Purfect Line is the fade. R & C Jolly’s stable numbers at this track are the best on the card by volume, but jockey Caitlyn Munro hasn’t won from 37 rides here, and the horse’s most recent run landed around tenth. That’s a trainer angle without a horse or rider to carry it.
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Win bet on Loseyatoetoe, with Boyd as the each-way saver if the market drifts.
Race 2: Peter Elberg Funerals (Bm64) — 12:57, 1203m
Three three-year-olds go into this untested at the track’s card level, and the rest split into two groups: those building and those already fading. At 1203m, a touch further than the pure sprint distances most of this field has been racing over, the runners still working home late in their recent starts get more time to finish the job than the ones who lead and fade. That shape favours the improving types over the ones already showing signs of hitting a ceiling. Farnace fits the first group. A J Gluyas is the second-busiest trainer at Morphettville by volume and one of the more efficient, placing 38% of his runners here, and Farnace itself ran on for second last start after a string of one-paced efforts before it. Rose Hammond doesn’t have the biggest book at the track, but a 37.5% place rate from 24 rides is a real number, not a fluke off three starts.
Money Honey and Cha Ching King both arrive with the same shape: placed, then won, on the way up rather than down. Money Honey gets Todd Pannell, who has ridden 137 times at Morphettville for a place rate near 23%, though his partnership with trainer Andrew Bobbin is a small one, just five runs together for a single winner, so treat that as a jockey booking rather than a stable trend. Cha Ching King is trained by Andrew Dale, who has barely raced at this track, which makes that colt harder to back with conviction despite the improving figures.
Barghest is the unbeaten one, a winner on debut and the second Morphettville runner today for G Richards & D Moyle, who send Czech Out around as well. Two runners from one stable in a field this open is a deliberate placement, and the trainer’s own course numbers (28.3% place rate from 106 runners) back the move up, even if Barghest’s price is likely to reflect the perfect record already.
Farnace edges it on the balance of trainer strength and improving form, with Barghest the one to watch if the gates open cleanly for it. Each-way cover on Farnace, no more than that, in a race this open.
The plays
Here’s where these Morphettville racing tips land once the noise is stripped out. Loseyatoetoe is the bet of the day. It’s not the horse with the biggest reputation on the card, but a winning last start, a moderate weight and the best-sampled jockey in the race line up too well to ignore. Farnace is the value: A J Gluyas’s stable does solid, repeatable work at this track, and the horse arrives building rather than fading, in a Bm64 field where half the runners have barely raced. Barghest is the banker if you’re building a multi, unbeaten and drawn to get the run its record suggests it deserves. For each-way cover, Boyd’s price should hold up given Harry Grace’s numbers at the track even without a trainer angle to support it. The course angle worth banking for future Morphettville meetings is R & C Jolly: 167 runners, close to 40% of them hitting the frame, regardless of what today’s pair actually manage. If that stable keeps sending them out at this rate, they’re worth following past this card, not just on it.
FAQ
What time does racing start at Morphettville today?
The first race, the Sportsbet Feed Handicap (C2), jumps at 12:24pm, with the second race on the card, the Peter Elberg Funerals Bm64, following at 12:57pm.
Who are the top trainers and jockeys at Morphettville today?
R & C Jolly leads the trainers engaged today by volume at the track, with 167 runners and a 39.5% place rate. J Holder leads the jockeys on the same measure of sample size, 167 rides for a place rate just under 39%, though N Callow’s smaller book of 27 rides carries the best place rate of anyone in the field at 51.9%.
What are the best bets at Morphettville today?
Loseyatoetoe in Race 1 is the pick of the card off a winning last start and the services of J Holder. Farnace in Race 2 is the value play, backed by A J Gluyas’s course numbers and an improving form line.
Where can I find the best odds for Morphettville races?
Odds move in the lead-up to each race as markets firm, so check your bookmaker of choice close to the jump for the best price on any of today’s Morphettville racing tips.
Is there a standout course form angle at Morphettville today?
None of today’s six runners with three or more starts at the track has actually won here, so the strongest course angle isn’t a horse, it’s a stable: R & C Jolly has sent 167 runners to Morphettville and placed close to 40% of them, well clear of the field on volume alone.
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