Morphettville Racing Tips Sept 19 — Beat The Cosmic One?
Overview
Phillip and Tommy Stokes have found something at Morphettville lately, and they are not being shy about it. The stable sends out nine runners across today’s nine-race card, starting with Bohemian Angel in the opener and finishing with Nicish in the Benchmark 72. That kind of coverage tells you where a chunk of the smart money inside the stable is pointing, even if it does not guarantee the money outside it follows. Away from the stable numbers, The Cosmic One arrives off three straight wins and looks the most dangerous single runner on the entire card. These Morphettville racing tips work through all nine races, weigh up the course form that actually means something against the sample sizes that do not, and land on where the value sits rather than just where the favourites are.
What today’s Morphettville form tells us
Seventy of the eighty-nine horses racing today carry some record at this track, which is a genuinely useful pool of course form to draw from rather than the thin scraps you get at some regional meetings. A handful of names stand out clearly above the rest, and it is worth knowing who they are before the first race jumps at 12:22pm.
| Horse | Runs | Wins | Places | Win% | Place% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cradle Of Jazz | 5 | 3 | 5 | 60.0% | 100.0% |
| Nicish | 9 | 2 | 7 | 22.2% | 77.8% |
| The Cosmic One | 4 | 3 | 3 | 75.0% | 75.0% |
| Light The Night | 4 | 2 | 3 | 50.0% | 75.0% |
| Mansiere | 7 | 2 | 5 | 28.6% | 71.4% |
| Tyusix | 6 | 1 | 4 | 16.7% | 66.7% |
| Scandalize | 8 | 2 | 5 | 25.0% | 62.5% |
| Dirty Old Town | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40.0% | 60.0% |
Cradle Of Jazz has never missed the top three here in five attempts, which is about as strong a course profile as this card offers, and The Cosmic One’s four-from-four record backs up the form it is showing everywhere else right now.
| Jockey | Rides | Wins | Places | Win% | Place% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N Callow | 32 | 5 | 17 | 15.6% | 53.1% |
| Harry Grace | 105 | 16 | 48 | 15.2% | 45.7% |
| Jacob Opperman | 73 | 10 | 31 | 13.7% | 42.5% |
| J Holder | 173 | 26 | 65 | 15.0% | 37.6% |
| Jake Toeroek | 91 | 10 | 34 | 11.0% | 37.4% |
| Rochelle Milnes | 153 | 14 | 54 | 9.2% | 35.3% |
N Callow gets the frame more often than anyone else riding here today, and he has three of Stokes’s runners under him this afternoon. That partnership is worth flagging properly rather than leaving it as a footnote: across 17 rides together at Morphettville, N Callow and Phillip and Tommy Stokes have combined for a 23.5% win rate and a 64.7% place rate, both comfortably better than either produces alone. Their last winner together came only a week ago, so this is not a stale trend.
| Trainer | Runs | Wins | Places | Win% | Place% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillip & Tommy Stokes | 40 | 7 | 22 | 17.5% | 55.0% |
| D Clarken & O Macgillivray | 40 | 6 | 19 | 15.0% | 47.5% |
| MS R Day | 40 | 5 | 16 | 12.5% | 40.0% |
| R & C Jolly | 172 | 22 | 68 | 12.8% | 39.5% |
| A J Gluyas | 122 | 15 | 45 | 12.3% | 36.9% |
| Travis Doudle | 90 | 10 | 28 | 11.1% | 31.1% |
Stokes places better than one in two of his Morphettville runners across 40 starts, which is exactly the kind of volume that makes the number trustworthy rather than a fluke. With nine runners on the board today, backing the stable across the card in some form is a legitimate angle, not just a talking point. 
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Race by race
Race 1: Sportsbet Get On Extra (Bm64) – 12:22pm, 1367m
Cork Harbour has raced at Morphettville ten times, more than any other runner in this field, and has one win and three further placings to show for it. That kind of volume without much return should temper any assumption that course experience alone makes a horse a threat here. Chicago Blues, by contrast, has no recorded run at the track but arrives on the back of a win last start after finishing second the run before, carrying topweight but clearly building into form. Miss Mahjong is the one to watch if the speed gets challenged, with a placing, a win and a third across its last three runs, while Bohemian Angel has placed in both its Morphettville starts and strung together six straight finishes in the money without quite breaking through. The pace shape looks moderate rather than genuine, which should suit whichever of Chicago Blues or Miss Mahjong gets the softer run through the middle stages. Back Chicago Blues to win, with Miss Mahjong the each-way alternative if the weight bites.
Race 2: The Junction Mdn Plate – 12:57pm, 1367m
Can anything in this thirteen-horse maiden actually be trusted? Honestly, not with much confidence. Most of this field is still finding its way, and the two with any course form worth mentioning, Bilk and La Perentie, have not won anywhere yet. Bilk has placed twice from three runs at Morphettville and its recent line of thirds is at least consistent, which counts for something in a field this green. This is a watch-and-learn race rather than a bet-with-confidence one. Bilk’s two placings from three runs here are the most tangible clue on offer, so small each-way interest is defensible, though nothing in this field earns real conviction.
Race 3: Sportsbet Jockey Watch (Bm78) – 1:32pm, 1367m
The Cosmic One has won three straight, has never finished worse than second in four runs at this track, and has produced four wins and a placing from its last five runs anywhere. That is not a horse riding a hot streak by luck; that is a horse that has been building toward exactly this kind of race. Ben Price has partnered it through the run and the pair look to have the measure of this Benchmark 78 field before it even jumps. The danger is Light The Night, who has won two of its four runs at Morphettville and placed in three, and whose most recent run was a competitive second. If The Cosmic One has any vulnerability it is that this is now three wins in a row and the market will not be generous, but a horse working this well deserves to be backed regardless of the price. Win bet, and consider it the best single wagering proposition on the card.
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Race 4: Sportsbet Green Tick Hcp (C2) – 2:07pm, 1094m
Tennessee Spirit finishes races off strongly; Codename does its best work in the middle stages and tries to hang on. Tennessee Spirit has two wins from three runs this campaign, the most recent of them a last-start success, and drops back to a sprint where its turn of foot should carry it through. Codename won two runs back and has followed up with a fourth and a third, which is respectable without matching Tennessee Spirit’s strike rate. Neither has meaningful course history to lean on, so this comes down to who is racing better right now, and that is clearly Tennessee Spirit. Up The Den has the draw and the fitness edge from three runs back but has cooled since. Tennessee Spirit is the pick for the win, and Codename can sit safely in an each-way slot if the tempo gets away from the speed.
Race 5: Fleurieu Milk Company (Bm78) – 2:42pm, 2139m
Over this longer 2139m trip, sustained effort matters more than speed, and that is exactly Cradle Of Jazz’s game. It has never finished outside the top three in five runs at Morphettville and has placed in five of its six runs this campaign, including a win and three further placings in its last four. That is genuine course and current form lining up together, which does not happen every week. Guru Warrior is the one with the fresher recent figures, having won its most recent start after a break, but its course record is limited to a single placing from three runs. Tyusix also deserves a mention, with a win last start and four placings from six here, but Cradle Of Jazz’s consistency at the trip and the track is the stronger case. Win bet on Cradle Of Jazz, with Tyusix worth including in an exacta.
Race 6: Pfd Food Services Hcp (64) – 3:17pm, 1531m
Prestige Zerprise has been building toward this all campaign, and the last-start win confirms it. One win and three placings from five runs is a modest headline number, but the trend across those five runs has been steadily upward, and it gets the assignment here fresh off that breakthrough. Expecto Patronum is the shorter-priced alternative, lightly raced with a win last start after a third on debut, but two runs is not enough to lean on heavily either way. Ironbar has faded late in its last two but was closer at the finish both times than the bare result suggests. Prestige Zerprise’s clearer trend line makes it the preferred each-way play here, with Expecto Patronum the one to respect if it steps up again.
Race 7: The Fotobase Group Hcp (68) – 3:57pm, 1702m
Aaron Bain and Ned Taylor have not been shy with Winning All Round lately, and the placement here, fresh off a win two runs back and a competitive second last start, looks like a deliberate push while the horse is peaking. It does not have a course record to point to, so this is a form and timing case rather than a track one. Aitch d’Amico is the more proven local, with two placings from four runs at Morphettville, though its recent figures have been middling. Somewhere Soon has come home well after a slow middle stretch and could squeeze into the placings again. Winning All Round is the play for the win off that stable timing, and Aitch d’Amico is worth a small each-way saver.
Race 8: Croser Hcp (64) – 4:37pm, 1531m
Is there anything in this field worth real confidence? Not much. Anahorish has placed in both its runs this campaign and twice from three at Morphettville, part of the big Stokes team out today, but a maiden win still eludes it. Lunarshot has been building nicely, finishing second last start after a slow middle of its prep, and looks the most likely to keep improving from here. Stolen Kiss and Trantoro both carry decent placings without ever threatening to win. Confidence is in short supply through this field. Anahorish’s clean placing record and the sheer weight of numbers the stable is sending out today are enough to make it the only one worth a small interest, though nobody should treat this as a strong bet.
Race 9: Thomas Farms (Bm72) – 5:12pm, 1531m
Nicish rarely misses a placing; Mansiere does the same. Both are the same profile wearing different colours, and it says something about this Benchmark 72 that the two most reliable horses in it rarely finish outside the placings. Nicish has placed in seven of nine runs at Morphettville and has placed in every one of its four runs this campaign, two of them wins. Mansiere is not far behind, with five placings from seven at the track and a similar record of rarely missing the frame recently. Nicish gets the nod on the slightly stronger placing rate and being part of the Stokes team that has had the busiest day on the card, with N Callow booked to ride. Mansiere is the swing factor if the tempo suits a sit-and-sprint approach instead. Nicish is the win bet, and Mansiere is too consistent to leave out of an exacta.
Where the money goes
If these Morphettville racing tips boil down to one number, it is this: The Cosmic One is the play of the day. Three wins in a row and a perfect record for minor placings across four Morphettville starts is not the profile of a horse that just happened to get through a soft field; it is the profile of one about to keep winning in a stronger one. Take the price that is on offer and do not overthink it.
Tennessee Spirit is where this card gets generous. Two wins from its last three runs, dropping into a sprint suited to its turn of foot, against a field with barely any course form to lean on. The market has not had much reason to notice it yet.
For the safest multi leg, Nicish fits the bill: four runs this campaign, four placings, two of them wins, and a course record to match. It is hard to construct a scenario where it runs poorly.
Cradle Of Jazz is the each-way standout, having never finished outside the top three in five runs at this track and placing in five of its last six anywhere. Backing it for the minor money is close to a formality.
The course angle worth carrying forward is the Stokes stable. Nine runners today, a 55% place rate from 40 runs at Morphettville, and a jockey booking in N Callow that lifts those numbers further when the two combine. If Stokes keeps sending teams to this track at this rate, following the colours is a repeatable edge rather than a one-off tip.
Best bookmakers for today’s racing
Markets on this card were still forming at the time of writing, with early prices yet to firm into anything worth quoting directly. Check the odds comparison tools on this page closer to the first race for the most accurate prices before placing anything.
Frequently asked questions
What time does racing start at Morphettville today?
The first of nine races jumps at 12:22pm, with the card running through to the last at 5:12pm.
Who are the top trainers and jockeys at Morphettville today?
Phillip and Tommy Stokes lead the trainer numbers with a 55% place rate from 40 runs at the track and nine runners on today’s card. N Callow tops the jockey placings at 53.1% from 32 rides, and the pair combine for a 64.7% place rate across 17 rides together here.
What are the best bets at Morphettville today?
The Cosmic One in Race 3 is the standout, unbeaten in its last three starts and with four wins and a placing from its last five runs anywhere. Tennessee Spirit in Race 4 is the value play, with two wins from its last three runs.
Where can punters find the best odds for Morphettville races?
Prices were still forming across today’s card at the time of writing. Use the bookmaker comparison tools on this page in the lead-up to each race for the most current odds.
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