Eagle Farm Racing Tips: Can Gollan-Thompson Strike Again?
Newcastle Racing Tips: Four Straight for Exorbitant Miss?
Overview
Exorbitant Miss has won her last three starts running, and that trajectory travels well enough that stepping out to 2515m at Newcastle looks more opportunity than gamble. It’s the kind of form line that anchors a card, and Jeremy Gask’s stable is sending her out with a placement that looks deliberate rather than lucky. Around her, Chris Waller has six runners spread across today’s program, from the midfield maidens through to the last event, headlined by a debut winner at this very track. These Newcastle racing tips cover all seven races on the turf card, with the two early maidens light on course history but the meeting building into genuine form from race four onward. Here’s the pick, the danger and the play for every race.
What Newcastle gives us today
The foundation of any Newcastle racing tips read is course form, and today’s fields are genuinely mixed on that front. The two maidens that open the card are close to a blank slate — most runners have never set foot on this track — but from the Bm64 handicap onward there’s enough depth of runners with three or more starts here to actually mean something.
Five runners in today’s fields carry three or more runs at Newcastle. Bondi Blossom and Princess Cruizer stand out on the strength of that history, hitting the frame in two-thirds and better than half of their course starts respectively.
| Horse | Runs | Wins | Places | Win% | Place% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bondi Blossom | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33.3% | 66.7% |
| Princess Cruizer | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22.2% | 55.6% |
| Via Flaminia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 33.3% | 33.3% |
| Liyah’s Girl | 3 | 1 | 1 | 33.3% | 33.3% |
| No Statement | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
The jockeys’ room tells a clearer story. K S Latham has ridden more winners at this track than anyone booked today, and Mitchell Bell actually edges him on strike rate for the frame despite fewer visits to the winner’s stall.
| Jockey | Rides | Wins | Places | Win% | Place% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Bell | 73 | 11 | 39 | 15.1% | 53.4% |
| K S Latham | 81 | 14 | 43 | 17.3% | 53.1% |
| Jean Van Overmeire | 45 | 9 | 20 | 20.0% | 44.4% |
| Leeshelle Small | 25 | 5 | 11 | 20.0% | 44.0% |
| A Bullock | 39 | 9 | 17 | 23.1% | 43.6% |
| C Lever | 37 | 5 | 14 | 13.5% | 37.8% |
| R Hutchings | 48 | 4 | 17 | 8.3% | 35.4% |
| William Stanley | 51 | 8 | 17 | 15.7% | 33.3% |
On the training front, John O’Shea and Tom Charlton, and Steve Singleton, share the best placing percentage of any stable with real volume at the track — both landing a top-three finish more than two-thirds of the time. Jeremy Gask’s 40% win rate from just five runners is the standout number of the meeting, though it’s a small enough sample that it’s worth treating as an emerging trend rather than gospel.
| Trainer | Runs | Wins | Places | Win% | Place% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John O’Shea & Tom Charlton | 13 | 3 | 9 | 23.1% | 69.2% |
| S I Singleton | 13 | 2 | 9 | 15.4% | 69.2% |
| Jeremy Gask | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| T J Bartley | 10 | 2 | 6 | 20.0% | 60.0% |
| Bjorn Baker | 22 | 4 | 13 | 18.2% | 59.1% |
| R P Northam | 12 | 2 | 7 | 16.7% | 58.3% |
| Richard Litt | 26 | 9 | 15 | 34.6% | 57.7% |
| P Messara & L Gavranich | 9 | 0 | 5 | 0.0% | 55.6% |
Ladbrokes Review [Updated March 2026] | Ladbrokes.com.au Pros & Cons
- Info Hub
- Mates Mode
Best bookmakers for today’s racing
Live odds weren’t yet populated for today’s Newcastle card at the time of writing, so treat any prices below as indicative rather than final. Check the comparison panel above for the latest markets before backing any of today’s selections, and see the offer further down the page for a current sign-up deal.
Race by race
Race 1: Klosters Midway Mdn Plate — 1:20PM, 984m
Excelluna has been the model of near-miss consistency, placing three times from five starts including a pair of narrow seconds, and K S Latham climbing back aboard matters — he’s ridden more winners at Newcastle than anyone else on today’s program. Sprinting back to 984m off that run of minor money, the gap to a maiden win looks small. Richard and Will Freedman’s stable, which fields runners in four of today’s seven races, clearly rates her enough to keep finding the right opportunity.
Monte Shell is the one to watch underneath. She was runner-up on her only previous start at this track, and her recent figures read 5-5-2 — a filly nearing a change of luck rather than fading away from one. If the speed goes hard up front, she’s the one who benefits from a swooping run.
Back Excelluna to win, with Monte Shell the each-way cover for anyone wanting more of the market on side.
Race 2: Pukara Super Mdn Plate — 1:55PM, 1367m
Chris Waller doesn’t send four runners to a Newcastle maiden without expecting at least one of them home, and Klocke looks the best credentialed of his quartet. Two runs, two placings, and a step up from a 984m-type test into a genuine mile trip should suit a filly who has been finishing races off rather than fading out of them. L Magorrian, partnering her again, has ridden more winners at this track than all but a handful of today’s jockeys.
Bold Bucks is the each-way risk from outside the Waller camp. His form of 4-2-4 shows he keeps turning up with a placing, and Richard and Will Freedman’s stable — another with plenty of runners at Newcastle today — has this one ready to fire fresh off a let-up in grade.
It’s a race to play for placing rather than banking. Klocke each-way, Bold Bucks the roughie to save.
Race 3: Pro Torque Mdn Plate — 2:30PM, 1367m
Koibito and Mumbai Maharani give Gai Waterhouse and Adrian Bott two different puzzles to solve in the one race. Koibito has flashed home for placings in both runs since debut, figures that suggest more improvement is still coming; Mumbai Maharani has raced without quite the same polish, a fifth from three runs the best of it so far. When a stable this deep splits its own market like that, the runner with the sharper recent figures is usually the one to side with.
Party Rebel is the each-way alternative from outside that pair. He was second on debut for Peter Messara and Lyndon Gavranich’s stable, which hasn’t broken through for a win at Newcastle this campaign but places more than half its runners here — a trainer combination closing in on one rather than one to write off.
Koibito to win, Party Rebel the value play if the tempo suits a fast finisher.
Race 4: Gateshead Traffic Solutions (Bm64) — 3:05PM, 2515m
Does a three-race winning streak hold up around 2515m, a much longer test than anything Exorbitant Miss has faced this campaign? The signs say yes. She’s won three of her last four runs with an average finishing position of 2.0 across that stretch, and stepping her out in distance through Jeremy Gask’s stable — which has landed two winners from five runners at Newcastle, the best strike rate of any trainer with runners at the track today — is exactly the kind of calculated placement that tends to pay off. William Stanley takes over in the saddle on a mare who has shown she travels through her races rather than needing the tempo to fall her way.
Joika is the live danger. Chris Waller, who has runners scattered right through today’s card, has this gelding creeping into form off a recent placing, and A Bullock — the most efficient jockey among Newcastle’s high-volume riders, with 23% winners from 39 rides — takes the reins. If the speed collapses in a race this long, Joika is the type built to finish over the top of it.
Calzino also deserves a mention for those staking wider. Steve Singleton’s stable carries one of the best placing percentages of the meeting, and this gelding’s own figures have been trending toward a win rather than away from one.
Exorbitant Miss is the win bet of the day. Joika earns a spot in multis, and Calzino rounds out an each-way box for anyone wanting to cover the race three deep.
18+ T&C’s Apply. What are you really gambling with? Chances are you’re about to lose. Set a Deposit Limit For free and confidential support call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au
18+ T&C’s Apply. What are you really gambling with? Chances are you’re about to lose. Set a Deposit Limit For free and confidential support call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au
18+ T&C’s Apply. What are you really gambling with? Chances are you’re about to lose. Set a Deposit Limit For free and confidential support call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au
Race 5: Andersen Pest Services Provincial (Bm64) — 3:40PM, 984m
Sprint fields at Newcastle come down to whoever survives the speed, and Princess Cruizer has done exactly that often enough to earn the tag of course specialist — nine runs at the track for two wins and five placings, a genuine strike rate for the frame that few in this field can match. Her recent form backs it up too: a win and three placings from her last four runs. She doesn’t need the track to fall her way; she’s proven she copes however it’s run.
Yes Yes Boss is the danger on raw recent form, with two wins and a second from his last three starts under Marc Chevalier, a trainer who has landed 40% winners from his handful of runners at this circuit. If the speed is even moderately genuine, he’s the one running home hardest late.
Back Princess Cruizer to win. Yes Yes Boss is the value each-way play if this one turns into a sprint from the back of the field.
Race 6: J&H Commercial Ladies Day Cup Conditional (Bm68) — 4:20PM, 1422m
Bondi Blossom has never finished worse than second in three runs at Newcastle, and her recent figures — two wins and two seconds from her last four starts — say the mare is racing as well as she ever has right now. Brad Widdup’s stable doesn’t carry the strongest overall percentages at this track, but that shouldn’t cloud what looks like a mare peaking at exactly the right time, in exactly the grade she’s ready for.
Miles Of Glory is the one that could beat her. Back-to-back wins are hard to ignore in any grade, and Michael Freedman’s stable, with K S Latham — the busiest and one of the most successful jockeys at Newcastle today — taking the ride, has arguably the in-form runner of the race even if her overall course record doesn’t match Bondi Blossom’s.
Bondi Blossom for the win, Miles Of Glory the banker leg for anyone building a multi off this meeting.
Race 7: Nzb & Insight Building Benchmark 64 Handicap — 4:55PM, 1367m
A one-run winner is always a hard sell to a cautious market, but Elstead’s debut victory came at this exact circuit, over almost this exact trip, for a stable — Chris Waller’s — that has now spread six runners across today’s program. That isn’t the profile of a horse worth leaving unders. J Penza, aboard again, gets a gelding whose only look at Newcastle ended in the winner’s stall.
Puerto Banus is the experienced danger. Two runs at this track have produced a win and a second, and while that’s still too small a sample to call him a specialist, it’s a horse who clearly handles the surface and the way the race is run here. Crash Bang Wallop rounds out the wider staking picture — a win and a placing from his last two starts under R Hutchings suggest a horse on the way up rather than treading water, even without course history of his own to lean on.
In a nineteen-runner field, tempo and barrier luck matter as much as anything on paper. Elstead to win, Puerto Banus the each-way cover, and Crash Bang Wallop the roughie for anyone playing this one deep.
Where the money goes
Pulling these Newcastle racing tips together into a staking plan, Exorbitant Miss is the play of the day. Three wins from her last four starts told most of the story before she even faced the rise in distance, and a stable placing her this precisely doesn’t happen by accident — win bet, and build the rest of the card around her.
Elstead is the value angle. A debut winner at the exact track she’s back at today, from a stable spreading six runners through the program, at a price the market hasn’t fully worked out yet — treat any number better than even money as worth taking.
Princess Cruizer is the banker leg for multis. Nine runs at Newcastle have produced a top-three finish more than half the time, arguably the most predictable runner on the entire card.
Excelluna gets the each-way vote. Three placings from five starts is the kind of consistency that pays when she’s not quite good enough to win but keeps finding minor money regardless.
The course angle today belongs to K S Latham. He’s the busiest, and among the most successful, riders at Newcastle across everything from maidens to features, and following him into whichever ride looks sharpest each week is a cheap way to stay on the right side of the ledger.
If Chris Waller keeps stacking this many runners into a midweek Newcastle card, the each-way price on his second or third string is where the value will keep hiding all season.
FAQ
What time does racing start at Newcastle today?
The first race, the Klosters Midway Mdn Plate, jumps at 1:20PM. Racing runs through seven races to the Nzb & Insight Building Benchmark 64 Handicap, which starts at 4:55PM.
Who are the top trainers and jockeys at Newcastle today?
K S Latham has the most rides on record at Newcastle among today’s jockeys, with 81 runs for 14 wins and 43 placings — better than a 53% strike rate for the frame. Among trainers with real volume at the track, John O’Shea and Tom Charlton have the best return of the meeting’s principal stables, placing 9 of their 13 runners here.
What are the best bets at Newcastle today?
Exorbitant Miss is the pick of the meeting off three straight wins heading into the Gateshead Traffic Solutions Bm64 at 3:05PM, with Elstead’s debut win at this same track and Chris Waller’s spread of six runners across the card the value alternative in the final event.
Where can I find the best odds for Newcastle races?
Live markets for today’s card hadn’t firmed up at the time of writing. Check the bookmaker comparison panel above for the latest prices, and confirm odds directly with your bookmaker before placing any of today’s picks.
