Cootamundra Racing Tips Oct 4 — Can Zippy Lion Repeat?
Northam Racing Tips: Can Faradio Go One Better?
Overview
J P Taylor doesn’t field two runners in a nine horse maiden at Northam without fancying his position, and today he’s doing exactly that with Faradio and Admire Belle both lining up in the Avon Valley Toyota Mdn, the only race on the card. Faradio is the one worth watching: third on both its starts at this track, it now gets another crack over 1750m with a trainer who places better than six in ten of his Northam runners. These Northam racing tips cover a short, single race meeting, but a small field doesn’t mean a simple one. The maiden has genuine depth, with Poppy’s Roses the type to watch, placed in four of her past six starts without snapping her maiden status, and a clutch of lightly raced types still finding their level. One race, 2:07pm local, and plenty to unpack before the jump.
The setup at Northam
There’s no getting around it: Northam offers a single race today, the Avon Valley Toyota Mdn, 1750m on turf for three year olds and up, with nine runners lining up. That makes picking the card simple in one sense and harder in another, because there’s only one shot to get right.
Course form is thin across this field. No horse in the race has three or more runs at Northam, so there’s nothing here worth a table. Faradio has the deepest history at the track with a pair of placings from two visits, and most of the rest are making their first or second appearance here.
Jockey form tells a clearer story. Every rider in the race has enough rides at Northam for the numbers to mean something.
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | Places | Win% | Place% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W Pike | 33 | 9 | 19 | 27.27 | 57.58 |
| Zephen Johnston-Porter | 14 | 2 | 6 | 14.29 | 42.86 |
| C Johnston-Porter | 36 | 1 | 14 | 2.78 | 38.89 |
| Jefferson Tsang | 40 | 8 | 14 | 20.00 | 35.00 |
| Kayla Holroyd | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 28.57 |
| Jarrad Noske | 18 | 0 | 5 | 0.00 | 27.78 |
| Brandon Louis | 28 | 2 | 7 | 7.14 | 25.00 |
| Holly Nottle | 35 | 3 | 7 | 8.57 | 20.00 |
| Ava Catarino | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
W Pike sits clear on the numbers, placing well over half his Northam rides, though as we’ll get to, the horse under him today hasn’t matched that form at the track. Zephen Johnston-Porter and C Johnston-Porter both get a runner into the money close to four times in ten, which matters more than it looks given who they’re riding.
Trainer form is where the card tightens up around one name.
| Trainer | Runs | Wins | Places | Win% | Place% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J P Taylor | 18 | 4 | 11 | 22.22 | 61.11 |
| Michael Grantham | 15 | 2 | 7 | 13.33 | 46.67 |
| A D Mathews | 8 | 2 | 3 | 25.00 | 37.50 |
| Carey Martin | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 33.33 |
| Holly Taylor | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 20.00 |
| Ryan Hill | 42 | 2 | 8 | 4.76 | 19.05 |
| Brent Martin | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
J P Taylor backs that up with the best trainer figures on the card, eleven placings from eighteen Northam runners, comfortably clear of anyone else represented today, and he’s brought two runners to prove it. Ryan Hill has the volume, 42 runners at the track, but not the strike rate to match.
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Race-by-race
Race 1: Avon Valley Toyota Mdn, 2:07pm, 1750m
J P Taylor rarely sends a true no hoper to Northam, and fielding both Faradio and Admire Belle in the same maiden says he likes his book here. Faradio is the one that matters. It’s run third both times it’s faced this track, no exceptions, and it’s the only horse in the field with that kind of track record. Zephen Johnston-Porter, aboard again, has ridden here fourteen times for two wins and six placings, not a standout number but a real one. Across its last three runs anywhere, Faradio has placed twice at an average finishing position of just over four, form that lines up neatly with what it’s already shown at this specific track. Drawn two of nine, there’s no reason Johnston-Porter can’t get this one into a handy spot early and let the big support stable’s record do the rest.
Poppy’s Roses is the obvious complication. She’s placed in four of her past six starts, including three runner up efforts, and her only run in the past three months was a third. C Johnston-Porter has ridden winners sparingly at Northam, just one from thirty six rides, but she’s banked fourteen placings from those same rides, the kind of consistency that can turn an each-way bet into a winning one if the speed up front sets things up right. If Faradio’s recent form at the track translates into one better rather than one the same again, she’s the type most likely to run it down.
The rest of the field leans unproven or out of sorts. Thangoo carries the meeting’s best performed Northam jockey in W Pike, but the mare herself has finished well back both times she’s raced at the track, and that gap between rider and horse is hard to ignore. Admire Belle shares a trainer with Faradio but her own figures don’t match his strike rate, while Infinite Storm, Tagolorian, She’satrooper, Sesh Time and Forgot The Rock are all short on evidence or short on recent form, and none forces its way into calculations ahead of the top two.
Win bet on Faradio. Each-way cover on Poppy’s Roses if you want the alternative.
The plays
Faradio is the number for this card. It already owns two minor placings at this circuit, and the stable sending it out today rarely wastes a Northam trip. J P Taylor looks to have this one ready to go one better than its last two visits. That’s the bet of the day.
Poppy’s Roses is where the value sits if the market hasn’t caught up with a mare who’s hit the frame in four of her past six runs, most recently a third on her only start back from a break. No odds were available for this meeting at the time of writing, so treat whatever price is posted on course as the real number, not a guess made here.
With only one race on the Northam card today, there’s no multi to chase and no separate banker leg to anchor one. This is a standalone bet rather than part of a string, and it’s worth treating it that way with your stake.
The course angle worth filing away for next time: J P Taylor’s placing rate at this track sits above sixty percent from a real sample, eighteen runners, and he’s turned up today with two of the nine in the only race going. If he keeps sending them out at that rate, he’s the first trainer worth checking whenever Northam next appears on the card.
Best Bookmakers for Today’s Racing
Odds for the Avon Valley Toyota Mdn weren’t available from our bookmaker feed at the time of writing, so there’s nothing to compare yet. Check the operators below for markets on today’s Northam race and confirm the price before backing anything.
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FAQ
What time does racing start at Northam today?
Northam has just the one race today, the Avon Valley Toyota Mdn over 1750m, jumping at 2:07pm local WA time.
Who are the top trainers and jockeys at Northam today?
J P Taylor leads the trainers on today’s card, placing 11 of his last 18 runners at the track for a strike rate above 60 percent. W Pike is the standout jockey by the numbers, with 19 placings from 33 Northam rides, though he’s aboard Thangoo today rather than one of the market’s obvious chances.
What are the best bets at Northam today?
Today’s Northam racing tips point to Faradio, third on both its previous visits to the track and from the stable of J P Taylor, the meeting’s best performed trainer here. Poppy’s Roses, placed in four of her past six starts, is the each-way alternative.
Where can I find the best odds for Northam races?
Live odds weren’t available for today’s race at the time of writing. Use the bookmaker list above and compare prices once they’re posted rather than relying on an early quote.
