Overview
A Bullock has ridden 28 races at Scone for P Messara and L Gavranich, and won 14 of them. Add 23 finishes in the first three and you have the most reliable partnership at the track, and on Wednesday it goes around twice in the first two races, with Tasman Deel in the opener and Moongleam in the maiden that follows. Bullock also gets on Tickelova, Gidgea Tree and The Manager later in the day, so the jockey’s book is the thread running through the whole card.
There are seven races on a Good track, starting at 1:25PM with a 2200m Class 1 and finishing with the Bm58 sprint over 1200m at 5:29PM. These Scone racing tips go through every race: a short-priced stayer to build multis around, a Singleton four-year-old who has finished in the first three in three of four Scone starts, and a quaddie anchored by a runner that won its only start here. Bookmakers had priced the first three races when this was written. Races 4 to 7 had not opened, so those sections lean on form and connections rather than the market.
Scone: the setup
The track is rated Good and the card is small at the top end, with five runners in each of the first two races and six in the Bm74. The fields fill out later, with nine to eleven runners in each of the last four races. Several fields have lost runners to scratchings, so check the racecard before you bet.
A handful of today’s horses have real Scone experience, enough for a short table. Everyone else has one or two starts here at most.
| Horse | Runs | Wins | Places | Win% | Place% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ocean Tsunami | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 75% |
| Ring My Bell | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 67% |
| Solar Blast | 3 | 1 | 1 | 33% | 33% |
| Grandini | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
| The Manager | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
The jockey numbers are where the edge is. Bullock wins more than one ride in four here, and Mitchell Bell and M Weir both have big samples to go on.
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | Places | Win% | Place% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A Bullock | 82 | 24 | 48 | 29.3% | 58.5% |
| Mitchell Bell | 60 | 11 | 34 | 18.3% | 56.7% |
| MS M Weir | 71 | 12 | 33 | 16.9% | 46.5% |
| Ashley Morgan | 38 | 3 | 15 | 7.9% | 39.5% |
| Nick Palmer | 11 | 3 | 4 | 27.3% | 36.4% |
| Trainer | Runs | Wins | Places | Win% | Place% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P Messara & L Gavranich | 37 | 15 | 24 | 40.5% | 64.9% |
| Brett & Georgie Cavanough | 72 | 17 | 38 | 23.6% | 52.8% |
| S I Singleton | 76 | 14 | 39 | 18.4% | 51.3% |
| Nathan Doyle | 32 | 6 | 19 | 18.8% | 59.4% |
| Annabel Neasham & Rob Archibald | 56 | 8 | 26 | 14.3% | 46.4% |
Messara and Gavranich win with two in every five runners they bring here, and that is off 37 starts. Singleton has six runners on the card and the Cavanoughs five, and both win with better than one in six of their runners here, so expect them to be involved more than once.
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Scone race by race
Race 1: Kia Ora Plate (C1), 1:25PM, 2200m
Tasman Deel is the one, and the market agrees at $1.40 with Ladbrokes. The four-year-old won last start and has been in the first three in four of his five runs in the past 90 days, which is what you want from a short-priced stayer in a Class 1. He has been to Scone twice, winning once and placing in the other. Bullock rides for Messara and Gavranich, the combination that has won half of its 28 races here together.
The wide barrier is the only knock. With five runners left after the scratchings it matters less than it would in a full field, and Bullock has time over 2200m to find cover.
Mission Strike is the danger at $3.50 with Neds. A Gibbons rides from barrier 2, and Mission Strike‘s last two runs were a fifth and a second. Quirky Princess has a win from six runs in the past 90 days for Singleton and Weir, but has twice been unplaced at Scone. Tasman Deel is too short to back as a single but is the multi leg of the day.
Race 2: Select Events Mdn Hcp, 2:00PM, 1600m
Five maidens, and three of them have strong connections. The market leans to Reelflare at $2.35 with Neds and Shanti at $2.70 with Bet Right. The one we want is Moongleam at $4.00 with Bet Right.
The reason is the riding arrangement again. Moongleam is the second Bullock, Messara and Gavranich runner of the day, and that team doesn’t send maidens to Scone to make up numbers. The two starts so far read fifth then third, so the form is heading the right way, and barrier 2 hands the run to a jockey with 24 Scone winners.
Reelflare is the danger. John O’Shea and Tom Charlton have had four Scone runners, winning with two and placing with all of them, and Reelflare ran second last start. Shanti brings L P Beuzelin for G Waterhouse and A Bott and has placed twice in three runs, but looks the type to keep finding one better. Win bet on Moongleam, with Reelflare as a saver.
Race 3: Magic Millions (Bm74), 2:35PM, 1700m
Can anyone beat Ocean Tsunami? Probably not. Four trips to Scone have produced three finishes in the first three, one of them a win, so the track is no question. Ocean Tsunami has run twice in the last 90 days for a win and $59,750 in prize money, which is a lot of money for a Bm74 horse to have won since August.
S I Singleton has Jasmine Urquhart-Warren on, and Ocean Tsunami carries 8-10, six pounds less than Disco Prince and Samurai. With three runners scratched, the six-horse field should make for an easy run from barrier 3.
Alabama Blitz, at $5.00 with Bet Right, is the main danger. Alabama Blitz placed in the only start here and in one of two recent runs for Cameron Crockett. Samurai at $5.50 has Mitchell Bell for the Cavanoughs, but has not raced in the past 90 days. Grandini has been to Scone three times without placing. Ocean Tsunami at $1.60 with Neds is the NAP. Win bet.
Race 4: Emirates Park Country Boosted Mdn Plate, 3:44PM, 900m
Nine maidens over 900m and no market yet, so this comes down to form and connections. Tennessee River is our pick. Her form line reads 4-2, and both runs were at Scone, so she is the only runner in the race who has shown she can handle a sprint here. Her second came in the last 90 days, and A B Collett rides for T S Howlett from barrier 2, which puts her right on the speed.
The danger is Dr Hook. His last two runs were seconds, he placed in his only start at Scone, and Mitchell Bell rides for Brett and Georgie Cavanough, a partnership with eight wins from 39 here. He has not raced in the past 90 days, though, and first-up over 900m is a test of fitness. Gidgea Tree is the unknown: a debutant for M D Griffith with Bullock booked, and that booking is worth noting on a day when Bullock looks set to ride a few winners.
Each-way Tennessee River. A short-course maiden with a first starter in it is no race to plunge on.
Race 5: Scone Equine Hospital Mdn Hcp, 4:19PM, 1100m
Five of the eleven have never raced. That makes Tickelova‘s last-start second worth more than usual: it is some of the only solid form in the race, and Bullock rides for K A Lees. The form reads 0-2, so the second run was a big step up on the debut, and maidens that improve like that between their first and second starts often go on with it.
Barrier 8 is awkward over 1100m, so Bullock will need to either push forward or sit back and wait for a gap. Neither is ideal, which is why this is a smaller bet than the earlier races.
Vaguely Red is the danger, making a debut for Messara and Gavranich, the best strike-rate stable at Scone, with Ashley Morgan riding. A stable that wins with two in five runners here deserves respect with an unraced horse. Umbusi ran fourth on debut for Singleton and draws barrier 1, and Fake Fiction has placed once in three recent runs. Small win bet on Tickelova, and keep Vaguely Red in your exotics.
Race 6: Darley Hcp (C1), 4:54PM, 1100m
The Cavanoughs have two runners here, and their records are very different. Cosmic Jinks is the consistent one, in the first three in four of five runs in the past 90 days, one of them a win, and a second last start. Pure Motive has had one start and won it. We side with consistency. Leeshelle Small rides Cosmic Jinks from barrier 4, which is a good draw in a nine-horse sprint.
Pure Motive gets the stable’s main rider, Mitchell Bell, and that booking alone makes Pure Motive the danger. Mia Amore, from the inside barrier, won one of two recent starts for P H Bloomfield. Thorsten has placed in all three runs in the past 90 days, with a win among them. Won’thearmecoming placed in the only Scone start but draws barrier 13.
It is an open race. Cosmic Jinks each-way, and back Pure Motive too if the market firms when it opens. Don’t back both of them to win.
Race 7: Emirates Park Country Boosted (Bm58), 5:29PM, 1200m
The Autumn Wind has had one race, at Scone, and won it, earning $22,000. A three-year-old with a winning debut starting out in a Bm58 is the most interesting runner in the race, and gives Singleton and Weir the right horse in the last. That pair have won ten of their 44 races together at Scone and placed in 26.
Barrier 2 helps. Most of the older horses in the race have plenty of losing form: Clifton Springs has not won in seven recent runs, and Golden Cow and Dayu are long shots. The Autumn Wind should be able to sit on the speed and kick from there.
Overzone is the danger, with a form line of 1-2-2-4 and a placing from two Scone starts. Kermitisapet won one of three runs in the past 90 days and placed in another. Ring My Bell has placed in two of three Scone starts, which makes for the each-way roughie. Win bet on The Autumn Wind, the anchor for the quaddie.
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Where the money goes
NAP: Ocean Tsunami (Race 3, 2:35PM). Three top-three finishes, including a win, from four Scone starts, plus a weight pull on the main rivals in a six-horse field. $1.60 with Neds.
Value: Moongleam (Race 2, 2:00PM). The second Bullock, Messara and Gavranich runner of the day, and $4.00 with Bet Right is generous for a maiden coming off a third.
Banker: Tasman Deel (Race 1, 1:25PM). A last-start winner who has placed in both Scone starts. $1.40 with Ladbrokes is a multi leg, not a single.
Each-way: Tennessee River (Race 4, 3:44PM). The only runner in the race who has proved herself over a Scone sprint, with a 4-2 record here. The market had not opened when this was written.
Course angle: Bullock riding for Messara and Gavranich. Fourteen wins from 28 at Scone, and 23 finishes in the first three, and today the pair have Tasman Deel and Moongleam.
For the quaddie, The Autumn Wind in Race 7 is the anchor, Tennessee River and Dr Hook cover Race 4, Tickelova and Vaguely Red go in Race 5, and Race 6 needs Cosmic Jinks, Pure Motive and Thorsten.
If The Autumn Wind backs up the debut win in the last, Singleton will have a Scone horse who can go a lot further than a Bm58.
Scone racing FAQ
What time does racing start at Scone on Wednesday?
Race 1, the Kia Ora Plate (C1) over 2200m, starts at 1:25PM. The last race, the Emirates Park Country Boosted (Bm58) over 1200m, is at 5:29PM. The track is rated Good.
Who are the leading jockeys and trainers at Scone?
A Bullock has won 24 of 82 rides at Scone and placed in 48. Mitchell Bell has 11 wins from 60 rides. Among trainers, P Messara and L Gavranich have won with 15 of 37 runners, and Brett and Georgie Cavanough with 17 of 72.
What are the best Scone bets today?
Ocean Tsunami in Race 3 is the NAP. Moongleam in Race 2 is the value at $4.00, Tasman Deel in Race 1 is the banker, and Tennessee River in Race 4 is the each-way pick.
Where can I find the best Scone odds?
Check the bookmaker table above and each race’s racecard. When this was written, Ladbrokes had Tasman Deel at $1.40 in Race 1, Bet Right had Moongleam at $4.00 in Race 2, and Neds had Ocean Tsunami at $1.60 in Race 3. Races 4 to 7 had not been priced.
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