Overview
Mcveigh has won his last two starts, and on Wednesday night he gets E Byrne Burke in the saddle for Adam Trinder, a pairing that has won 16 of its 55 races together at Launceston. That is the angle that shapes our Launceston racing tips for an eight-race night card, and it is not the only stable story worth following.
Genuine Lady has three wins from seven visits here and has been placed in all three of her runs over the past three months. Obviously Good comes back to a track where she has won three of her four starts. And J K Blacker, whose family name runs through the race titles, has the biggest team on the card with runners in seven of the eight races. The track is rated Good to Soft, racing starts at 6:05PM local time, and the program runs from a 1312m maiden through to a 1750m Class 3 finale at 10:00PM. Bookmaker markets were not open when this was written, so there are no prices quoted below. What you get instead is a view on every race, the course form that matters, and a set of plays at the bottom.
Reading the Launceston card
Launceston gives us a night of short-course sprints and middle-distance handicaps, with four races at 1312m or 1203m and four at 1531m or beyond. On a Good to Soft surface, horses that have already shown they handle this track deserve extra weight, and plenty of today’s runners have that history.
Horses with real Launceston form
| Horse | Runs | Wins | Places | Win% | Place% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genuine Lady | 7 | 3 | 4 | 42.9 | 57.1 |
| Mastretta | 7 | 2 | 5 | 28.6 | 71.4 |
| Novalargo | 7 | 1 | 5 | 14.3 | 71.4 |
| Unfiltered | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16.7 | 83.3 |
| Mcveigh | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40.0 | 60.0 |
| Thickskinned | 5 | 2 | 2 | 40.0 | 40.0 |
| Wolf Junior | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20.0 | 60.0 |
| Obviously Good | 4 | 3 | 3 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
Jockeys (5+ rides here, by place rate)
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | Places | Win% | Place% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E Byrne Burke | 131 | 38 | 67 | 29.0 | 51.1 |
| C Newitt | 63 | 9 | 29 | 14.3 | 46.0 |
| K Sanderson | 64 | 8 | 29 | 12.5 | 45.3 |
| A Darmanin | 51 | 8 | 21 | 15.7 | 41.2 |
| Codi Jordan | 91 | 12 | 34 | 13.2 | 37.4 |
| Chloe Wells | 93 | 7 | 33 | 7.5 | 35.5 |
Trainers (by place rate)
| Trainer | Runs | Wins | Places | Win% | Place% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monica Ryan | 20 | 5 | 11 | 25.0 | 55.0 |
| G J Stevenson | 103 | 24 | 56 | 23.3 | 54.4 |
| S Gandy | 109 | 12 | 52 | 11.0 | 47.7 |
| Adam Trinder | 91 | 21 | 39 | 23.1 | 42.9 |
| Barry Campbell | 68 | 10 | 29 | 14.7 | 42.6 |
| J K Blacker | 194 | 14 | 44 | 7.2 | 22.7 |
The standout figure is E Byrne Burke: 38 winners from 131 rides here, and he finishes in the first three more often than not. Blacker brings the volume, but his strike rate here is modest, so his runners need to earn their place on form rather than on the name.
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Launceston race-by-race tips
Race 1: Ladbrokes Flex Your Multi Stays Alive Mdn Plate, 6:05PM, 1312m
Maidens at this level are usually about who has shown the most without winning, and Roland View has shown plenty. He has been placed in two of his three starts here, his last run was a second, and he has hit the frame three times from five runs over the past three months. Dylan Clark has a respectable record at the track too, with four winners and eleven placings from 27 runners.
Gym Princess is the danger. She also ran second last time, and from barrier 3 Kirra-Lee Lane can land her handy without wasting petrol. Mr Tod has been placed twice from four visits and finished third at his only run in the last three months, so he fills out the trifecta. Roland View each-way.
Race 2: Billie Blacker Hcp (C1), 6:35PM, 1312m
Can Vabuiagi follow up? He won last start, has a win and a placing from his two Launceston visits, and has finished third and first in his two runs this campaign. A Darmanin keeps the ride for S Gandy, and from barrier 10 he will need a little luck early, but the form says he is the best horse in the race.
Gilly’s Boy is the one to worry about. He won on one of his two starts here, has only two runs to his name on the form line, and Sarah Cotton gets T Baker from barrier 2. Out Of The Sphere, who won one of his four runs this campaign for Adam Trinder, is the roughie. Vabuiagi to win, small saver on Gilly’s Boy.
Race 3: Belle Blacker Hcp (C3), 7:10PM, 1312m
Trinder doesn’t book E Byrne Burke for fun. The pair have won 16 of 55 races together at Launceston, and Mcveigh arrives on the back of two straight wins, the most recent of them his only start in the past three months. He has won two of his five starts on this track and been placed in three, and barrier 1 hands Byrne Burke every option in a field of six.
What makes this a bet rather than a hope is the shape of the race. It is a small field, Mcveigh can sit on the fence and stalk, and The Trine, the only horse above him in the weights, has to give him a start. The Trine is the main danger after a 1-4-1 sequence earlier in her form line, but she has been placed once from two starts here and has not won since. Southern Auroras has two wins on her recent form line and gets a run from barrier 6 with Chloe Wells.
This is the race we want to be in. Mcveigh to win, and he goes into the multis.
Race 4: Happy 80th Dennis (Bm68), 7:50PM, 1203m
Obviously Good and Taroona have very different profiles, and both are live. Obviously Good has won three of her four starts at Launceston, which is the best course record on the card. Taroona carries top weight but comes in off a last-start win, and her form line of 3-1-1-4-1-1 is about as consistent as a Benchmark 68 sprinter gets.
Neither has had a run in the last three months, so freshness is a question for both. We side with Obviously Good because she has done it here, repeatedly, and D Pires gets the run from barrier 4. Novalargo is the value angle: five placings from seven Launceston starts, placed in both runs this campaign, and Kirra-Lee Lane gets him in near the bottom of the weights for G J Stevenson, whose runners finish in the first three more than half the time here. Obviously Good to win, Novalargo each-way.
Race 5: No Deed = No Future In Tassie Racing (Bm60), 8:20PM, 1531m
The quaddie opens with a race where consistency beats brilliance. Wolf Junior has been in the first three in four of his five runs over the past three months, winning one of them, and he has three placings from five starts at this track. Barry Campbell‘s stayer draws barrier 2 and Luke Dempsey can let him roll forward.
Kakia is the danger, and she is the one people will talk themselves into. She has been placed four times from five runs this campaign without winning, and twice from three trips here, so she keeps finding one too good. Sevillana is a runner to include in the quaddie on her course record of a win and two placings from four. Wolf Junior to win.
Race 6: John Blacker – Premiership Trainer Hcp, 8:57PM, 1531m
Mastretta has been placed in all three runs this campaign, won one of them, and has five placings from seven starts at Launceston. A Darmanin rides for Monica Ryan, whose five winners from 20 runners here is a strike rate most of the local stables would take. From barrier 2 she should get the run of the race.
Garcon d’Espoir is the obvious danger with E Byrne Burke aboard. His form line reads 2-2-2-3-2-2, which tells you both how honest he is and how hard he finds winning. Distrustful Award has finished in the first three on all three of his Launceston runs and carries top weight. Mastretta to win, Garcon d’Espoir in the exacta underneath.
Race 7: Clint & Laura, The Jetsetters! Hcp (C1), 9:30PM, 1531m
Two confirmed placegetters and a last-start winner make this a tricky one. Unfiltered has been placed in five of his six starts at Launceston and finished third last time out, having won the start before. He gets Robyn Lynch and sits well under the topweights for J K Blacker, and from barrier 6 he can settle midfield and come with one run.
Sh’bourne Hiflyer won last start for S Gandy and has two placings from three starts here, so he is the danger if he can back up. Time For Snow won one of his three runs this campaign for Stevenson and drew the rail. Unfiltered each-way is the play: his course record says he will be there or thereabouts, and his win rate says don’t go all in on the win.
Race 8: Jkb Racing – Own The Feeling Plate (C3), 10:00PM, 1750m
Genuine Lady is the horse of the night for us after Mcveigh. She has won three of her seven starts at Launceston, she has won two of her three runs over the past three months, and she has not been out of the first three this campaign. Her latest form figures of 2-1-9-2-1-1 show a horse who has turned the corner since that one poor run.
Monica Ryan‘s stable is in good shape here, and she has won once from two rides with Luke Dempsey at this track. Little El is the danger: she has three placings from four Launceston starts, won two runs ago and was second last time. Thickskinned has two course wins from five starts and gets A Darmanin. Genuine Lady to win and into the multis.
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Where the money goes
NAP: Mcveigh (Race 3, 7:10PM). Two wins on the bounce, the inside gate in a small field and the jockey-trainer pairing with the best record at this track. Everything lines up.
Value: Novalargo (Race 4, 7:50PM). No prices yet, but a horse with five placings from seven Launceston starts and a light weight is likely to be overlooked behind Obviously Good and Taroona.
Banker: Genuine Lady (Race 8, 10:00PM). Three course wins, never out of the first three this campaign, and the trip suits. She is the one to build a multi around.
Each-way: Unfiltered (Race 7, 9:30PM). Five placings from six Launceston starts makes him the most reliable place chance on the card.
Course angle: E Byrne Burke. He wins nearly three in ten rides here, and Mcveigh and Garcon d’Espoir are his two best rides on the card.
If Monica Ryan keeps placing horses this well at Launceston, her runners will be worth a close look at every meeting through the summer.
Launceston racing FAQ
What time does racing start at Launceston today?
Race 1, the Ladbrokes Flex Your Multi Stays Alive Mdn Plate over 1312m, starts at 6:05PM local time. The last race, the Jkb Racing – Own The Feeling Plate over 1750m, jumps at 10:00PM.
Who are the top jockeys and trainers at Launceston?
E Byrne Burke leads today’s riders on course stats with 38 wins from 131 rides here. Among the trainers, G J Stevenson has 24 winners from 103 runners here, while Monica Ryan has five winners and eleven placings from 20 starters.
What are the best bets at Launceston today?
Mcveigh in Race 3 is our best bet, chasing a third straight win, with Genuine Lady in Race 8 the banker on the back of three course wins from seven starts.
Where can I find the best odds for Launceston races?
Markets were not open when these Launceston predictions were written. Compare the bookmakers in our table above once prices go up, as each racecard on Racingbase shows the best price available for every runner.
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