Overview
Ocean Tsunami is the bet of the day. Three of Ocean Tsunami‘s four trips to Scone have produced a finish in the first three, one of them a win, and the horse meets a six-horse Bm74 field with six pounds less than the main rivals. Few horses on Wednesday’s cards have a more straightforward task.
That is three selections from three meetings: Scone, Warwick Farm and Launceston. Ocean Tsunami and Shahaameh both had live prices when this was written. Genuine Lady‘s market wasn’t open yet, so she goes in without a price.
The best bet
Ocean Tsunami, Scone Race 3, 2:35, 1.50 with Neds.
The Magic Millions (Bm74) over 1700m lost three runners to scratchings, and what’s left suits Ocean Tsunami. Ocean Tsunami knows Scone well, and the two runs in the last 90 days have brought a win and $59,750 in prize money, a big haul for a horse at this level. S I Singleton has Jasmine Urquhart-Warren on, and barrier 3 in a field of six should give her a soft run.
Alabama Blitz is the danger. Alabama Blitz placed at the only Scone start and in one of two recent runs for Cameron Crockett. At 1.50 this is a win bet, or the leg to lean on in a multi, rather than a price to chase.
The value bet
Shahaameh, Warwick Farm Race 1, 2:20, 7.50 with Neds.
The market has Quarterback at 2.00 in the Tropicus @ Vinery Stud Mdn Hcp over 1400m, which is a lot of faith in a maiden who has run 3 and 7 at his two starts in the last three months and carries topweight. Shahaameh has placed at her only Warwick Farm start, finished in the first three in two of her three runs in the last 90 days, and draws barrier 1 for Dylan Gibbons and Richard and Will Freedman.
Quarterback still has James McDonald and Chris Waller, so he is the obvious danger. But a filly who keeps running into the money and now gets the inside run is worth backing at 7.50 against a favourite who hasn’t won.
The quaddie angle
Genuine Lady, Launceston Race 8, 10:00.
The Jkb Racing – Own The Feeling Plate (C3) over 1750m is the last leg of the Launceston quaddie, and Genuine Lady is the horse to build it around. Genuine Lady has won three of her seven starts at the track and two of her three runs over the past three months, and her recent form of 2-1-9-2-1-1 shows a horse who has turned the corner since that one poor run.
Monica Ryan‘s stable is in good shape here, and Luke Dempsey has the ride. Little El is the danger: three placings from four Launceston starts, a win two runs ago and second last time. Spread in the earlier legs and stand Genuine Lady alone in the last.
How these were picked
These three come from the full previews for Wednesday’s seven meetings: Scone, Warwick Farm, Launceston, Eagle Farm, Ballarat, Belmont Park and Balaklava. Price settled the close calls. Unimando at Belmont Park, Weekend Artist at Eagle Farm, Antalian at Ballarat and Fiorona at Balaklava all have strong cases, but none of their markets had opened when this was written. Mcveigh, the Launceston NAP, falls outside that meeting’s quaddie, so Genuine Lady takes the quaddie slot. Fair Master, the Warwick Farm NAP, had no price either, which is why the value slot goes to Shahaameh in the opener.