Overview
Sentaloa is the best bet of the day. Four runs in the last 90 days have produced four placings, the last two of them seconds, and the maiden over 2657m at Mornington comes with barrier 1.
Three selections from two meetings, Mornington and Queanbeyan. All three carry live prices. The quaddie angle is now Media Coverage in Race 5 at Queanbeyan, replacing Pearler: the market for Race 6 there had still not opened this morning.
The best bet
Sentaloa, Mornington Race 1, 1:30, 2.45 with Palmerbet.
A staying maiden rewards a horse that keeps finding the line, and Sentaloa has done that every time lately. The inside gate means Damien Thornton can save ground for the whole trip, and M M Laurie has placed with ten of 21 runners at Mornington.
The danger is Kissattack, with Damian Lane riding for D T O’Brien, who has won with three of his ten Mornington runners. The horse’s own recent form is weaker, though: one placing from three runs, a third last time.
The value bet
Marilyn’s Edge, Mornington Race 4, 3:00, 5.00 with Palmerbet.
Marilyn’s Edge has won its only Mornington start and has a win and two placings from four runs in the last 90 days. Sam Kennedy rides for Shawn Mathrick, who has won with half of his ten runners at the track.
The price comes from barrier 9 and an unplaced run last time. Bliss Bomb is the main danger: second last start, and Logan Bates has placed on eight of his twelve Mornington rides.
The quaddie angle
Media Coverage, Queanbeyan Race 5, 3:40, 9.00 with Unibet.
Media Coverage has a win and five placings from six runs in the last 90 days, and has placed in both of his Queanbeyan starts. Race 5, the Tab Quaddie Pump (Bm58), opens the Queanbeyan quaddie (Races 5 to 8), and in an open sprint a horse that keeps hitting the frame is the one to have on side in the first leg.
Barrier 9 is the knock. Alabama Hammer is the main danger: the market favourite, placed in his only run in the last 90 days, and J Taylor has won four from 23 at Queanbeyan. The Crusher, third then a win before a break, is the other live one for Allan Kehoe.
How these were picked
All three come from the full previews for Mornington and Queanbeyan, the only two meetings racing in Australia today. Ilovediamonds, the Mornington NAP, was left out because its market had not opened and it has to overcome barrier 13 in a 1094m sprint. Pearler got the quaddie slot ahead of Ilovediamonds on an unbeaten course record with the same jockey and trainer and an inside draw, but its market had still not opened this morning, so Media Coverage, the Queanbeyan race-by-race play in Race 5, took the slot. Dirty Dani, the Queanbeyan banker, has a price but only two runs and is $1.80. Feedback, the Queanbeyan value pick, is the same price as Marilyn’s Edge, but Marilyn’s Edge has the course win and the stronger stable record. Ginger Sweet and Entirely Oak are each-way bets, not anchors.