Gordonvale Racing Tips: Can Yes Dream Make Three Straight?
Fannie Bay Racing Tips Oct 3 — Who Beats Struck Gold?
Six runs at Fannie Bay, three wins, and not a single finish outside the placings. That’s Struck Gold’s resume at this track, and it’s the kind of record that makes writing a tips article easy and hard at the same time — easy because the case for him in race four practically writes itself, hard because every other race on the card needs the same scrutiny without a horse doing the work for you. Today’s Fannie Bay racing tips centre on that one standout, but there’s more to the five-race card than a single good thing: a trainer fielding seven runners across the afternoon, a jockey riding in every race, and a weak middle leg where honesty matters more than confidence. Sand track, five races, 14:24 to 16:49. Here’s how it reads.
Reading the Fannie Bay card
Two names dominate the entries sheet before a horse even steps on the track. Tommy Logan has saddled up seven runners across today’s five races, including three of the six in race three and two of the nine in race four. G Clarke isn’t far behind with six runners and, more tellingly, the deepest history at this circuit of anyone racing today — 190 runs, a 33% win rate and the most prize money banked at Fannie Bay of any trainer on the card. Then there’s J R Todd, who has a mount in all five races and tops today’s jockey table on both win rate and place rate.
Course form across these fields is genuine rather than thin — most of today’s runners have five or more runs at Fannie Bay, so the percentages below mean something. Struck Gold’s numbers in particular aren’t a small-sample blip; six runs is enough to call him a track specialist outright.
| Horse | Runs | Wins | Places | Win% | Place% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Struck Gold | 6 | 3 | 6 | 50.0% | 100.0% |
| Order Online | 4 | 1 | 4 | 25.0% | 100.0% |
| Bruno Bruno | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33.3% | 77.8% |
| Tee Galleria | 6 | 1 | 4 | 16.7% | 66.7% |
| Field Of Flutes | 8 | 2 | 5 | 25.0% | 62.5% |
| I’m A Dreamer | 8 | 1 | 4 | 12.5% | 50.0% |
| Kessler | 8 | 2 | 3 | 25.0% | 37.5% |
The jockey table backs up what the entries sheet already hinted — J R Todd isn’t just busy today, he’s the rider to beat.
| Jockey | Rides | Wins | Places | Win% | Place% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J R Todd | 135 | 29 | 61 | 21.5% | 45.2% |
| Deborah Barton | 86 | 14 | 36 | 16.3% | 41.9% |
| Billy Cray | 49 | 6 | 20 | 12.2% | 40.8% |
| Jessica Booth | 63 | 10 | 21 | 15.9% | 33.3% |
| S Tsaikos | 60 | 9 | 20 | 15.0% | 33.3% |
| D A Hirini | 34 | 4 | 10 | 11.8% | 29.4% |
Trainer-wise, Ella Clarke’s single runner today (Struck Gold) sits on top of the Fannie Bay ledger by percentage, with Paul Shiers, Chris Nash, MS T Halter and G Clarke all backing up real volume with real results.
| Trainer | Runs | Wins | Places | Win% | Place% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ella Clarke | 36 | 12 | 22 | 33.3% | 61.1% |
| Paul Shiers | 70 | 13 | 34 | 18.6% | 48.6% |
| Chris Nash | 46 | 9 | 21 | 19.6% | 45.7% |
| MS T Halter | 69 | 13 | 30 | 18.8% | 43.5% |
| G Clarke | 190 | 33 | 79 | 17.4% | 41.6% |
| Tommy Logan | 83 | 11 | 32 | 13.3% | 38.6% |
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Race by race
Race 1: Trnt Off The Track (Bm54) — 2:24PM, 1422m
Kessler has been building a case here for a while. He’s won twice and placed three times from eight runs at this track — a 25% strike rate that’s well clear of what his own trainer, Philip Cole, manages across the piece (just 4.6% from 175 runs at Fannie Bay). Whatever’s clicking with Kessler specifically, it isn’t the stable average, and with Angel Brennan sticking on top weight-wise at 130kg from barrier seven, he’s got the profile of a horse who’s figured the track out for himself.
I’m A Dreamer is the one standing in the way. She’s placed in half her eight runs here (50%) and her trainer, MS T Halter, has a solid 43.5% place rate at Fannie Bay from 69 runners — that’s a connection combination with genuine depth behind it, not a one-off. Tee Galleria also deserves a mention purely on consistency — four places from six course runs (66.7%) without ever quite breaking through for the win.
Back Kessler to win. He’s the one with the course scalps on the board, and if the speed stacks up in a nine-horse field, a horse carrying topweight with genuine course form is worth siding with. Each-way cover on I’m A Dreamer isn’t the worst idea in a field this size.
Race 2: Scott Services 10-Year Anniversary Hcp (70) — 2:59PM, 1422m
MS T Halter sends two runners into this one, and it’s the elder of them who matters. Bruno Bruno has been to Fannie Bay nine times and has three wins and seven places to show for it — a win rate above 33% and a place rate approaching 78%, the kind of numbers that belong to a genuine course specialist rather than a horse that’s simply raced here a lot. S Tsaikos has ridden him and knows the track reasonably well himself, with nine course wins from 60 rides.
Order Online is the concern. Four runs at the track have produced four places, including a win, for an unbeaten-in-the-placings record that’s small in sample size but hard to ignore — he’s never finished worse than second here. G Clarke, his trainer, also has the best overall numbers of anyone saddling up multiple runners today, and that stable depth shows in how Order Online has been placed. Convincebility, the second Halter runner, has also placed in half her six course starts without winning, rounding out a genuinely three-way race for the minor placings behind Bruno Bruno.
Bruno Bruno to win. The course record here isn’t a one-season purple patch — it’s nine runs of evidence — and nothing else in the field matches it. Order Online for the place as the each-way alternative if the market lets him drift.
Race 3: Weeman Pulls The Trigger Hcp (58) — 3:34PM, 1312m
Tommy Logan has three runners in this six-horse field — Miss Black Diamond, Mods and Zoutara — and on raw course numbers it’s Zoutara who edges the other two, with a win and two places from three runs at the track. That’s an emerging pattern rather than a proven one, so treat it as a data point, not a trend, but it’s still the best of the trio. Miss Black Diamond has one win from five course runs (20%), which is fair rather than compelling, and her trainer’s overall Fannie Bay figures (83 runs, 13.3% wins) sit at the lower end of today’s form trainers.
Tokyo Bandit arrives with no course runs to assess and a recent form line that reads more zeros than numbers, despite training on from Chris Nash, who otherwise has a handy 19.6% win rate at this track. This is a watch race rather than a confident one. If forced, Zoutara each-way on the strength of being the pick of a three-runner stable raid, but there’s no horse here worth staking with real conviction.
Race 4: Pointsbet Pull ‘Em (Bm73) — 4:09PM, 1203m
Is there any real case against Struck Gold at Fannie Bay? Six runs, three wins, six places — he has never finished outside the top three at this track, a 50% win rate and a flawless 100% place rate that’s about as clean a course record as you’ll find on any card. Ella Clarke trains him and her own numbers back it up: a 33.3% win rate and 61.1% place rate from 36 runners here, the best percentage figures of any trainer racing today. Jessica Booth rides him from barrier eight carrying 126.7kg, and nothing about the set-up looks like it should trouble him.
G Clarke fields three runners in this race alone — Field Of Flutes, Rising Sphere and Flying Annie — and it’s Field Of Flutes who stacks up as the each-way danger. Eight runs at the track have returned two wins and five places, a 62.5% place rate, and he’s partnered by J R Todd, the meeting’s leading jockey by both win rate and place rate. If anyone runs Struck Gold down, it’s more likely to be pace-related misfortune than a lack of market respect for the favourite elsewhere in the field — Polarising (two wins, three places from eight course runs) and Rising Sphere (two places from three) both carry some residual claims without threatening the top two.
Struck Gold to win, and win well. This is the best betting race of the card, and the staking should reflect it — win bet on Struck Gold, with Field Of Flutes covered for the place in an each-way or exacta combination underneath him.
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Race 5: Roant Trobis Special Conditions Plate — 4:49PM, 1203m
Philip Cole fields three of the five runners here — Brave Heritage, Milk Foam and Mistifyzou — but his own Fannie Bay record (175 runs, just 4.6% winners) doesn’t inspire blind confidence in any of them, and none of the three has managed a placing from their combined course starts. That leaves this race to the two outsiders on paper.
Warrego has raced at the track only once, so there’s no course trend to lean on — but the surrounding signals are strong. D Leech, his trainer, has the best win rate of anyone racing today who isn’t Ella Clarke (30.3% from 33 runners), and J R Todd, the meeting’s standout jockey, takes the ride. Prince Of Sparta is unraced at this course too, lightly tried for Chloe Baxter, a trainer with real depth at Fannie Bay (16.8% wins from 95 runners) even if this particular runner hasn’t tested it yet.
Hard to have a strong view in a field this thin on course form. If forced, Warrego on the strength of the connections rather than his own history here — saver bet only, not one to stake up on.
The plays
Struck Gold is the one to build around. Six from six in the placings at this circuit, with the win rate and the trainer numbers to match, makes the 4:09PM the easiest read of the card.
Value: Tee Galleria in race one gets overlooked behind more fancied runners, but four places from six course starts is a genuine placing record that the market may not fully respect. No firm odds available today, so size any bet accordingly.
Banker: Bruno Bruno. Nine course runs, three wins, seven places — about as close to a sure thing as this card offers for multi purposes.
Each-way: Field Of Flutes. A 62.5% place rate from eight runs behind the card’s best jockey gives him the surest place credentials outside the top two picks.
Course angle: follow G Clarke’s runners at Fannie Bay. Across 190 runs here he’s banked more prize money than any other trainer on today’s card, and he’s got six runners spread across three races to work with this afternoon. If he keeps sending them here at this volume, he’s the standing angle at this track every meeting.
Best bookmakers for today’s racing
Live odds weren’t available through our feed at the time of writing, so treat all prices above as indicative rather than final — check current markets before placing anything. For bookmaker sign-up offers and comparisons, see below.
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FAQ
What time does racing start at Fannie Bay today?
The first of five races, Trnt Off The Track (Bm54), jumps at 2:24PM, with the last race, the Roant Trobis Special Conditions Plate, set down for 4:49PM.
Who are the top trainers and jockeys at Fannie Bay today?
Ella Clarke leads the trainer percentages at 33.3% wins and 61.1% places from 36 runners, though G Clarke has the deepest history at the track with 190 runs and the most prize money banked by any trainer racing today. In the saddle, J R Todd tops the jockey table at 21.5% wins and 45.2% places from 135 rides, and he has a mount in every single race on the card.
What are the best bets at Fannie Bay today?
Struck Gold in race four is the standout, unbeaten in the placings across six course runs for a 50% win rate and 100% place rate. Bruno Bruno in race two (three wins, seven places from nine runs) is the best banker option behind him.
Where can I find the best odds for Fannie Bay races?
Odds comparison data wasn’t available for this meeting at the time of writing. Check your preferred bookmaker directly before betting, and compare prices across the operators listed below.
