Coleraine Racing Tips: Can Flying Straz Strike Again?
Lismore Racing Tips Sep 25: Jade Trees for Three?
Overview
Jade Trees has won her last two starts, and neither was a squeak. Two wins from two runs in the space of a month is the kind of trajectory that gets a form horse a short quote, and by the time she loads into the gates for the Lismore Workers Club Hcp this afternoon, anyone who’s been watching will already know the name. That’s the standout angle on a compact, four-race Lismore racing tips card that also throws up a trainer sending three runners into one race, a topweight whose recent figures don’t match his spot in the market, and a maiden where the horse without a win still looks the safest thing in the field. Four events on the turf, one meeting worth digging into properly. Here’s the form, the numbers and where the money should go, race by race.
What Lismore Gives Us Today
Limited course form across today’s fields — most runners have one or two starts here, which is too thin to build a horse table on. The jockey and trainer numbers hold up better, so that’s where the real signal is.
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | Places | Win% | Place% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Archie MC Colm | 6 | 1 | 4 | 16.7% | 66.7% |
| Jai Williams | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| A Mallyon | 7 | 1 | 4 | 14.3% | 57.1% |
| B Looker | 7 | 1 | 3 | 14.3% | 42.9% |
| Jett Newman | 10 | 2 | 3 | 20.0% | 30.0% |
Archie MC Colm and Jai Williams are the two names worth clocking before the card starts. MC Colm hits the frame two-thirds of the time he rides at Lismore, and he’s aboard both Enhance in the feature and Our Sparky earlier on the program. Williams has the best strike rate of the group, two wins from five rides, but he’s on Prestige Exotic in the opener — a runner that hasn’t placed in two runs this campaign. Good jockey, out-of-form horse; worth knowing before backing the name on reputation alone.
| Trainer | Runs | Wins | Places | Win% | Place% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D W Dwane | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0.0% | 66.7% |
| M J Dunn | 11 | 3 | 7 | 27.3% | 63.6% |
| Marcus Wilson | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0.0% | 50.0% |
| Stephen & Jordan Lee | 9 | 2 | 4 | 22.2% | 44.4% |
| Owen Glue | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0.0% | 33.3% |
| MS S Pepper | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0.0% | 33.3% |
| Daniel Bowen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 33.3% | 33.3% |
| L J Clapham | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0.0% | 25.0% |
| Ethan Ensby | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0.0% | 20.0% |
| S J Bennett | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
M J Dunn owns the best course record of anyone with a runner today — eleven runs at this track for three winners and seven placings, a 63.6% place rate that dwarfs the rest of the trainer list, and he’s sent three runners into the Bm58 alone. At the other end sits Ethan Ensby, who has five runners spread across three races today but a winless record from five runners at this circuit — volume on the card doesn’t always mean value in the market.
Race by Race at Lismore
Race 1: Basec Engineering Country Boosted Showcase Mdn Hcp — 12:39pm, 1669m
So Sain hasn’t broken through yet, but she’s building a case. Her last three starts have all produced a placing, and across five runs this campaign she’s found the money 60% of the time without quite getting to the winner’s stall — the profile of a mare who’s close. Ethan Ensby trains her, and while his stable-wide record at this track is winless from five runners, So Sain is the one with the form to break that run. Weight of 117.9kg and a workable gate suit a mare who races handy.
Togarashi is the one to watch for. Only two runs show up in the last 90 days, so it’s a small read rather than a trend, but he placed in his only start at this track and was runner-up last start. If the tempo holds together, he’s the clearest threat in the race.
Hold the stakes down in a maiden like this — each-way on So Sain for the placing, Togarashi the swing if the speed collapses late.
Race 2: Xxxx Gold (Bm66) — 1:14pm, 2308m
Tewkesbury carries the topweight into this 2308m benchmark, 132.2kg, and that alone tends to put a horse near the top of the calculations. The recent record doesn’t back it up: two runs in the last 90 days, no wins, no placings, an average finish of 4.5. That’s a lot of weight for a horse that hasn’t been hitting the frame.
Our Sparky is doing the quieter work. Six runs this campaign have produced two wins and three placings — half his starts have earned money, and the wins are recent enough to matter. He carries only 117.9kg, drops into a race where the obvious topweight looks vulnerable, and Archie MC Colm, who places two-thirds of his Lismore rides, takes the leg-up. He hasn’t raced at this track before, so there’s no course form to lean on, but the campaign form more than covers that gap.
Caracoron and California Grass both have supporters on recent placings, but neither matches Our Sparky’s win strike rate over the same period. Each-way on Our Sparky, with Tewkesbury only interesting if the weight starts to look generous late in the market.
Race 3: Somerville Laundry Lomax Country Boosted Showcase (Bm58) — 1:49pm, 1433m
M J Dunn doesn’t send three runners into a Bm58 without believing in his team, and his Lismore record backs the confidence — eleven runs at this track, three winners, seven placings, the strongest course number of any trainer on today’s card. Doingiteasy, Chief Of Staff and Spicy Wings all carry his colours in this race, which makes picking the right one the actual job.
Barello runs against that trio with the most convincing recent figures of his own — four runs this campaign, a win and two placings, hitting the frame half the time. He steps up in weight to 133.3kg but has form at similar company, and Stephen & Jordan Lee, his trainers, place four out of every nine runners they bring to this track.
Of Dunn’s three, Spicy Wings has the sharper recent figure, a win from two runs this campaign, though the small sample makes it a data point rather than a guarantee. If Dunn’s number holds up again today, she’s the one most likely to cash it.
Saver each-way on Barello, with Spicy Wings the swing bet for anyone leaning into the stable form.
Race 4: Lismore Workers Club Hcp (C3) — 2:24pm, 1542m
Jade Trees grinds, Transgress explodes, and this looks like the best betting race on the card because both profiles are backed by real recent form. Jade Trees has won her last two starts in a row — two runs, two wins, the kind of trajectory that doesn’t need a percentage attached to sound good. B J Dodson also has Sarmat running in the opener today, so it’s not a one-horse stable, but Jade Trees is clearly the sharper of the pair right now. She carries 124.5kg, drawn to get a fair run, and nothing else in this field has a form line to match two wins on the trot.
Transgress is the danger, and the case is a good one: he won his most recent start, and it happened to be his only run at this track — a clean win from a single visit, a data point worth respecting rather than a trend to build the house on. Michael Freedman, his trainer, is also unbeaten from his only Lismore runner. Across the full campaign the picture is more mixed, one win and one placing from five runs, but the timing of that win, right here, right now, is hard to ignore.
Enhance and Warrior Bae both placed in their only starts at the track and shouldn’t be written off for the minor money, but neither has the recent trajectory of the top two.
This is the bet of the day: Jade Trees to win, with Transgress the each-way saver for anyone wanting to cover the one runner capable of upsetting her.
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Where the Money Goes
That’s the read across today’s Lismore racing tips card. Jade Trees is the play of the day — two runs, two wins, drawn to get the run of the race in the Workers Club Hcp at 2:24pm. When a horse is traveling this well this recently, the job is simply not to overthink it.
Our Sparky is the value in the staying race two hours earlier. Two wins and three placings from six runs this campaign against a topweight whose own recent figures have gone missing — the market hasn’t caught up to that gap yet.
For the multi, Barello is the banker: a trainer with a genuine course record, a horse in the middle of a form cycle rather than at the start or end of one, and a race where the obvious danger comes from his own stable rather than an unknown.
So Sain is the each-way watch from race one — three straight placings and the sort of profile that should convert soon, even if today isn’t guaranteed to be the day.
The course angle worth following: M J Dunn. Eleven runs at Lismore, three winners, seven placings. If he keeps sending them here at that rate, he’s the name to check on the program every time this track comes around.
Best Bookmakers for Today’s Racing
Odds comparison data wasn’t available across the feeds at the time of writing, so there’s no live market to weigh up here yet. Check the operators below for markets as they firm closer to the first at 12:39pm.
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FAQ
What time does racing start at Lismore today?
The first race, the Basec Engineering Country Boosted Showcase Mdn Hcp, jumps at 12:39pm, with four races running through to the Lismore Workers Club Hcp at 2:24pm.
Who are the top trainers and jockeys at Lismore today?
M J Dunn leads the trainers with eleven runs, three wins and seven placings at the track, a 63.6% place rate, and he has three runners in the Bm58. Archie MC Colm heads the jockeys on place rate, hitting the frame in four of his six Lismore rides.
What are the best bets at Lismore today?
Jade Trees in the Workers Club Hcp is the pick of the day off two straight wins, with Our Sparky rated the value runner in the Bm66 on his six-run campaign figures — two wins, three placings.
Where can I find the best odds for Lismore races today?
Live odds comparison data wasn’t returned for any of today’s four races at the time of writing. The bookmaker list above is the best starting point for checking markets as they open.
Is today’s Lismore meeting run on turf?
Yes — all four races are run on the Lismore turf, with distances ranging from the 1433m Bm58 sprint to the 2308m staying test in race two. These Lismore racing tips are built from the trainer and jockey numbers above, not guesswork.
