Goulburn Racing Tips: Can Wolf Island Strike Twice?
Moe Racing Tips: Can Aubaine Complete a Clean Sweep?
Overview
Aubaine won last start, has placed in every run of this campaign, and now steps up into the best race on the Moe card carrying 133.3kg for the in-form yard of M Price & M Kent Jnr. That is the kind of angle that makes a maiden-heavy program worth digging into, and these Moe racing tips are built around exactly that sort of detail rather than a generic once-over of the card. Five races go around at this Gippsland circuit, four of them maidens over trips ranging from a short sprint to a genuine staying test, with the feature Rising Stars heat closing the book at half past three. There is no live bookmaker pricing available at the time of writing, so every view here is built on form, connections and the numbers each horse and stable have put up at this specific track. Read on for the pick in each race, the dangers worth respecting, and where the value looks to sit once the market opens up.
What Moe gives us today
Course form is genuinely thin across this field. Most runners have raced at Moe once or not at all, so a single placing or a single blank means a data point rather than a trend, and it gets treated that way below rather than dressed up as a percentage it can’t support. Where the numbers do carry weight is with the jockeys and trainers who keep coming back to this track and keep landing in the placings.
J Mott has ridden here nine times for three wins and six places, a strike rate that puts him on top of today’s jockey list by clear margin. Damien Thornton and Olivia East both sit above 21% winners from double-figure ride counts, and Jye Mcneil has been in the money at exactly half of his sixteen rides at the track.
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | Places | Win% | Place% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J Mott | 9 | 3 | 6 | 33.33% | 66.67% |
| Damien Thornton | 14 | 3 | 8 | 21.43% | 57.14% |
| Olivia East | 7 | 3 | 4 | 42.86% | 57.14% |
| Jye Mcneil | 16 | 2 | 8 | 12.5% | 50.0% |
| Hayley Spitse | 7 | 1 | 3 | 14.29% | 42.86% |
| Dylan Dunn | 13 | 3 | 5 | 23.08% | 38.46% |
The trainer numbers tell a similar story of a handful of stables that simply know how to win here. Gavin Bedggood has sent six to Moe for four winners and five placings, a record good enough to call him a specialist at the track, and M Price & M Kent Jnr are not far behind with four wins from seven runners. Ben, Will & JD Hayes have less shine on the strike rate but more depth than anyone else on the card, sending out five runners today across three different races.
| Trainer | Runs | Wins | Places | Win% | Place% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Bedggood | 6 | 4 | 5 | 66.67% | 83.33% |
| M Price & M Kent Jnr | 7 | 4 | 4 | 57.14% | 57.14% |
| E Jusufovic | 7 | 3 | 4 | 42.86% | 57.14% |
| A & S Freedman | 13 | 3 | 8 | 23.08% | 61.54% |
| Ben, Will & JD Hayes | 16 | 3 | 8 | 18.75% | 50.0% |
Best bookmakers for today’s racing
Live pricing for this meeting was not available at the time of writing, so compare the offers below once markets open to make sure any bet on these Moe selections gets the best number attached to it.
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Race by race
Race 1: Aml Logistics Mdn Plate — 1:30pm, 2625m
Churchillena has been building toward this. Beaten a long way in her first two runs, she has closed to fifth and then a narrow second last start, and dropping into a staying maiden off 126.7kg with the mare’s allowance looks like a placement designed to get the job done. Damien Thornton takes the ride, and the Ben, Will & JD Hayes stable brings genuine depth to the whole meeting today. She has not raced at Moe before, so there is no course form to lean on, but the recent trajectory and the barrier draw of eight, letting Thornton settle her without fuss over this long trip, both work in her favour.
The one who could get in the way is Wolves’ Den, who placed on his only run at this track and has bounced back to third last start after a flat run in between. J Noonan has ridden him with modest returns at Moe, but the horse himself looks the type to be running on into the finish at this trip, and he’ll be doing it from the rail. Clydebank Robber is the type worth a small saver too: an eight-year-old who has hit the frame three times in his last six starts and has placed once in two runs at this track, even though his most recent run was his worst of the campaign. Back Churchillena to win, with Wolves’ Den the each-way risk if the market drifts her.
Race 2: Kiss Print Solutions Mdn Plate — 2:00pm, 2242m
C J Waller doesn’t send one to a Moe maiden on a whim, and Jean Georges’ placing at the only other start backs the move up. He’s a lightly-raced type from a powerful stable, with Jye Mcneil on board carrying a 50% place rate from sixteen rides at this circuit, and the step up from eighth on debut to second next start suggests the penny is dropping.
He won’t have it his own way. Good Lordy Me has strung together a run of 5th, 3rd and 2nd across her last three and looks to be peaking at the right time, even though her only previous visit to Moe brought a blank. Ashina is the other one to watch without being the one to back outright: six runs, five of them finishes of third or fourth, the definition of a horse that keeps hitting the frame but hasn’t yet worked out how to win. Camegitchee and Thinking Positive both arrive with last-start thirds of their own, which says plenty about the depth in this field. Jean Georges to win, with Good Lordy Me the each-way alternative if the price is generous.
Race 3: Ian Grant’s Caravans Mdn Plate — 2:30pm, 1094m
Hard to build a confident case beyond one angle here: J Mott has been the standout rider at Moe this season, landing a third of his rides and hitting the frame in two out of every three, and he takes the mount on Mr Natural, who was narrowly beaten on debut. That’s a thin book of evidence for a maiden sprint stacked with first starters and one-run horses, but it’s the strongest thread available. Certain Impact is the other runner with any recent placing to his name, third two runs back before fading to sixth last start, and he’ll need to find that form again rather than build on it. Several in this field, including Chocolate Freckles, Iron Eagle and Transcritical, are yet to race at all, which makes the market the best guide once it opens. Watch race, with Mr Natural the only one worth a small each-way interest on the strength of the booking.
Race 4: Ab Plumbing Mdn Plate — 3:00pm, 1203m
Fourteen sprinters go around here after five scratchings thinned the field, and the horse that carries the clearest recent signal is Jourama. She placed on her only previous start at Moe, has finished 4th and 2nd across her last two runs, and goes around for A & S Freedman with Damien Thornton in the saddle, a combination that has produced two wins and five placings from seven runners together at this circuit. That’s a genuine sample, not a lucky sequence, and it’s the strongest jockey-trainer case on the whole card.
Fully Funded is the each-way risk, with back-to-back thirds and a trainer in M W Walker who has landed a winner and two placings from three runners at Moe this season, still an emerging pattern rather than proven form but heading the right way. Comradeship arrives for E Jusufovic, a trainer who places well over half his runners at this track, though his own recent form line of a last-start fourth is nothing to get excited about yet. Jourama to win, with Fully Funded the each-way alternative.
Race 5: Rmbl Investments Rising Stars Race (BM56) — 3:30pm, 1750m
Two very different profiles headline the feature race of the day. Aubaine grinds forward in the colours of M Price & M Kent Jnr, has placed in all three runs of this preparation and comes into this off a win last start, while Super Mirage represents Gavin Bedggood, the standout trainer of the meeting on the numbers noted above. Super Mirage’s own form of two seconds and a fourth across her last three runs suggests she’s building toward the same kind of result her stable keeps delivering at this circuit.
The case for Aubaine still holds the edge. She carries top weight bar one at 133.3kg, which says the handicapper rates her the leading contender in the field, and jockey Olivia East brings her own strong numbers to the ride: three wins and four placings from seven mounts at Moe, a 42.86% strike rate that ranks among the best on this card. East and the Price/Kent Jnr stable have combined for exactly two runners at this track and won both of them, a small sample but a pointed one. Neither horse has raced at Moe before, so this comes down to who travels their form better than who’s proven it here. Egerton Reef adds another line of interest, with a win two runs back and a minor placing last start, but he’s up against the two clear leaders in this line-up. Back Aubaine to win, with Super Mirage the each-way danger and a small saver on Egerton Reef for those chasing the exotics.
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18+ T&C’s Apply. What are you really gambling with? Chances are you’re about to lose. Set a Deposit Limit For free and confidential support call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au
18+ T&C’s Apply. What are you really gambling with? Chances are you’re about to lose. Set a Deposit Limit For free and confidential support call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au
Where the money goes
Aubaine is the number one play of the day. She’s won her last start, hasn’t finished worse than second all campaign, and steps up into better grade backed by a trainer and jockey combination that has won every time they’ve teamed up at this track. That’s about as much confidence as this card allows for a single bet.
The value looks to sit with Clydebank Robber back in Race 1. An eight-year-old with no maiden win to his name tends to get written off by the market, but three placings from his last six starts and a track record of hitting the frame at Moe already say he’s competitive more often than his record suggests. He won’t be short odds, and he doesn’t need to be to make the each-way numbers work.
For the safest multi leg, Jourama’s combination of a placed run at this track and a jockey-trainer partnership that has produced places in five of its last seven runs at Moe is hard to go past. Ashina is the each-way pick of the day on raw consistency, with five finishes of third or fourth from six starts and not a single blank. And the repeatable course angle for anyone following Moe meetings from here is simple: keep an eye on wherever Gavin Bedggood sends a runner, and don’t be surprised when the Ben, Will & JD Hayes team turns up five deep again next time this circuit fires up.
Frequently asked questions
What time does racing start at Moe today?
The first race, the Aml Logistics Mdn Plate, jumps at 1:30pm. Five races follow through the afternoon, with the last race, the Rmbl Investments Rising Stars Race, set down for 3:30pm.
Who are the top trainers and jockeys at Moe today?
Gavin Bedggood leads the trainers with four wins and five placings from six runners at the track, a strike rate no one else on today’s card can match. J Mott is the pick of the jockeys, with three wins and six placings from nine rides at Moe, ahead of Damien Thornton and Olivia East, who both sit above 21% winners from double-figure ride counts.
What are the best bets at Moe today?
Aubaine in Race 5 is the number one selection, unbeaten for a placing all campaign and coming off a win last start for a stable and jockey combination unbeaten together at this track. Clydebank Robber in Race 1 is the value option, a consistent placegetter the market may discount because he hasn’t won yet.
Where can I find the best odds for Moe races?
Bookmaker pricing for this meeting was not yet available when this article was written, so check the odds comparison tools and bookmaker offers listed above closer to the first race for the most accurate numbers.
Which race is the best betting race at Moe today?
Race 5, the Rmbl Investments Rising Stars Race over 1750m, carries the most depth and the clearest form case of the day, with Aubaine and Super Mirage both bringing genuine trainer form into the contest.
