Overview
Paul Snowden doesn’t make the trip to Port Macquarie for the scenery: he has won with seven of the 19 runners he has brought here, and Polymer, who has already won twice at this track, is his only runner on Thursday’s card. That’s where this Port Macquarie racing tips preview starts, because the Race 6 BM66 is the race on the card with the clearest profile and the cleanest form at the venue.
Around it sit seven races on a Good to Soft track, from a 2000m BM58 staying test to two short maiden sprints full of horses still finding their way. The other theme worth following is the pairing of A Bullock with trainer K A Lees, which has won three of seven together here. Bullock rides two of the Lees team today. The early books are open on the first four races, so where there is a real price we quote it below. The back half of the card hadn’t been priced at the time of writing.
Port Macquarie: who has the numbers here
A Good to Soft surface for a Thursday country meeting usually means the rail has some give in it, and the rides that tend to work are the ones that hold a position rather than going searching for the fence late. Plenty of today’s runners have been here before, so for once the course form is worth tabling.
Horses with three or more starts at Port Macquarie
| Horse | Runs | Wins | Places | Win% | Place% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Farraige | 5 | 2 | 4 | 40% | 80% |
| Polymer | 4 | 2 | 3 | 50% | 75% |
| Fratianno | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 67% |
| Womensworld | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 67% |
| Look At Mego | 4 | 1 | 2 | 25% | 50% |
| Argerich | 9 | 2 | 4 | 22% | 44% |
| Savvyrocker | 7 | 1 | 2 | 14% | 29% |
Argerich is the only runner with real volume here, and two wins from nine is respectable rather than special. Farraige and Polymer are the ones whose course records jump off the page.
Jockeys (five or more rides here, by place rate)
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | Places | Win% | Place% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashley Morgan | 20 | 7 | 13 | 35% | 65% |
| A Bullock | 41 | 10 | 26 | 24% | 63% |
| L P Rolls | 65 | 16 | 32 | 25% | 49% |
| Jenny Duggan | 43 | 2 | 21 | 5% | 49% |
| B Looker | 75 | 15 | 34 | 20% | 45% |
| L Magorrian | 20 | 0 | 8 | 0% | 40% |
| A Gibbons | 31 | 1 | 12 | 3% | 39% |
| D Peisley | 18 | 3 | 6 | 17% | 33% |
Trainers (five or more runners here, by place rate)
| Trainer | Runs | Wins | Places | Win% | Place% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D I Atkins | 11 | 3 | 9 | 27% | 82% |
| J C Deamer | 5 | 3 | 4 | 60% | 80% |
| Jake Hull | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 62% |
| Paul Snowden | 19 | 7 | 11 | 37% | 58% |
| M P Quinn | 9 | 1 | 5 | 11% | 56% |
| K A Lees | 45 | 6 | 23 | 13% | 51% |
| Sally Taylor | 18 | 2 | 9 | 11% | 50% |
| Samantha Mcguren | 17 | 5 | 7 | 29% | 41% |
Two things to take from those tables. Ashley Morgan and A Bullock both hit the frame on close to two rides in three here, and they are spread across the card. And the small yards with a high strike rate here, Deamer, Hull and Atkins, each have a runner today worth a second look.
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Port Macquarie racing tips, race by race
Race 1: Beechwood Hotel (Bm66), 1:50PM, 1500m
The market problem here is that Uncle Harry sits at the top of the betting at $3.30 with Bet Right on the strength of A Bullock‘s booking more than the horse’s own recent output. He has placed twice from five starts over the last three months without winning, which is honest but hardly the profile of a short-priced favourite carrying 60.5kg.
Rose Water is the one we want. Ashley Morgan wins more than a third of her rides at this track, and trainer J C Deamer has won with three of the five runners he has brought here. The mare’s form line of 3-4-1-1-9 shows two wins in her last four before an off day, and a 9th from that form is easy enough to forgive given the record of her connections here. At $4.40 with Bet Right she is the better value of the two at the top of the market.
The danger at a price is Argerich, who has won at his latest start and drops to 55kg. He knows this track better than anything in the race and is $14 with Unibet. Rose Water to win, with a small saver on Argerich.
Race 2: Hastings Hotel (Bm58), 2:25PM, 2000m
Two horses with different profiles, both live. Autumn Heir is the stable story: K A Lees and A Bullock have combined seven times at Port Macquarie for three wins and six placings, and that’s not a coincidence of a partnership. He ran second at his latest start, comes out of barrier 9 at 58.5kg, and the market has him at $2.25 with Unibet.
Farraige is the course horse. Two wins and four placings from five starts here is the best track record on the card, and a form line of 2-2-2-4-8-4 shows three straight seconds before a quieter few runs. B Looker takes the ride from barrier 2, which should let him sit handy and kick first. He is $7 with Unibet.
Over 2000m on a soft surface, the horse who can travel and still finish wins, and Autumn Heir has the more progressive profile. But Farraige at $7 has a genuine claim to run a place. Autumn Heir to win, Farraige each-way.
Race 3: Fernhill Tavern Country Boosted Mdn Plate, 3:05PM, 1200m
Does Fratianno ever get his head in front? Five placings from six runs in the last 90 days, form of 2-3-2-3-4-2, and still a maiden. He’s at $3.80 with Bet Right, and with L P Rolls riding for Colt Prosser from barrier 10 he should get a stalking run outside the leaders. The consistency is real. So is the habit of finding one better.
Super Vitality is the threat. The three-year-old has placed at both runs in the last three months and gets Ashley Morgan, who has the best strike rate of any rider at the track. Super Vitality is $4.40 with Bet Right but has to overcome barrier 13. Womensworld, placed in two of three starts here, is the other one with course credentials at $6.50 with Unibet.
Fratianno for the place, and a small win bet if you think this is the day.
Race 4: Settlers Inn Mdn Hcp, 3:40PM, 1500m
K A Lees sends four to this maiden, and the one with the Bullock booking is Sacred Well. That partnership has won three of seven together here and placed in six. The three-year-old ran third at the only start in the last 90 days, and a form line of 9-3-5-3 says the penny is dropping. Sacred Well is $3.20 with Unibet and jumps from barrier 15, so Bullock will need to decide early whether to go forward or take a sit.
Lottery Link sets the standard on recent consistency, placing in three of five runs over the last three months for Glen Milligan without winning, and at $5 with Unibet will be right there. What A Gent is $6 with Bet Right and placed at the only Port Macquarie start, but had no rider booked when this was written.
Sacred Well to win. Lottery Link in the trifecta.
Race 5: Tacking Point Tavern Mdn Hcp, 4:20PM, 1000m
Hard to have a confident view in a 1000m maiden full of horses with one or two runs, several still without a rider listed. If forced, Sasqua on the strength of his trainer and his rider. Jake Hull has won with three of the eight runners he has brought here, B Looker is the most experienced jockey on the card at this track, and the four-year-old has placed at his only Port Macquarie start. A form line of 3-8-4 is modest, but nothing else in the field has done much more.
Nordic Star, for James Harding, who has placed with all three of his runners here, is the danger with Ashley Morgan up. The two D I Atkins debutants, Rockbarton Beach and Rockbarton Grit, are the unknowns, and Atkins hits the frame with more than eight of every ten runners at the track. Small win bet on Sasqua, or watch and learn about the Atkins pair.
Race 6: Flower Hotels Country Boosted (Bm66), 4:55PM, 1200m
Polymer has been building to this. The five-year-old has won two of his four starts at Port Macquarie and placed in three, and his form line of 5-21165 shows back-to-back wins before a sixth and a fifth. That fifth was his only run in the last 90 days, so he comes here with a run under his belt, back at a track he clearly likes, over 1200m at 59.5kg.
Then there is the stable. Paul Snowden‘s runners win here at better than one in three from 19 starts. No other trainer on the card with a meaningful sample here comes close to that. L P Rolls, who has more wins at this track than any rider on the card, gets the ride from barrier 7.
The danger is Calypso Rocket, who carries 61.5kg for M P Quinn and A Bullock but has a win from his two starts here and placed latest start. Jewels Statement is the other one to respect, a winner at one of two runs in the last 90 days and Samantha Mcguren has won with five of 17 here. Polymer to win, best bet of the day.
Race 7: Lake Cathie Tavern Hcp (C1), 5:35PM, 1100m
Five scratchings have thinned this field to 13, and that helps Rubinsky. He has placed in all three of his runs over the last 90 days, won one of them, and won at his only Port Macquarie start. His trainer, Jake Hull, wins with three of every eight runners here. The only question is the jockey, who hadn’t been named at the time of writing.
Chistota is the main threat. Ashley Morgan rides, Chistota has won at one of two starts here, and the form line of 5-2-2-1-8 includes a win two runs back. Rockbarton Spear is the other with course form, a win at his only start here for D I Atkins with L P Rolls aboard. And keep Poshy’s Girl in mind for K A Lees, with a form line of 2-2-2-1-8: four straight placings, the last of them a win, before an 8th.
Rubinsky to win once a rider is confirmed. Chistota in exotics.
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Where the money goes
NAP: Polymer (Race 6, 4:55PM). He has the best combination of course record and stable on the card, and second up at a track he has won at twice, this is his day to strike.
Value: Argerich (Race 1, 1:50PM). A last-start winner who knows this track better than anything in the race, dropping to 55kg, at $14 with Unibet.
Banker: Autumn Heir (Race 2, 2:25PM). The Lees and Bullock pairing has placed in six of seven together at Port Macquarie, and he ran second latest start.
Each-way: Farraige (Race 2, 2:25PM). Four placings from five runs here, and $7 with Unibet is generous for a horse with that kind of course record.
Course angle: Back the small yards with big strike rates. J C Deamer, Jake Hull, D I Atkins and Paul Snowden have each won with more than a quarter of their runners here, and all four have a runner worth following today.
If Snowden keeps landing winners at this clip, he’ll be the first name to check every time Port Macquarie races.
FAQ
What time does racing start at Port Macquarie today?
The first race, the Beechwood Hotel BM66 over 1500m, jumps at 1:50PM local time. The last, the Lake Cathie Tavern C1 over 1100m, is at 5:35PM.
Who are the top jockeys and trainers at Port Macquarie?
Among the riders on today’s card, Ashley Morgan has won seven of 20 rides here and placed in 13, while A Bullock has 10 wins and 26 placings from 41. L P Rolls has the most wins at the track, 16 from 65. Among trainers, Paul Snowden has won with seven of 19 runners and J C Deamer three of five.
What are the best bets at Port Macquarie today?
Our Port Macquarie racing tips put Polymer in Race 6 on top as the NAP, with Autumn Heir in Race 2 as the banker and Argerich in Race 1 as the value play.
Where can I find the best odds for Port Macquarie races?
The bookmakers listed above all price Port Macquarie races, and the racecard for each race shows the best available price. At the time of writing, Bet Right and Unibet held the best prices on our first-half selections, such as Rose Water at $4.40 and Farraige at $7.