Overview
Diamond Eye has been to Seymour once and won, and on Thursday comes back with Damian Lane aboard for Reece Goodwin, a combination that has won five of its 12 starts together. That sits at the centre of a busy eight-race card, and it is the race we would build the day around.
The rest of the program leans heavily on maidens. The first four races are all maidens, which means plenty of guesswork and a few runners whose best form is still in front of them. The back half is stronger: three Benchmark 62 races, one of them a 1000m sprint, and a 1200m handicap to close. Our Seymour racing tips cover all eight races, with a clear view on who we want, who can beat them and what we would actually do with the money. The track is rated Good to Soft and the first race jumps at 3:00PM. Bookmakers had the first two races priced at the time of writing; the later markets were not up yet, so we have quoted odds only where a real price existed.
Reading the Seymour card
Limited course form across today’s fields: only Mahmudah (five starts here) and Kiss My Rock (four) have been around Seymour more than a couple of times, so the horse side of the ledger is thin and we have not tabled it. The riders and stables are a different story. Plenty of today’s jockeys and trainers have real volume at the track.
Jockeys at Seymour (today’s riders, 5+ rides)
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | Places | Win% | Place% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Childs | 20 | 4 | 13 | 20.0 | 65.0 |
| L Currie | 30 | 4 | 15 | 13.3 | 50.0 |
| M J Dee | 26 | 7 | 13 | 26.9 | 50.0 |
| Lachlan Neindorf | 37 | 6 | 16 | 16.2 | 43.2 |
| Damien Thornton | 25 | 4 | 10 | 16.0 | 40.0 |
| Damian Lane | 16 | 2 | 6 | 12.5 | 37.5 |
| Declan Bates | 23 | 1 | 8 | 4.3 | 34.8 |
| Teodore Nugent | 40 | 0 | 4 | 0.0 | 10.0 |
Trainers at Seymour (today’s stables, 5+ runners)
| Trainer | Runs | Wins | Places | Win% | Place% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G M Begg | 8 | 3 | 6 | 37.5 | 75.0 |
| A & S Freedman | 17 | 4 | 10 | 23.5 | 58.8 |
| M Price & M Kent Jnr | 30 | 5 | 17 | 16.7 | 56.7 |
| Reece Goodwin | 11 | 4 | 6 | 36.4 | 54.5 |
| Ben, Will & JD Hayes | 38 | 5 | 14 | 13.2 | 36.8 |
| R D Griffiths | 19 | 3 | 7 | 15.8 | 36.8 |
| Simon Zahra | 20 | 2 | 7 | 10.0 | 35.0 |
| Ben Brisbourne | 29 | 0 | 7 | 0.0 | 24.1 |
Two things jump out. Jordan Childs hits the frame on almost two of every three Seymour rides, and M J Dee converts better than anyone in the room, with seven wins from 26. Ben, Will & JD Hayes bring the biggest team, seven runners across the card, and when Dee rides for them here the partnership has won three of ten starts and finished in the first three in five.
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Seymour racing tips: race by race
Race 1: New Crossing Place Motel & Apartments Mdn Plate, 3:00PM, 2015m
Zverev is the one horse in this staying maiden already proven at Seymour, with a placing at the only start here, and that is worth more than it sounds over 2015m on a Good to Soft surface. A form line of 3, 4, 6 says Zverev has been around the mark without finding the last bit, and Damian Lane takes the ride for G Eurell from barrier 11. At $6.50 with Unibet there is enough each-way value to play.
The market has Fiorente Charm on top at $3.90 with Bet Right off a single fifth. That is a lot of faith in one run, though M J Dee‘s Seymour record (seven wins from 26) explains a fair chunk of it, and a draw in barrier 1 helps. That is the danger. Windsor Chariot ($9.50, Bet Right) is the Hayes runner to keep an eye on third-up.
Each-way on Zverev.
Race 2: Seymour Club Mdn Plate, 3:30PM, 1000m
Does Queen’s English deserve to be $3.40 favourite with Unibet off a seventh on debut? We are not convinced. The Freedman stable has a strong Seymour record and Dee rides, but this is a 1000m dash where proven early speed tends to matter, and two runners have more of it on the record.
Magnusaurus Rex has run second at each of the last two starts, both of the placings from four runs over the past 90 days. The weight drops to 54kg with Changgyun Ma aboard, and the Griffiths stable has three wins from 19 runners here. At $4.40 with Bet Right, Magnusaurus Rex is the logical one.
The price play is Gattino Veloce at $6.50 with Unibet. Form of 5, 4, 2, 4, 5, 3 says this one rarely runs a bad race, Jordan Childs is the track’s most reliable placegetter, and trainer G M Begg has three wins and six placings from eight Seymour runners. Win and place on Gattino Veloce, with Magnusaurus Rex the main danger.
Race 3: Kelly’s Country Homes Mdn Plate, 4:00PM, 1411m
The Dee and Hayes partnership is the angle, and Carnevale is the vehicle. Two starts in the last 90 days have produced a third and a second, and the only Seymour run also ended in a place. Barrier 4 should let Dee hold a forward spot without working.
What makes this a confident view is the booking. Together, Dee and the Hayes stable have won three of their ten starts at Seymour, with five top-three finishes. This is a three-year-old maiden over 1411m with plenty of unraced or lightly raced runners, and Carnevale is the most exposed one with the right numbers.
Exultant is the danger as a debutant from the Price and Kent stable, which places with 17 of its 30 Seymour runners, and Lachlan Neindorf rides. Ciphered was third last time. Carnevale to win, and in multis.
Race 4: Go Seymour Mdn Plate, 4:30PM, 1600m
Hard to get excited. Tempered Edge has had five starts in the last 90 days for two placings, and the latest was a second, which is about as good as it gets in this field. Ryan Houston rides from barrier 9.
The Underquoter is the danger. Only two starts, the latest a fourth, and Beau Mertens rides for M Price & M Kent Jnr, a stable that runs into the placings at Seymour more often than not. A big step forward would be enough to win this. Small win bet on Tempered Edge, or treat this as a watch race.
Race 5: Seymour Toyota (Bm62), 5:00PM, 1600m
This is the race of the day, and Diamond Eye is the horse. A winner at the only Seymour start, Diamond Eye‘s form reads 1, 1, 8, 2, and the last three runs produced a win and a second for $27,550 in prizemoney. Damian Lane rides for Reece Goodwin, who has four wins from 11 Seymour runners, and the pair have five wins and nine top-three finishes from 12 starts together overall. That is a booking with a purpose.
The 61.5kg from barrier 6 is a fair impost in a Benchmark 62, but not one that worries us in a small field. Seven runners after the scratching of Tipsy Gypsy means a clean run should be there for the taking.
Zovozo is the main threat. Zovozo won at the latest start, finished in the first three in three of five runs over the past 90 days and draws the inside with B Rawiller. Antalian, top weight at 62kg with Dee, has a win and another placing from three recent runs and won’t be far away. Mahmudah is the track regular, in the first three at three of five Seymour starts, but needs to find a bit more.
Win bet on Diamond Eye, with a saver quinella with Zovozo.
Race 6: Parker Bros Earthmoving (Bm62), 5:30PM, 2015m
Catalona and Sarapo come at this from different angles. Catalona won at the latest start, has a win and another placing from three runs in the last 90 days, and gets into the race on 56.5kg. Sarapo has the stronger body of work, a win and another placing from four recent starts and $33,375 earned, but carries 59.5kg for Chris Waller and was fourth last time.
Over 2015m the weight swing matters. Declan Bates rides Catalona for Archie Alexander from barrier 4, close enough to find cover early. We will side with the in-form runner getting the weight relief.
Lady Thinkabell and Dundonald have both run well at times, but Dundonald finished 12th at the only start in the past three months and needs to turn that around. Kiss My Rock has the most Seymour experience in the field, four starts, for just one placing. Each-way on Catalona, with Sarapo the danger.
Race 7: Bet365 Bet Boost (Bm62), 6:00PM, 1000m
Killiana arrives off a win, the only start in the last 90 days, and the Hayes stable sends this one to Seymour with Nadia Daniels aboard. Form of 2, 2, 6, 9, 1 shows some inconsistency, but the best of it is good enough for a Benchmark 62 sprint and barrier 5 is ideal over 1000m.
Skjaldmo is the one that can upset. Another last-start winner, Skjaldmo comes in on just 53.5kg with Changgyun Ma aboard, and the Griffiths stable has had three winners here. Over a short sprint, that weight can be decisive. Gunz placed at the only previous Seymour run and Jordan Childs rides.
Win bet on Killiana, saver on Skjaldmo.
Race 8: Kilmore Ford Hcp (62), 6:30PM, 1200m
Two last-start winners head the field, and Celestra is the one we want. The only run in the past 90 days was a win worth $24,750, and a form line of 3, 8, 3, 9, 1 shows three top-three finishes from five. Trainer M W Walker has two wins and five placings from six Seymour runners, and Jett Stanley rides on 57kg from barrier 9.
Sayalero is the other winner, scoring at the latest start for $17,600 in prizemoney, and Damien Thornton‘s Seymour record (four wins from 25) makes for a sharp booking. That is the danger. Cherry Hills, from the Hayes stable with Damian Lane, has had only two starts and won one of them.
With four scratchings the field is still big, so this is an each-way race. Each-way on Celestra.
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Where the money goes
NAP: Diamond Eye (Race 5, 5:00PM). A Seymour winner from one visit, in form, and reunited with a jockey who has won five of 12 for the stable. We want Diamond Eye in everything.
Value: Gattino Veloce (Race 2, 3:30PM). At $6.50 with Unibet, the most reliable placegetter in the race is being priced like a hope, with Childs and Begg both hitting the frame here at a high rate.
Banker: Carnevale (Race 3, 4:00PM). Placed in both recent starts and at the only Seymour run, with the Dee and Hayes partnership in the saddle and the stable. A sound multi leg.
Each-way: Zverev (Race 1, 3:00PM). Already placed at the track, and $6.50 with Unibet leaves room for the place return in a staying maiden full of question marks.
Course angle: M J Dee riding for Ben, Will & JD Hayes. Three wins from ten Seymour starts together, with five top-three finishes. Dee rides Carnevale for them today.
If Goodwin keeps sending Diamond Eye to Seymour with Lane up, this could be the track’s best Benchmark 62 horse by the end of summer.
FAQ
What time does racing start at Seymour today?
Race 1, the New Crossing Place Motel & Apartments Mdn Plate over 2015m, jumps at 3:00PM local time. The last, the Kilmore Ford Hcp (62) over 1200m, is at 6:30PM, with races every 30 minutes in between.
Who are the top jockeys and trainers at Seymour?
M J Dee has the best strike rate among today’s riders, seven wins from 26 Seymour rides, while Jordan Childs has placed in 13 of 20. Among trainers, M Price & M Kent Jnr have placed with 17 of 30 runners here, and Reece Goodwin has won with four of 11.
What are the best bets at Seymour today?
Our NAP is Diamond Eye in Race 5, a winner at the only previous Seymour start. Carnevale in Race 3 is the banker, and Gattino Veloce in Race 2 is the value pick.
Where can I find the best odds for Seymour races?
Compare prices across the bookmakers in our table above. At the time of writing, Fiorente Charm ($3.90, Bet Right) led the Race 1 market and Queen’s English ($3.40, Unibet) led Race 2; markets for Races 3 to 8 had not opened.