Tamworth Racing Tips Sep 28 — Does Immortal Rose Repeat?

Racingbase Staff Racingbase Staff

Overview

Backhander won at Dubbo today. Tomorrow, with the same stable and the same rider in the saddle, he lines up again at Tamworth in a Big Dance lead-up heat. That kind of quick back-up either signals a horse fit enough to carry on or a team pushing its luck, and it’s the angle worth chasing through these Tamworth racing tips. Four races make up the card at the Scully Park circuit, all on turf, ranging from a 1312m maiden scramble to a 2297m staying test, and two stables — Annabel Neasham & Rob Archibald with H Van Der Hoven, and D J Hatch with Zac Wadick — have each doubled up with the same jockey across the day, a pattern that’s rarely coincidental once you notice it. Two scratchings have trimmed the opener’s field and single withdrawals have shaved the other three races down slightly too, but the depth of data behind the remaining runners is better than most Tamworth Monday cards manage. Read on for the pick in each race, the numbers behind them, and where the value sits.

Reading the Tamworth card today

Zac Wadick has won two and placed in three of his five rides at this circuit — a 60% strike rate in the placings column — and he’s not just picking up rides, he’s aboard for D J Hatch twice today. H Van Der Hoven’s own record is stronger again: six places from seven rides at Tamworth, an 85.71% return, and he partners with Annabel Neasham & Rob Archibald twice as well. When a stable sends out two runners with the same rider booked for both, it’s rarely an accident, and both combinations show up in today’s field.

A Bullock remains the volume operator at Tamworth — 47 rides, 10 wins, 27 places, a 57.45% place strike rate — and he’s on the board in three of the four races today. Lou Mary’s training numbers are the standout on raw percentage: two wins and five places from six runners at this course, a 33.33% win rate and an 83.33% placing rate, albeit from a smaller sample than the bigger operators.

Trainer Runs Wins Places Win% Place%
Lou Mary 6 2 5 33.33% 83.33%
Annabel Neasham & Rob Archibald 17 3 11 17.65% 64.71%
S I Singleton 39 11 22 28.21% 56.41%
Liam Ruddy 12 1 6 8.33% 50.0%
D J Hatch 53 6 22 11.32% 41.51%

On the jockeys, the placing rates tell the story better than the win column alone.

Jockey Runs Wins Places Win% Place%
H Van Der Hoven 7 1 6 14.29% 85.71%
Zac Wadick 5 2 3 40.0% 60.0%
A Bullock 47 10 27 21.28% 57.45%
MS M Weir 54 13 25 24.07% 46.3%
Izzy Neale 32 7 11 21.88% 34.38%

Course form among today’s actual runners is thin beyond a handful of horses — most have raced here once or twice at most — but four have built a real record at the track.

Horse Runs Wins Places Win% Place%
Immortal Rose 3 1 1 33.33% 33.33%
Hinto 3 1 1 33.33% 33.33%
Fulmen Filou 4 1 2 25.0% 50.0%
Ruairi 3 0 0 0.0% 0.0%
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Race-by-race

Race 1: The Big Dance Day 3rd November 2026 (Bm66) — 1:35pm, 2297m

Immortal Rose won her last start at this very track a fortnight ago, and she’s won three of her past four runs everywhere she’s gone — not a fluke of one lucky Saturday, but a mare doing it repeatedly against similar grade. Zac Wadick rode that Tamworth winner and is back on again, and the D J Hatch stable knows exactly what this mare needs: every one of Wadick’s five rides at this course has come for Hatch, and two of them have been winners. She carries 124.5kg from barrier 9, wide enough over 2297m that it barely matters once the field settles, and the near-two-mile trip only plays to a horse who’s shown she can finish out a race rather than simply find the line first over a sprint.

The one who could beat her arrived with better timing than most punters will notice. Backhander won at Dubbo earlier today at 19/5, his second good run in a row for Annabel Neasham & Rob Archibald after finishing second at Muswellbrook a fortnight before that, and now he backs up into this Big Dance heat less than 24 hours later. H Van Der Hoven partners him again, and this exact jockey-trainer pairing has placed four of its five Tamworth runners together, an 80% return that says this isn’t a one-off booking. If the fitness holds up after such a quick turnaround, the market may not have caught up with how well this combination is going right now. Fulmen Filou, one win from four course runs for R J Knight, rates the each-way roughie if the front two knock each other about in the run.

Back Immortal Rose to win, with Backhander taken as an each-way saver given the short turnaround between runs. This is the best betting race on the card.

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Race 2: Carlton United Brewery Country Boosted Mdn Hcp — 2:10pm, 1312m

Eleven runners go around in this maiden and it’s hard to build a confident case for any of them. Mongolian Master gets the nod on the strength of the booking rather than blazing form — two places from his past three runs, and Zac Wadick aboard again for D J Hatch, the same combination backed twice already today and clearly the stable’s most trusted arrangement at this circuit. Unalienable Right has shown more improvement late in his prep, with his latest figure the best of his campaign, and is the one most likely to spoil it. Syllable, fresh off a placing last time for the in-form Holly Williams stable, is the swooper if the tempo lets one through, while Hidden Detail carries A Bullock’s book of form into a race where his own record says little either way. Watch race more than betting race — if forced, Mongolian Master each-way, and no more than that.

Race 3: New England Shade Sails Mdn Plate — 2:50pm, 1531m

Here’s the second half of the Neasham-Archibald and Van Der Hoven double, and it’s the one the market is more likely to get wrong. Usain Boss has never raced at Tamworth, which tends to push a horse’s price out, but he’s placed in two of his past three runs and steps into a stable-and-jockey pairing that’s placed 80% of its runners at this track. Nothing about his profile screams danger — no wins yet — but the combination doing the picking today has been picking well.

Bradford is the one drawing him back. A Bullock, the busiest and most productive rider at Tamworth this season, jumps aboard a horse who’s placed twice from his past four runs and is racing into a race with no standout course form anywhere in the field. If the map falls his way and Bullock can get across from barrier 9, he’s the danger with the runs on the board. Usain Boss each-way for value; Bradford the roughie if you want to spread the risk.

Race 4: Shay Brennan Constructions Country Boosted Hcp (C2) — 3:25pm, 1531m

Dunquin’s profile is built for each-way betting more than outright confidence: placed in both of his past two runs, drawn to get a good run in transit, and partnered again by A Bullock, who’s been the constant thread through this card. He hasn’t broken through for a win yet, but the placing habit and the rider are enough to make him the base of the race.

Endless Applause is the one who could turn it over. Lou Mary’s stable is training at a rate that stands out on this card — a third of her runners winning at Tamworth, more than four in five placing — and this gelding placed at his only run of the prep. He’s never started at the track, so there’s an element of the unknown, but that trainer number is hard to ignore in a race that otherwise lacks depth. Dunquin to win or place; Endless Applause the each-way alternative if the price is generous.

The plays

Immortal Rose is the best bet on the card — not because she’s the flashiest story today, but because she’s already done the job at this circuit and comes back into it fitter than most. Backhander is the one to watch if you like living dangerously: fresh off a Dubbo win mere hours before this heat, the sort of quick back-up that either wins again or tells you everything about how well he’s going. Dunquin is the banker for a placing multi rather than a win multi — he’s finished in the money at both starts this campaign and doesn’t need much luck to do it again. Usain Boss is the each-way value, riding the second leg of a stable-and-rider combination that’s been picking well without the runs on the board yet to prove it. And the course angle for the notebook: A Bullock across three of four races and two stables doubling up with the same rider is the kind of pattern worth tracking the next time either combination turns up on a Tamworth card. If Neasham and Van Der Hoven keep sending them here at this rate, they’ll be the angle to build around at this track all season.

Best bookmakers for today’s racing

Fixed odds for the Tamworth card hadn’t firmed up at the time of writing, so it pays to shop around once markets open. These are the bookmakers worth checking first for today’s Tamworth racing tips.

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FAQ

What time does racing start at Tamworth today?
The first race, the Big Dance Day lead-up heat, jumps at 1:35pm, with four races running through to 3:25pm.

Who are the top trainers and jockeys at Tamworth today?
H Van Der Hoven leads on strike rate with an 85.71% placing return from seven rides at the track, A Bullock is the volume leader with 47 rides for a 57.45% placing rate, and Lou Mary trains at a 33.33% winning clip from her six Tamworth runners.

What are the best bets at Tamworth today?
Immortal Rose in Race 1 is the top pick after winning her latest start at this circuit, with Usain Boss in Race 3 rating the value play as the second leg of the Neasham-Archibald and Van Der Hoven combination.

Where can I find the best odds for Tamworth races?
Odds move throughout the day and vary by bookmaker — compare prices through the operators listed above before you bet, since a country meeting like this can see prices shift sharply close to the jump.

Which stable is in form at Tamworth today?
D J Hatch and Zac Wadick, and separately Annabel Neasham & Rob Archibald with H Van Der Hoven, have each booked the same jockey across two runners today, and both combinations rate among the sharpest placing returns on the card.

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