Emerald Racing Tips Sept 22 — Is Humble Hero Too Good Here?
Taree Racing Tips Sept 22: Does Rich Star Complete It?
Overview
Rich Star has never finished worse than second in six career starts, and it gets another crack at breaking through in the Debortoli Limoncello Spritz Hcp (C3) this afternoon. That kind of consistency is rare once a horse leaves the bottom grades behind, and it’s the standout thread running through today’s Taree racing tips. Five races unfold on the course turf, headlined by the Krambach Cup at Bm58 level, with maiden company either side that rewards patient formlines over flashy names. K A Lees sends out seven runners across two of those races, Ashley Morgan is the rider to beat with a 70 per cent placing rate at the track, and Rich Star’s clean sheet makes it hard to oppose in race three. Read on for the pick in every race, the numbers behind them, and where the money goes before the first jump at 1:35pm.
Reading the Taree card
Five races unfold on the Taree turf today, from a 1102m sprint to the 1545m Krambach Cup, and the numbers behind today’s runners tell a fairly clear story before a single race is run. K A Lees is the volume trainer of the meeting, saddling seven runners across races four and five — a 39 per cent placing rate from 38 runs at this track backs up the size of the book. J C Deamer’s presence is smaller, just two runners, but his course record is the standout of the day: nine placings from his past ten runners here, a number that borders on specialist territory for any trainer at any track.
In the saddle, Ashley Morgan leads the way on raw numbers — 70 per cent of her rides here finish in the placings from 20 attempts — with A Bullock (67.65 per cent from 34 rides) not far behind and on board four runners today. Course form across the individual horses is a mixed bag: most of today’s runners have raced here once or twice, not enough to draw conclusions from, but ten runners arrive with three or more runs at the track, and that group is worth a look before you bet.
| Horse | Runs | Wins | Places | Win% | Place% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Explosive Tycoon | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Fashion Spree | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0.0% | 50.0% |
| Expensive Icon | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0.0% | 40.0% |
| Atadcheeky | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0.0% | 33.3% |
| Kitsilano | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0.0% | 25.0% |
| Phoenix Power | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0.0% | 25.0% |
| Gallant Rush | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nikody’s Casper | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | Places | Win% | Place% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashley Morgan | 20 | 8 | 14 | 40.0% | 70.0% |
| A Bullock | 34 | 6 | 23 | 17.65% | 67.65% |
| Deon le Roux | 16 | 2 | 9 | 12.5% | 56.25% |
| R Hutchings | 19 | 4 | 9 | 21.05% | 47.37% |
| Shannen Llewellyn | 35 | 4 | 16 | 11.43% | 45.71% |
| B Looker | 46 | 8 | 20 | 17.39% | 43.48% |
| Trainer | Runs | Wins | Places | Win% | Place% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J C Deamer | 10 | 4 | 9 | 40.0% | 90.0% |
| Darren Treacy | 20 | 3 | 10 | 15.0% | 50.0% |
| Annabel Neasham & Rob Archibald | 15 | 5 | 7 | 33.33% | 46.67% |
| K A Lees | 38 | 6 | 15 | 15.79% | 39.47% |
| Cassandra Schmidt | 18 | 4 | 7 | 22.22% | 38.89% |
| Joseph Burges | 16 | 1 | 6 | 6.25% | 37.5% |
| Glen Milligan | 33 | 3 | 12 | 9.09% | 36.36% |
| M J Robinson | 36 | 3 | 12 | 8.33% | 33.33% |
Race by race
Race 1: Barrington Coast Vets Country Boosted Mdn Plate — 1:35pm, 1766m
Fifteen runners go around in this maiden and none of them arrive with a genuine claim, which makes it the toughest read on the card. Linda’s Princess gets some credit for finishing second last start after building through the prep, and she’s placed twice from six runs in the past three months for an honest, if unspectacular, return. Fashion Spree is the swing option — five runs recently for three placings, a 60 per cent strike rate that says she keeps knocking on the door without opening it. Neither looks like a confident single, so this is one to watch rather than back with conviction — a place-only saver on Linda’s Princess covers it if you must be involved.
Race 2: The Shed Luncheon Mdn Plate — 2:10pm, 1102m
Markwell Topsort has been the model of consistency without ever crossing the line first — three seconds and a third from his past four runs, and he placed on his only look at Taree. A Bullock, who places two-thirds of his rides at this track from 34 attempts, takes over on him for Joseph Burges, who has four runners on the card today. The knock is obvious: he keeps finding one better. Rubinsky offers the contrasting profile — lightly tested at this level and unraced at Taree, but his lone run in the past 90 days was a placing, and the shape of his campaign suggests there’s more to come. If Markwell Topsort’s engine room is as strong as the formline suggests, he goes close again; if the traffic breaks Rubinsky’s way, he’s the one capable of knocking him off. Back Markwell Topsort each-way, and think about Rubinsky underneath in multiples.
Race 3: Debortoli Limoncello Spritz Country Boosted Hcp (C3) — 2:50pm, 1102m
Rich Star has never finished worse than second in six career starts, and that kind of clean sheet is rare once a horse graduates out of the bottom grades. The two runs that count most — both inside the past three months — were both minor placings for an average finishing position of exactly two, and jockey Grace Palmer partners him again after guiding him through that stretch. He’s had just the one run at Taree and placed in it, which isn’t enough to call him a course specialist, but it’s a promising start and there’s nothing in the form to suggest the step up in company changes the story.
The danger is Broken Wings, who resumes from a break with a single run in the past 90 days — a third-placed finish that mirrors his solitary, successful trip to this track. Ex Wife also commands respect for Glen Milligan, who has three runners on the card and a 36 per cent placing rate here from 33 runs, with a solid placing of his own last start after an interrupted campaign. But it’s Rich Star’s unbroken run of top-two finishes that stands out in a field where nobody else can match it. The case rests on the formline rather than the market, and the case is strong. Win bet, and a sensible first leg if you’re building a multi.
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Race 4: Taree Cup Calcutta @ The Railway Taree Mdn Hcp — 3:25pm, 1436m
K A Lees doesn’t often bring a hand this size to one race — five runners in a 17-horse maiden handicap, which says more about the depth of his stable than any single one of them. Credibility is the pick of that group on recent figures: three runs in the past 90 days for two placings and an average finishing position of two, a step up on what Solanke, Piolla, Hard Not Too Like and Talk About Layla can currently show. Away from the Lees runners, Party Rebel is the one with genuine improvement behind it — two runs, a placing and a win, for an average finish of 1.5, and there’s nothing in that formline to suggest he can’t measure up in stronger grade. Annabel Neasham and Rob Archibald send out Almas Jewel, and while the stable’s course numbers are considerable — a third of their runners winning and almost half placing from fifteen visits — the horse herself hasn’t hit the frame in two runs back from a break. In a field this size the each-way market matters more than the win market. Party Rebel each-way, with Credibility as the roughie for the exotics.
Race 5: Krambach Cup Friday 16 October (Bm58) — 4:05pm, 1545m
This is the deepest field of the day, and three runners arrive with the kind of recent form that makes picking a single winner genuinely hard. Jeunetos has won two of his past three starts for a 66.67 per cent strike rate and an average finish of 2.67 — the strongest recent trajectory on paper. Alabama Charm isn’t far behind: a win and a placing from his past two runs, average finish of 1.5, and his only look at Taree ended in a win. Outoftheoffice has two wins in his past four starts but they’ve come alongside two runs well down the field, so the consistency isn’t there yet despite the raw win rate.
Then there’s the trainer angle: J C Deamer, who saddles Prince de Vega here, has placed nine of his past ten runners at this track — a rate that’s as close to a specialist number as you’ll find on this card, even though the horse himself has had only the one run in the past three months, a third-place finish. With that much depth, staking discipline matters. Jeunetos for the win, Alabama Charm as the each-way backup, and Prince de Vega worth a spot in wider multiples given the trainer’s record here.
Where the money goes
The best single bet on the card is Rich Star in race three — a horse that’s never finished worse than second in six starts and has placed in both runs across the last three months. He’s not the only one worth a mention, though.
NAP: Rich Star (Race 3, 2:50pm). Six from six top-two finishes says everything about the consistency, and there’s nothing in today’s form to suggest that changes now.
Value: Credibility (Race 4, 3:25pm). Overshadowed by four stablemates from the same barn, but his recent figures — two placings from three runs, average finish of two — stack up well against the market attention his more heavily backed stablemates will draw.
Banker: Jeunetos (Race 5, 4:05pm). Two wins from his past three starts is the strongest recent trajectory on the card, and that kind of momentum plays well as a multi leg.
Each-way: Party Rebel (Race 4, 3:25pm). Two runs, two top-two finishes — the sample is small, but the place credentials are as good as anything in that race.
Course angle: K A Lees. Seven runners across today’s card and a 39 per cent placing rate built on 38 runs at this track — back the volume, not just the individual, when his gear is on the line in a multi.
If Lees keeps sending this many runners to Taree, he’ll be the volume trainer to track at this track every time the gates open here.
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Frequently asked questions
What time does racing start at Taree today?
The first race, the Barrington Coast Vets Country Boosted Maiden Plate, jumps at 1:35pm, with five races across the card finishing with the Krambach Cup at 4:05pm.
Who are the top trainers and jockeys at Taree today?
K A Lees leads on volume with seven runners and a 39 per cent placing rate from 38 runs at the track, while J C Deamer’s smaller book carries a 90 per cent placing rate from his past ten runners here. In the saddle, Ashley Morgan tops the jockey stats with a 70 per cent placing rate from 20 rides at Taree.
What are the best bets at Taree today?
Rich Star is the pick of the card in race three off a record of six top-two finishes from six starts, with Jeunetos (two wins from his past three) and Party Rebel (two top-two finishes from two runs) the supporting plays.
Where can I find the best odds for Taree races?
Compare prices across Australia’s major bookmakers using the odds comparison links above before placing a bet — prices can move significantly between now and race time on a card this size.
How many runners are in today’s Taree races?
Fields range from 13 up to 17, with the Taree Cup Calcutta maiden handicap in race four the largest field of the day at 17 runners.
