Warwick Racing Tips Sept 24: Can Zarippa Go Back-to-Back?
Overview
Zarippa won her last start at Warwick for trainer Jake Capewell and jockey Jess Emmerson, and the same pairing reunites in today’s benchmark 68 – a booking that looks a lot more deliberate than coincidental once you check the numbers behind it. That’s the horse worth building a bet around on a card that otherwise leans heavily on maidens still trying to work out how to win. These Warwick racing tips cover all six races on the program, run on the Warwick turf from a 12:32pm first race through to the 3:42pm finale, with the punting relevant form, trainer and jockey stats pulled apart race by race so you’re not just guessing off barrier draws and gut feel.
Four of the six races are maiden company, which means thin form lines and plenty of first-up variables, so this piece leans on trainer and jockey course data where the horses themselves haven’t shown much yet. The two open-class races, including that benchmark 68 finale, carry the deepest and most useful stats on the card. Read on for the full race-by-race breakdown, the plays for the day, and where to find markets for the meeting.
Reading the Warwick card
Course form across today’s fields is limited: most runners have raced at Warwick once or twice at best, and only three horses on the entire card carry three runs here. That’s not enough depth for a full course-form table beyond those three, so treat the figures below as useful context rather than gospel: Zarippa has been let loose on this track and delivered, Mishani Senorita has hit the frame twice from three tries without winning, and So You Can Torque has managed one win and one placing from three runs. Nobody else on the card has enough runs at the track to say anything meaningful yet.
| Horse | Runs | Wins | Places | Win% | Place% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zarippa | 3 | 2 | 3 | 66.67% | 100% |
| Mishani Senorita | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 66.67% |
| So You Can Torque | 3 | 1 | 1 | 33.33% | 33.33% |
The jockeys’ room tells a clearer story. N Fazackerley places half of his Warwick rides, but Jess Emmerson has the volume to back it up: three wins and seven places from fifteen rides at the track, and she’s booked for two of today’s better chances.
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | Places | Win% | Place% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N Fazackerley | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16.67% | 50.0% |
| Jess Emmerson | 15 | 3 | 7 | 20.0% | 46.67% |
| Kayla Barker | 8 | 1 | 3 | 12.5% | 37.5% |
| Archie MC Colm | 8 | 0 | 3 | 0% | 37.5% |
| Isabel Jessop | 14 | 0 | 5 | 0% | 35.71% |
On the training front, Matthew Hoysted is the standout, winning nearly half his Warwick runners and placing more than eight in ten. That’s genuine specialist-level form built on eleven runs, not a hot streak. Jake Capewell isn’t far behind, and he’s the trainer with today’s most interesting booking (more on that in race 6).
| Trainer | Runs | Wins | Places | Win% | Place% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Hoysted | 11 | 5 | 9 | 45.45% | 81.82% |
| Renita Beaton | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| R G Lipp | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Dale Groves | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20.0% | 60.0% |
| Jack Bruce | 14 | 2 | 8 | 14.29% | 57.14% |
| Michael Morrison | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22.22% | 55.56% |
Race-by-race
Race 1: Sub-Zero Air Conditioning Installation & Services Mdn Hcp — 12:32PM, 875m
Mishani Honour carries topweight of 130kg in this 3yo maiden sprint, and the handicapper doesn’t hand that out for nothing; the form of 3-4-5 across her three runs is the most consistent line in the race. Trainer Donna Stanbridge hasn’t cracked a winner from sixteen runners at Warwick, which is worth flagging honestly rather than glossing over, but more than a third of them have placed, and jockey J L Taylor at least knows the way around this circuit. Weight at the top of the market usually means one thing in a maiden: this is rated the smartest horse in the field on what she’s shown.
The one to watch underneath is Russian Fantasy, who has raced just once for a sixth placing but carries a booking that says more than the form line does: trainer A & T Sweeney (three wins and seven places from seventeen runners here) has put Jess Emmerson on, and Emmerson’s own Warwick numbers back up the move. Troy Boy is the other one with a story: Kristie Clark-Peoples has managed a win and two places from four runners at this track, useful without being a trend yet. With thirteen runners actually going around and most of the field unproven, this is an each-way race rather than a confident single. Mishani Honour each-way, with Russian Fantasy in exotics.
Race 2: Save The Date Warwick Cup Sat 10 Oct – Tickets On Sale Now Mdn Plate — 1:10PM, 1476m
Divinelle grinds; Geisha Gal’s stable does the talking instead. Divinelle has finished runner-up in two of her last three starts (form of 4-2-2), a genuine placing trend rather than a fluke, and trainer Troy Pascoe backs it up with three wins and three places from seven runners at Warwick. That’s the horse with the more convincing on-track case in an eleven-runner maiden plate.
Geisha Gal is the one that makes you second-guess it, purely on stable strength. Matthew Hoysted is the standout conditioner at this circuit by some margin, and his numbers (already covered above) are specialist-level across eleven runners. Geisha Gal’s own recent form doesn’t match that yet, with only the one run inside the last ninety days for an unplaced run, so this is a case of trusting the stable over the horse’s own resume. Back Divinelle to win, with Geisha Gal as the each-way saver if you want to cover the stable angle.
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Race 3: Sandy Creek Pub Warwick Cup Calcutta Fri 9 Oct Mdn Plate — 1:47PM, 1476m
Is there a confident view to be had in this twelve-runner maiden plate? Not really, and it’s better to say so than manufacture one. Worthy Stunnah gets the vote on stable strength alone: trainer Michael Morrison wins better than one in five of his Warwick runners and places more than half, genuine numbers from nine runs, even though Worthy Stunnah’s own form (a pair of runs for a 7th and a 4th) doesn’t add much on its own.
Testy Nic is the each-way alternative, third-up last start and from a stable, Kristie Clark-Peoples, that has managed a win and two places from four runners at Warwick, an emerging pattern rather than a trend just yet. Neither horse inspires total confidence. Small stakes only here, Worthy Stunnah the preference, with Testy Nic covered for place money.
Race 4: David Hynes WTC Thanks You For 7 Years Mdn Plate — 2:27PM, 1203m
Matthew Hoysted doesn’t need to send a horse to Warwick to prove a point (the trainer table above does that for him), but Head Of The River gives him a live chance to add to it. The gelding placed second last start (form reading 2-2-4-4-9-2) after a flat middle stretch, and with a trainer converting more than eight in ten Warwick runners into placings, that upward trend is worth backing rather than second-guessing. This is the strongest trainer angle on the entire card outside of race 6.
Mishani Senorita is the danger, drawn from the small pool of horses with genuine course history: two places from three runs at Warwick specifically, even if trainer Donna Stanbridge is still hunting her first Warwick winner from sixteen attempts. Jake Capewell’s other runner, Rum And Beer, is worth a mention too given how well his stable is travelling right now (more on that below), even with only one run to its name. Head Of The River to win, Mishani Senorita for the placegetters.
Race 5: James Costello WTC Thanks You For 29 Years (BM62) — 3:04PM, 1640m
Two on-pacers and a stack of one-run maidens-turned-BM62 types make this one about the horse with the cleanest recent trend rather than the deepest resume. Heavenly Love has finished in the money in every one of her last three starts, winning one of them, and her only two Warwick runs read the same way: a win and a placing, nothing worse. That’s a small sample, but it’s an unbroken one, and trainer Michael Frappell’s jockey booking of N Fazackerley (the leading Warwick jockey by place rate) adds another layer to the case.
Drialle is the more seasoned danger. Trainer Renita Beaton sits on genuine numbers at this track (two wins and three places from five runners), and Drialle’s own record of five runs for a win and three places lines up with that. If the tempo lets the on-pacers dictate, Drialle’s the type to grind into it late; if it’s messier than that, Heavenly Love’s cleaner recent trend gets the vote. Heavenly Love to win, Drialle each-way.
Race 6: Maurice Monckton WTC Thanks You For 12 Years (BM68) — 3:42PM, 1312m
Zarippa is the horse to build the day around. She won her last start at Warwick on 10 September for trainer Jake Capewell and jockey Jess Emmerson, and that exact combination is back together again today – not a coincidence, a pattern. Together, Capewell and Emmerson have combined for two wins and three places from just four runners at this track (a 50% win rate and 75% place rate), and their overall partnership away from Warwick reads two wins and seven places from eight rides. Zarippa’s own numbers back all of it up: two wins and three places from three runs at Warwick, and across her last five runs anywhere she’s placed in every single one, with two of those wins, for an average finishing position of 2.2. That’s about as complete a picture as this card offers: a horse that wins here, ridden by a jockey in career-best form at the track, for a stable that has specifically found the winner’s stall together before.
Miss de Medici is the one with the profile to trouble her. Trainer R G Lipp is another genuine performer at Warwick (two wins and three places from five runners), and Miss de Medici’s own recent record (a win and two places from five runs, albeit with an average finishing position further back at 4.4) says she’s capable without being at Zarippa’s level right now. Sir Maurice, for trainer Jack Bruce, adds staying credentials if the write-up ever slows into a true test. This is the best betting race on the card by some distance. Zarippa to win, with Miss de Medici the each-way cover if you want the extra security.
The plays
Zarippa is the NAP. She’s not just fancied on paper. She won last start at this track with this exact jockey and trainer combination, and every piece of data available says the booking has been made again for the same reason. Race 6, 3:42pm, back her to win.
Divinelle is the value angle in race 2. Two runner-up finishes from her last three starts in a maiden plate is the kind of profile the market tends to underrate, especially with Troy Pascoe’s Warwick numbers sitting quietly in the background rather than being talked about.
For the multi, Head Of The River is the banker leg: Matthew Hoysted’s Warwick strike rate makes his runners hard to leave out of exotics even when the individual form line isn’t flashy. For each-way cover, Drialle’s genuine placing record for Renita Beaton offers the best combination of price and hit-rate on the card.
The course angle for punters to file away: Jake Capewell and Jess Emmerson, together. Two wins and three places from four runners at Warwick is too strong to be luck, and Capewell has a second string today in Rum And Beer. If that stable keeps sending runners to this track with Emmerson in the saddle, it’s worth watching every time they turn up together.
Best Bookmakers for Todays Racing
Markets for today’s Warwick meeting hadn’t firmed up at the time of writing, so check prices with the bookmakers below closer to the first race rather than relying on overnight quotes.
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FAQ
What time does racing start at Warwick today?
The first race, the Sub-Zero Air Conditioning Mdn Hcp, jumps at 12:32pm, with six races taking the card through to the last at 3:42pm.
Who are the top trainers and jockeys at Warwick today?
Matthew Hoysted leads the trainers, winning five of his last eleven runners at Warwick and placing nine of them, a 45% win rate and 82% place rate. Jess Emmerson tops the jockeys’ room with three wins and seven places from fifteen rides at the track, and she rides two of today’s better fancies.
What are the best bets at Warwick today?
Zarippa is the standout in race 6, unbeaten in the placings across her last five runs anywhere and fresh off a Warwick win with the same trainer-jockey combination reunited today. Divinelle looks the value option in race 2 off back-to-back runner-up finishes.
Where can I find the best odds for Warwick races?
Prices for this meeting weren’t locked in when this article was written. Compare markets across the bookmakers listed above once odds are released, rather than betting off overnight quotes.
How many races make up today’s Warwick card?
Six races in total, from the 875m sprint that opens proceedings through to the 1312m benchmark 68 that closes the card at 3:42pm, all run on the Warwick turf.
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