Overview
Golden Cloud has won three of its four starts in the last 90 days and placed in the other, and it gets the last race at Morphettville to make it four from five. The catch is 60kg from barrier 14 in a BM70 sprint where nothing else on the card looks as reliable. If it handles both, it’s the best bet of the afternoon.
That’s where these Morphettville racing tips end up, but there’s plenty before it. Nine races on a Good to Soft track, first jump at 12:05PM and the last at 5:29PM, with most of the card made up of 62 to 72 rated handicaps. Only Race 1 had a market up when this was written, so prices are quoted there and nowhere else. You’ll get a pick and a danger in every race, a couple of honest “small stakes only” calls, and the plays at the bottom. Keep an eye on N Callow‘s book: he’s the one jockey here whose course numbers stand out from the pack.
Reading the Morphettville card
Plenty of today’s runners have been around Morphettville before, so the course form is worth a look. The table below only includes horses with five or more starts here, because anything less is too thin to put a percentage on.
| Horse | Runs | Wins | Places | Win% | Place% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riche d’Amour | 5 | 0 | 4 | 0% | 80% |
| Hooked On Wealth | 7 | 0 | 5 | 0% | 71% |
| All Too Mysti | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17% | 67% |
| Never Ordinary | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 60% |
| Grand Host | 7 | 1 | 4 | 14% | 57% |
| Czech Out | 6 | 1 | 3 | 17% | 50% |
| Shadow Eagle | 8 | 0 | 3 | 0% | 38% |
| Sir Leapalot | 6 | 2 | 2 | 33% | 33% |
The jockey table is where the card gets interesting. Callow has had far fewer rides here than the riders below him on volume, but he wins almost one in four and hits the frame with more than half.
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | Places | Win% | Place% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N Callow | 52 | 12 | 30 | 23% | 58% |
| Jacob Opperman | 79 | 12 | 33 | 15% | 42% |
| Shayleigh Ingelse | 37 | 7 | 15 | 19% | 41% |
| Harry Grace | 125 | 17 | 49 | 14% | 39% |
| J Holder | 190 | 28 | 74 | 15% | 39% |
| Jake Toeroek | 113 | 15 | 42 | 13% | 37% |
On the training side, the Stokes stable places more than half its Morphettville runners, and the two big local yards, Gluyas and the Jollys, both sit just under 40%.
| Trainer | Runs | Wins | Places | Win% | Place% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillip & Tommy Stokes | 67 | 11 | 35 | 16% | 52% |
| A J Gluyas | 135 | 17 | 53 | 13% | 39% |
| R & C Jolly | 194 | 24 | 74 | 12% | 38% |
| David Jolly & Justin Potter | 32 | 5 | 12 | 16% | 38% |
| Jon O’Connor | 47 | 7 | 17 | 15% | 36% |
| G Richards & D Moyle | 121 | 16 | 34 | 13% | 28% |
Two partnerships are worth knowing before you start. Callow and the Stokes stable have combined for 7 wins and 18 placings from 28 rides at this track, and Holder rides for Gluyas at a strike rate of 13 from 62.
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Morphettville race-by-race tips
Race 1: Sportsbet Jockey Watch Hcp (C2), 12:05PM, 1050m
The market has It’sanotherbattle at $1.70 with Unibet, and that’s a short quote for a horse whose form reads 1-33. That’s a win followed by two thirds, and its only Morphettville start was one of those placings. The 54.5kg is a lovely racing weight, so I understand the support, but at that price you’re paying for a win it hasn’t produced in its last two runs.
Presscode is the one I’d rather be on. Two wins and a second from its last three starts, and $39,650 in prize money in that time, which is real form in a Class 2. It carries 59kg from barrier 5 for Todd Pannell, and at $4.60 with Bet Right it’s almost three times the price of the favourite for a better recent record.
Ramasis is the other with a claim. It has been to Morphettville three times for a win and three placings, but 59.5kg and a wide gate make it harder this time. Presscode to win at the price, with It’sanotherbattle the danger.
Race 2: Sportsbet Blackbook Mdn Plate, 12:42PM, 1200m
Hard to have a confident view in a maiden where most of the field has had a handful of starts and Little Rocket and Egyptians Reign are out. If forced, Mean Mazzle is the pick. Its three starts read 3-6-3, it has placed in one of its two Morphettville runs, and barrier 5 gives Teagan Voorham options.
Buffo can beat it. Jacob Opperman places on more than four in ten of his rides here, and the horse’s last two runs were a second and a fourth. Gate 15 is the problem. Red Ripples has placed plenty without winning and fits the exotics. Small each-way on Mean Mazzle, nothing more.
Race 3: Sportsbet Race Replays (Bm68), 1:22PM, 1100m
Three-year-olds over 1100m, and the question is whether Czech Out can carry 60.5kg and still win. Its recent run says it can. Two wins and three placings from four starts in the last 90 days, worth $81,550, and it won last start. It also has six runs at Morphettville for a win and three placings, so the track is no mystery. Barrier 1 lets T Johnstone take the shortest way round.
Vandaross worries me most. Two runs in the last 90 days produced a win and a second, and it won last time out. It gets in with 57.5kg here. Rebel Tuesday is the course horse with two wins from three here, ridden by Callow for the Stokes stable, but its 90-day form is a single placing from four runs and that’s hard to ignore. Sparklingrebellion won its only start for Holder and Gluyas, and there’s no way to know yet how good that was.
Czech Out to win. If you want cover, a saver on Vandaross.
Race 4: Kirin Ichiban Hcp (62), 2:02PM, 1200m
Dazelles is going the right way. Its form reads 573421, a win last start after a second before it, and three placings from four runs since August. It drops to 55kg here, which is a light weight for a horse in form, and Jordyn Weatherley has ridden 4 Morphettville winners from 21 rides.
Clux Star is the one to beat it. Seven starts in the last 90 days for a win and four placings shows it turns up week after week, and Shayleigh Ingelse wins nearly one in five of her rides at this track. Machrimore won its only recent start and is the one to respect. Sicilian Princess has Callow aboard but 60kg on top.
Dazelles to win.
Race 5: Sherriff Electrical Wholesalers Hcp (62), 2:42PM, 1200m
Accuser has had one start and won it, and that win was worth $17,600. Andrew Bobbin brings it to Morphettville second up with Ingelse aboard at 57kg. Barrier 3 should help it get a position.
Big Mav is the obvious threat. It won last start after a second the run before, so it has the recent form Accuser can’t yet match. Extra Fling, from David Jolly and Justin Potter, ran third last time and has Pannell aboard from gate 2. Simply Sid is scratched.
This is the one race where the unknown is the attraction. Accuser to win, with a saver on Big Mav.
Race 6: Lexus Of Adelaide Hcp (64), 3:22PM, 2014m
A staying handicap with no obvious horse in form. Darci Lane and Exalted Fire are out, which leaves Fiora Blue as the one I’d side with. It has been to Morphettville three times and placed in all three, and its form line 123393 shows it keeps finishing in the first three more often than not. Gate 12 is a negative over this trip, so Teagan Voorham will need luck from the back.
Longer Route is the threat. It has three placings from six recent runs, it has won here before, and Callow rides. The 60kg is a lot to carry over 2014m. Doctor Robert has placed twice in five recent runs and goes OK for a place.
Each-way on Fiora Blue, kept small.
Race 7: MM Electrical (Bm72), 4:03PM, 1600m
Does Shadow Eagle finally convert at Morphettville? Eight runs here for three placings and no wins says it hasn’t so far, but its last three starts read 5-1-3, and the win in that stretch helped it earn $34,050 since the start of August. Brooke King rides at 56kg for Byron Cozamanis.
All Too Mysti will be right there. It has six Morphettville runs for a win and four placings, it ran second here on 17 October, and Callow rides for R and C Jolly. That pairing hasn’t produced a winner yet here, two placings from six rides, so I’m not leaning on the combination. Tiptop Tori has the best course record in the field, two wins from four here, but its last two runs were well beaten. Savannah Chill is scratched.
Shadow Eagle to win, with All Too Mysti in the exacta.
Race 8: Dave Loy Hcp (62), 4:42PM, 1511m
I Am Ralph is the horse for the multis. It won last start and has two wins and three placings from five runs in the last 90 days, worth $48,700. It has only been to Morphettville twice, but it won one and placed in the other. Brooke King rides at 58kg from barrier 5, which should give it a sit behind the speed.
Hubristic is the main danger. It won its last start, and three runs since August produced a win and two placings. Largs Legacy is the other in form, with a third and a win from its last two runs and barrier 1 for Jackson Murphy. Bayou Music, Wind Rush and Cork Harbour are all out, which thins the field.
I Am Ralph to win, and it’s the banker for the last four races.
Race 9: Peter Elberg Funerals (Bm70), 5:29PM, 1200m
Golden Cloud is my best bet on the card. Three wins from four starts in the last 90 days, the other run a placing, and $75,000 in prize money in that time. It has been to Morphettville three times for a win and three placings. The two things against it are 60kg and barrier 14 in a big field, and that’s why I want Jake Toeroek to slot in rather than chase the lead.
Riche d’Amour is the danger and the each-way bet. It has never won at Morphettville but has placed in four of its five starts here, and it has placed in three of its five runs lately. Connor Murtagh rides at 59kg. Andrew’s Memory has two wins from four here and Hooked On Wealth has placed in five of seven, so this isn’t a soft finish to the day. Zourain, Big Brute and Bohemian Angel are scratched.
Golden Cloud to win. Riche d’Amour each-way.
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Where the money goes
NAP: Golden Cloud (Race 9, 5:29PM). A horse that has won three of four lately doesn’t need to improve to win a BM70, it only needs to handle the gate and the weight. I’ll take it on trust.
Value: Presscode (Race 1, 12:05PM). $4.60 with Bet Right against a $1.70 favourite with one win from its last three. Two wins and a second from its last three says the market has the order wrong.
Banker: I Am Ralph (Race 8, 4:42PM). Won last start, placed in three of five lately, and placed in both its Morphettville runs. It’s the most dependable leg in the quaddie.
Each-way: Riche d’Amour (Race 9, 5:29PM). Four placings from five starts at the track. It might not win, but it keeps hitting the frame here.
Course angle: Callow for the Stokes stable. 7 wins and 18 placings from 28 rides together at Morphettville. They team up with Rebel Tuesday in Race 3 and Anahorish in Race 8.
If Golden Cloud wins this carrying 60kg, the handicapper will have a hard time keeping it in BM70 company much longer.
Morphettville racing tips: FAQ
What time does racing start at Morphettville today?
Race 1, the Sportsbet Jockey Watch Hcp over 1050m, jumps at 12:05PM. The last, the Peter Elberg Funerals BM70 over 1200m, goes at 5:29PM. The track is rated Good to Soft.
Who are the top jockeys and trainers at Morphettville?
N Callow has the best Morphettville record of today’s riders, 12 wins from 52 rides with 30 placings. J Holder has ridden the most winners here, 28 from 190. Phillip and Tommy Stokes place with 35 of their 67 runners at the track, and R and C Jolly have trained 24 Morphettville winners.
What are the best bets at Morphettville today?
Golden Cloud in Race 9 is the NAP after three wins from four starts in the last 90 days. I Am Ralph in Race 8 is the banker, and Presscode in Race 1 is the value play at $4.60.
Where can I find the best odds for Morphettville races?
Compare prices with the bookmakers in our toplist above. Only Race 1 was priced when these Morphettville predictions were written, with It’sanotherbattle the $1.70 favourite and Presscode at $4.60, so check the markets before you bet on the later races.